Czarni Połaniec vs Avia Świdnik: match statistics
Czarni Połaniec vs Avia Świdnik: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Czarni Połaniec played Avia Świdnik in 3 Liga Group 4 (Poland). The match was played on 30 May 2026. Final score: 2:3.
Current form
Czarni Połaniec: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Avia Świdnik: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Czarni Połaniec scores 1.73 and concedes 1.39 goals per match. Avia Świdnik scores 2.45 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Czarni Połaniec 64%, Avia Świdnik 64%. Over 2.5: Czarni Połaniec 55%, Avia Świdnik 61%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 59%.
xG, shots and style
Avia Świdnik has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.40. Czarni Połaniec: 5.1 shots per match, Avia Świdnik: 8.0.
Match halves
Czarni Połaniec: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.79. Avia Świdnik: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.97.
Goals by minute
Czarni Połaniec: 0-15 (21 goals). Avia Świdnik: 0-15 (38 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 4: 3.11 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 59%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 8.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The data-backed favorite is Avia Świdnik: 81 goals scored this season vs 57 for Czarni Połaniec and 22 wins vs 16, indicating a clear offensive and results advantage. Away, Avia averages 2.5 goals with xG 1.99 and 15.3 shots per match (7.3 on target), while Czarni at home record 1.88 goals, xG 1.59 and 11.29 shots (5.29 on target), so the visitors create and convert more chances. In the last 5 matches Avia scored 12 and conceded 3, while Czarni scored 9 and conceded 6; the visitors are unbeaten in those five fixtures (3 wins, 2 draws), hosts have 3 wins and 2 losses. Defensively Avia concedes 1.06 goals on the road vs 1.25 for the hosts, and additionally has a higher shot conversion rate 20% vs 18% and 0% matches without a goal vs 6% for Czarni, which reduces the risk of failing to score. Based on this I tip an away win (2) with probabilities: 60% Avia, 20% draw and 20% Czarni win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Strong signal for BTTS - Yes emerges from season-long metrics: Czarni Połaniec have BTTS in 59% of matches, Avia Świdnik in 69%, versus a league average of 59%. In the last 5 matches Czarni recorded BTTS in 80% (4/5) and Avia in 60% (3/5); average goals in those 5 games are 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded for Czarni and 2.4 scored and 0.6 conceded for Avia, indicating both teams regularly participate in goal-filled fixtures. xG corroborates chance creation: Czarni have xG 1.46 against opponents allowing 1.01, while Avia generate xG 1.99 against opponents allowing 0.98, so both sides have a creation edge over the opponent’s defense. Additionally, Avia average 15.3 shots and 7.3 on target versus Czarni’s 8.0 and 2.93, and Czarni’s high finishing rate of 32% means that even with fewer shots the hosts can convert, so I expect goals from both sides. Based on this I assess BTTS probability at ~75% vs 25% for No Goal and select 'Yes' as the optimal pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams display high scoring potential: Czarni average 2.41 goals per game with xG 1.46, while Avia average 2.50 goals with xG 1.99, yielding a combined xG of 3.45. Seasonal metrics show Over 1.5 occurs very frequently (Czarni 88%, Avia 94%), and Over 2.5 also prevails in more than half of matches (59% and 63%). Avia generates many chances (avg. 15.3 shots and 7.3 on target), and Czarni have a high shot conversion rate of 32%, so I adjusted xG to expected 1.43 for the home side and 1.59 for the visitors, total 3.02 goals. Based on this I assess the probability of Over 1.5 at approx. 92% and Over 2.5 at approx. 66%, therefore I recommend backing the over on the 2.5 line. Over 3.5 I estimate at about 40% (seasonal 41–44%), so it is not a strong enough signal to play over 3.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and an away win at full-time (X/2). Avia has a clear offensive edge: xG_for_avg_away = 1.99 versus 1.46 for the hosts and an average of 15.3 shots per match compared to 8.0, which increases the likelihood of scoring decisive goals after the break. A draw at the break appears realistic — seasonally the hosts record a half-time draw in 55% of matches, and the visitors drew at half-time in 60% of cases in their last five appearances (last5_drawingAtHTPercentage_overall_away = 60.0). Additionally, Avia is stronger after the break: AVG_2hg_away = 1.75 vs AVG_2hg_home = 1.36 and in the last five matches the away side won the second half in 80% of cases (last5_wins_2hg_percentage_overall_away = 80.0), hence X/2 provides the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Czarni Połaniec | Avia Świdnik | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 39% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.86 | 0.74 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Avia Świdnik is 22% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Czarni Połaniec · 2.2 pts / match - Avia Świdnik
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Avia Świdnik is 42% better for: goals scored per match.
1.73 goals / match - Czarni Połaniec · 2.45 goals / match - Avia Świdnik
Avia Świdnik is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.39 goals / match - Czarni Połaniec · 1 goals / match - Avia Świdnik
Czarni Połaniec scores in 85% of matches (28 of 33 matches), while Avia Świdnik keeps a clean sheet in 36% (12 of 33 matches).
Avia Świdnik scores in 100% of matches (33 of 33 matches), while Czarni Połaniec keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Czarni Połaniec
Over / Under - Avia Świdnik
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Avia Świdnik is 45% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Czarni Połaniec · 1.45 pts / match - Avia Świdnik
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Czarni Połaniec - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Avia Świdnik - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (21 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): +12 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (38 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (24). Late-goal balance (76-90): +14 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Czarni Połaniec
Avia Świdnik
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 4).
Teams vs league
| Czarni Połaniec | Liga | Avia Świdnik | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.12 | 3.11 | ▲ 3.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 64% | 59% | ▲ 64% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 55% | 59% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | • 24% | 23% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 61% | 57% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | • 61% | 60% | ▼ 52% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Avia ŚwidnikGoalAndrii Remeniuk
- Avia ŚwidnikGoalDave Djalme Assuncao
- Czarni PołaniecGoalAdam Kramarz
- Avia ŚwidnikGoalDawid Łącki
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Czarni Połaniec 0 - 0 - 1 Avia Świdnik. Average goals 8.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Czarni Połaniec vs Avia Świdnik?
The 3 Liga Group 4 match finished Czarni Połaniec 2:3 Avia Świdnik. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Czarni Połaniec vs Avia Świdnik?
Czarni Połaniec score 1.73 goals per game on average and Avia Świdnik 2.45. The 3 Liga Group 4 average is 3.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 59% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Czarni Połaniec's matches and 64% of Avia Świdnik's.
What form are Czarni Połaniec and Avia Świdnik in?
Over the last 5 games Czarni Połaniec have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Avia Świdnik 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Czarni Połaniec vs Avia Świdnik?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.