Cumbayá vs LDU Portoviejo: match statistics
Cumbayá vs LDU Portoviejo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cumbayá played LDU Portoviejo in Primera Categoría Serie B (Ecuador). The match was played on 13 May 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Cumbayá: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. LDU Portoviejo: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cumbayá scores 1.22 and concedes 1.44 goals per match. LDU Portoviejo scores 0.78 and concedes 1.44. League average: 2.00 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cumbayá 67%, LDU Portoviejo 44%. Over 2.5: Cumbayá 67%, LDU Portoviejo 44%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 34%.
xG, shots and style
LDU Portoviejo has higher xG: 1.45 vs 0.98. Cumbayá: 5.7 shots per match, LDU Portoviejo: 10.6.
Match halves
Cumbayá: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.44. LDU Portoviejo: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Cumbayá: 31-45+ (3 goals). LDU Portoviejo: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera Categoría Serie B: 2.00 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 34%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The favorite is Cumbayá and I project them to win, as they average 1.2 goals per home match with a shot conversion rate of 18%. LDU Portoviejo score only 0.6 goals per away match, fail to score in 60% of away fixtures and have lost all away games (100% away defeats), which significantly increases the hosts' chances. Defensively Cumbayá concede an xG of 0.80 at home and concede on average 1.6 goals, while LDU concede 2.2 goals on the road and have a -8 away goal difference. Interestingly LDU generate higher away xG (1.16) than Cumbayá do at home (0.86) and register more shots (9 vs 7), however a low 8% conversion and a high share of goalless matches mean these chances don’t translate into actual goals. Additionally the hosts have 60% draws at home (form 'dddwl' in the last five at home), so a draw is possible, but overall home efficiency and the visitors’ dire away form favor a Cumbayá victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back 'No' — I estimate a 65% probability of both teams not scoring due to strong defensive indicators. Seasonal metrics show Cumbayá at home averages 1.0 goal scored and concedes only 0.5 with 50% clean sheets, while LDU Portoviejo as an away side scores just 0.6, has 0% clean sheets on the road and fails to score in 60% of away matches. Although xG indicates some potential (xG for Cumbayá 1.74 vs xG against LDU 1.33 and xG for LDU 1.16 vs xG against Cumbayá 0.93), both teams have low shot conversion rates (7% and 8%) and seasonal goals 1.0 vs 0.6, which limits chances turning into goals. Last 5 matches show LDU with 1.6 goals and xG 1.42 in that period, and Cumbayá concedes 1.4, but BTTS in the last 5 is only 40% for both, so short-term form does not outweigh the defensive signals. Considering Cumbayá’s 50% home clean sheets, LDU’s 60% of away games without a goal, and league BTTS at 48%, the 'No' scenario looks stronger (65% vs 35%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model based on xG and other metrics yields expected goals of 1.54 for Cumbayá (home xG 1.74 vs xG conceded vs LDU 1.33) and 1.05 for LDU Portoviejo (away xG 1.16 vs xG conceded vs hosts 0.93), totalling 2.59 goals. A Poisson calculation with λ=2.59 translates to roughly a 73% probability of Over 1.5 goals, about 48% for Over 2.5 and around 26% for Over 3.5, indicating a clear edge for the lower line. Additionally, LDU concedes on average 2.2 goals per match and has 0% clean sheets this season, while Cumbayá averages 5.0 shots on target, which supports goal-scoring in this fixture. In the last 5 matches Cumbayá have averaged 1.2 goals, LDU 1.6 (approximately 2.8 combined) and the Over 2.5 rate in the last 5 is 80% for the hosts and 60% for the visitors, further reinforcing the signal for at least two goals. Based on this, I recommend the Over side at the 1.5 line as the strongest and most likely selection.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Half-time statistics show Cumbayá led at the break in 50% of matches, while LDU Portoviejo were trailing at the break in 80% of their games, which strongly supports a home lead at the break. The hosts average 0.5 goals scored by half-time and concede none before the break (average goals conceded by half-time 0.0; clean sheet at half-time in 100% of matches), therefore HT=1 is the natural scenario. Over the full 90 minutes Cumbayá averages 1.0 goals scored and 2.0 points per home match, while LDU averages 0.6 goals scored, concedes 2.2 and has 0.0 points away, all favouring a home victory. Additionally, the home xG is 1.74 versus 1.33 for LDU’s defense, and shot metrics of 15 vs 9 with shots on target 5.0 vs 2.75 confirm the hosts’ offensive superiority. Under these conditions the strongest signal is HT/FT 1/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cumbayá | LDU Portoviejo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.52 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cumbayá is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Cumbayá · 0.8 pts / match - LDU Portoviejo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cumbayá is 56% better for: goals scored per match.
1.22 goals / match - Cumbayá · 0.78 goals / match - LDU Portoviejo
Cumbayá scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while LDU Portoviejo keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).
LDU Portoviejo scores in 56% of matches (5 of 9 matches), while Cumbayá keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cumbayá
Over / Under - LDU Portoviejo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cumbayá is 37% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / match - Cumbayá · 1.22 pts / match - LDU Portoviejo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cumbayá - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
LDU Portoviejo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cumbayá
LDU Portoviejo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera Categoría Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Cumbayá | Liga | LDU Portoviejo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.67 | 2.00 | ▲ 2.22 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 48% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 34% | ▲ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 33% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 33% | 61% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 64% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- LDU PortoviejoYellow cardÁngel Fernando Gracia Toral
- LDU PortoviejoGoalÁngel Fernando Gracia Toral
- CumbayáYellow cardJean Quiñonez
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Cumbayá vs LDU Portoviejo?
The Primera Categoría Serie B match finished Cumbayá 1:1 LDU Portoviejo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cumbayá vs LDU Portoviejo?
Cumbayá score 1.22 goals per game on average and LDU Portoviejo 0.78. The Primera Categoría Serie B average is 2.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 34% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Cumbayá's matches and 44% of LDU Portoviejo's.
What form are Cumbayá and LDU Portoviejo in?
Over the last 5 games Cumbayá have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and LDU Portoviejo 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cumbayá vs LDU Portoviejo?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.