Cuniburo vs Cumbayá: match statistics
Cuniburo vs Cumbayá: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cuniburo played Cumbayá in Primera Categoría Serie B (Ecuador). The match was played on 4 June 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Cuniburo: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Cumbayá: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cuniburo scores 1.42 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. Cumbayá scores 1.08 and concedes 1.17. League average: 1.97 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cuniburo 33%, Cumbayá 58%. Over 2.5: Cuniburo 42%, Cumbayá 50%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Cuniburo has higher xG: 1.22 vs 0.96. Cuniburo: 8.6 shots per match, Cumbayá: 6.0.
Match halves
Cuniburo: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.83. Cumbayá: half-time lead 42%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Cuniburo: 61-75 (5 goals). Cumbayá: 31-45+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera Categoría Serie B: 1.97 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cuniburo sits 3rd in the table with 5 wins this season; at home they have a 67% win rate and a +10 goal difference (avg. 2.17 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per match). Cumbayá are 9th with 3 wins this season and only a 20% win rate on the road, averaging 1.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded away (away goal difference 0). In the last 5 matches Cuniburo scored 9 goals and average 2.0 points per game (form: W-D-L-W-W), while Cumbayá have 5 goals and 1.6 points per game; away form for the visitors is L-L-L-W-D. The statistical advantages for the home side are evident in xG and chance quality: Cuniburo home xG 1.69 versus 1.02 for the visitors away, shots per game 14 vs 8 and shots on target 5.67 vs 3.75, higher possession 55% vs 48% and a lower share of goalless matches 17% vs 40%. Considering better finishing, defense and game control, I predict a Cuniburo victory; estimated probabilities: 65% home, 20% draw, 15% Cumbayá win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Cuniburo has a seasonal BTTS rate of 71% and concedes 1.29 goals per game on average, while Cumbayá scores 1.00 goal per game — these figures indicate the visitors have a realistic chance to score. Conversely, Cumbayá keeps a clean sheet in 40% of matches and their BTTS in the last 5 fixtures is only 20%, which reduces the likelihood of both teams scoring. xG shows that in the last 5 matches Cuniburo has xG_for 1.35 and xG_against 0.86, while Cumbayá has xG_for 1.08 and xG_against 1.21 — both teams create chances (>0.85 xG), which favors BTTS. Additionally Cuniburo scored 9 and conceded 3 in their last 5, and Cumbayá 5 and 4, confirming the hosts find the net more frequently. Considering the hosts' 71% historical BTTS versus the visitors' 40% and the mixed signals from the last 5 matches, I give advantage to the "BTTS - Yes" scenario at around 60%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project a total of 2.19 goals: Cuniburo 1.24 and Cumbayá 0.95. The estimate is derived from consolidating xG and recent form — Cuniburo has an attacking xG of 0.90 for the season and 1.35 in the last 5 matches, while Cumbayá concedes xG of 1.52 seasonally and 1.21 in the last 5; Cuniburo scored 9 goals in the last 5 (avg. 1.8) versus Cumbayá’s 5 goals (1.0). A Poisson model for total lambda=2.19 yields roughly a 64% chance of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), about 38% for at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) and about 18% for at least 4 goals (Over 3.5). Seasonal metrics support a moderate goal environment: Cuniburo has Over 1.5 in 86% and Over 2.5 in 43% of matches, Cumbayá has Over 2.5 in 60% but 0% of matches above 3.5; additionally Cuniburo matches ended BTTS in 71% of cases, and Cumbayá in 40%. Therefore the strongest signal from available data is the Under 3.5 market (≈82% probability), although Over 1.5 (~64%) remains a reasonable alternative.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Cuniburo led at the break in 4 of 7 matches (57%), averaging 0.86 goals in the first half and conceding only 0.14, while Cumbayá led at the break in only 1 of the observed fixtures (25%) and averages 0.5 goals at half-time with 0 conceded. On a season level Cuniburo scores 1.14 goals per match and collects 1.43 points per match versus 1.0 goal and 0.8 points for Cumbayá, which favors the home side for the final result. The risk for the hosts appears after the break — Cuniburo concedes an average of 1.14 goals in the second half and the visitors score an average of 0.5 goals after half-time, so draws or turnarounds are possible. Additionally, xG shows 0.9 xG for Cuniburo against 1.02 xG for the visitors, but Cumbayá allows as much as 1.52 xG against them, which limits their ability to maintain a lead. In summary: given Cuniburo’s 57% rate of leading at the break and better form (last 5 matches Cuniburo: 60% wins and 1.8 goals on average vs 40% and 1.0 for the visitors), the most likely scenario is the home side leading at half-time and Cuniburo winning (1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cuniburo | Cumbayá | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 43% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.52 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cuniburo is 31% better for: goals scored per match.
1.42 goals / match - Cuniburo · 1.08 goals / match - Cumbayá
Cuniburo is 75% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.67 goals / match - Cuniburo · 1.17 goals / match - Cumbayá
Cuniburo scores in 67% of matches (8 of 12 matches), while Cumbayá keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 matches).
Cumbayá scores in 75% of matches (9 of 12 matches), while Cuniburo keeps a clean sheet in 42% (5 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cuniburo
Over / Under - Cumbayá
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cumbayá is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.58 pts / match - Cuniburo · 1.83 pts / match - Cumbayá
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cuniburo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cumbayá - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 42% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cuniburo
Cumbayá
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera Categoría Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Cuniburo | Liga | Cumbayá | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.08 | 1.97 | ▲ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 44% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 42% | 33% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 35% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 60% | ▼ 42% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 61% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Cuniburo 0 - 1 - 0 Cumbayá. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cuniburo vs Cumbayá?
The Primera Categoría Serie B match finished Cuniburo 1:1 Cumbayá. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cuniburo vs Cumbayá?
Cuniburo score 1.42 goals per game on average and Cumbayá 1.08. The Primera Categoría Serie B average is 1.97 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Cuniburo's matches and 58% of Cumbayá's.
What form are Cuniburo and Cumbayá in?
Over the last 5 games Cuniburo have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Cumbayá 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cuniburo vs Cumbayá?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.