Čukarički vs Red Star Belgrade: match statistics
Čukarički vs Red Star Belgrade: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Čukarički played Red Star Belgrade in SuperLiga (Serbia). The match was played on 4 May 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Čukarički: 0-5-0, 1.00 points/match. Red Star Belgrade: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Čukarički scores 1.39 and concedes 1.42 goals per match. Red Star Belgrade scores 2.91 and concedes 0.79. League average: 2.69 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Čukarički 73%, Red Star Belgrade 52%. Over 2.5: Čukarički 52%, Red Star Belgrade 76%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Red Star Belgrade has higher xG: 2.55 vs 1.50. Čukarički: 12.4 shots per match, Red Star Belgrade: 22.5.
Match halves
Čukarički: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.67. Red Star Belgrade: half-time lead 76%, second-half goals 1.55.
Goals by minute
Čukarički: 16-30 (13 goals). Red Star Belgrade: 76-90+ (23 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
SuperLiga: 2.69 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The favorites are the visitors Red Star Belgrade, who have scored 96 goals this season and average 2.31 goals on the road with an away xG of 2.54, versus hosts Čukarički who score 1.75 goals at home and have an xG of 1.43. The visitors clearly dominate chance creation: on average 22.31 attempts and 8.44 shots on target away compared to the hosts' 11.94 attempts and 4.56 on target, and 67% possession versus 44% for Čukarički. Forms diverge — Red Star have won 4 of their last 5 matches and scored 14 goals, while Čukarički have 0 wins and 5 draws in their last 5 fixtures and only 4 goals in that period. Defensively the visitors concede 1.06 goals on average away (xG against 1.00), while the hosts concede 1.38 at home (xG against 1.47), suggesting Red Star’s offensive superiority should translate into goals. Considering the gap in shots, possession and xG, I predict an away win; probability distribution: home 12%, draw 18%, away 70%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Red Star away averages 2.31 goals scored and xG 2.54; in the last 5 matches they scored 14 goals (2.8 per game) and their BTTS in the last 5 is 80%, so an away goal is highly likely. Čukarički at home has a seasonal goals average of 3.47 and xG 2.56, but in the last 5 fixtures they have scored only 4 goals (0.8 per game) and their recent BTTS is 40%, indicating a drop in offensive form. Key signal against BTTS is Čukarički’s home clean sheet rate of 53% and their seasonal average goals conceded at home 0.53, with 41% of their home matches being over2.5 without BTTS—meaning the home side often wins big without conceding. Although the league BTTS rate is 53% and the general tendency for matches to go over2.5 is around 75%, the hosts’ strong home defensive model and their opponent’s weaker form in the last 5 shift the assessment towards No Goal/No BTTS. As a result I assign 45% to BTTS - Yes and 55% to BTTS - No as the most justified decision.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Statistics point to a high probability of at least 2 goals: Čukarički have 88% of matches over 1.5 goals this season, Red Star Belgrade 81%, with over 2.5 rates of 76% and 75% respectively. Both teams generate many high-quality chances: Čukarički 2.56 xG per match, Red Star 2.54 xG, while their opponents allow on average 0.87 and 1.00 xG, yielding an expected 1.78 goals for the home side and 1.71 for the visitors (total 3.49). Additionally, average shots 22.65 vs 22.31, shots on target 9.06 vs 8.44 and conversion rates 15% for the home team vs 10% for the visitors further increase scoring probability. The counterargument is Čukarički’s high clean sheet rate of 53% and their low goals conceded average 0.53, plus moderate over 3.5 figures (53% for the home side, 44% for the visitors); therefore the strongest and most likely selection from the data is Over 1.5 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Red Star has a clear form advantage: in the last 5 matches the visitors won 4 of 5 (80%) and in 60% of those games they held a lead at the break, scoring an average of 1.4 first-half goals, while Čukarički have 5 draws in their last 5 matches (form “ddddd”) and average only 0.2 goals by half-time. Season-long stats show hosts more often lead at the break (82% vs 69%) and have very similar xG (2.56 vs 2.54), but these figures are weakened by Čukarički’s poor run (0 wins in 5). Over the season Čukarički scored 1.53 goals by half-time and conceded only 0.12, however their recent results (0.2 first-half goals in 5 matches) indicate current form favors the visitors, who in their last 5 average 1.4 first-half goals. The hosts are seasonally effective in second halves (on average 1.94 goals scored after the break), so the risk of a turnaround exists, but the visitors also average 1.8 second-half goals in their last 5 matches and consistently maintain leads. Given the visitors’ form advantage and their clearer efficiency before the break in recent matches, the strongest scenario is the visitors leading at half-time and winning the match (HT/FT 2/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Čukarički | Red Star Belgrade | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Red Star Belgrade is 160% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Čukarički · 2.6 pts / match - Red Star Belgrade
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Red Star Belgrade is 109% better for: goals scored per match.
1.39 goals / match - Čukarički · 2.91 goals / match - Red Star Belgrade
Red Star Belgrade is 80% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.42 goals / match - Čukarički · 0.79 goals / match - Red Star Belgrade
Čukarički scores in 79% of matches (26 of 33 matches), while Red Star Belgrade keeps a clean sheet in 42% (14 of 33 matches).
Red Star Belgrade scores in 88% of matches (29 of 33 matches), while Čukarički keeps a clean sheet in 15% (5 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Čukarički
Over / Under - Red Star Belgrade
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Red Star Belgrade is 76% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.39 pts / match - Čukarički · 2.45 pts / match - Red Star Belgrade
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Čukarički - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 30%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Red Star Belgrade - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 76% of matches and wins 79%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (23 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +18 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Čukarički
Red Star Belgrade
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (SuperLiga).
Teams vs league
| Čukarički | Liga | Red Star Belgrade | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.82 | 2.69 | ▲ 3.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 73% | 53% | • 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 50% | ▲ 76% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 29% | ▲ 42% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 70% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | • 73% | 74% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Čukarički 0 - 0 - 2 Red Star Belgrade. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Čukarički vs Red Star Belgrade?
The SuperLiga match finished Čukarički 1:2 Red Star Belgrade. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Čukarički and Red Star Belgrade?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Čukarički won 0, Red Star Belgrade won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Čukarički vs Red Star Belgrade?
Čukarički score 1.39 goals per game on average and Red Star Belgrade 2.91. The SuperLiga average is 2.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 73% of Čukarički's matches and 52% of Red Star Belgrade's.
What form are Čukarički and Red Star Belgrade in?
Over the last 5 games Čukarički have a 0-5-0 record (1.00 points per game) and Red Star Belgrade 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Čukarički vs Red Star Belgrade?
The statistical background for Čukarički vs Red Star Belgrade — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.