Czarni Połaniec vs Busko-Zdrój: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Czarni Połaniec vs Busko-Zdrój: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Czarni Połaniec play Busko-Zdrój in 3 Liga Group 4 (Poland). The match date is 24 October 2026.
Current form
Czarni Połaniec: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Busko-Zdrój: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Czarni Połaniec scores 1.38 and concedes 1.31 goals per match. Busko-Zdrój scores 1.46 and concedes 2.31. League average: 2.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Czarni Połaniec 46%, Busko-Zdrój 85%. Over 2.5: Czarni Połaniec 38%, Busko-Zdrój 85%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Czarni Połaniec has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.40. Czarni Połaniec: 6.5 shots per match, Busko-Zdrój: 7.3.
Match halves
Czarni Połaniec: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.77. Busko-Zdrój: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.77.
Goals by minute
Czarni Połaniec: 0-15 (4 goals). Busko-Zdrój: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 4: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Czarni Połaniec | Busko-Zdrój | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.69 | 0.59 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Busko-Zdrój is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Czarni Połaniec · 1.2 pts / match - Busko-Zdrój
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Busko-Zdrój is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - Czarni Połaniec · 1.46 goals / match - Busko-Zdrój
Czarni Połaniec is 76% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.31 goals / match - Czarni Połaniec · 2.31 goals / match - Busko-Zdrój
Czarni Połaniec scores in 69% of matches (9 of 13 matches), while Busko-Zdrój keeps a clean sheet in 8% (1 of 13 matches).
Busko-Zdrój scores in 92% of matches (12 of 13 matches), while Czarni Połaniec keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Czarni Połaniec
Over / Under - Busko-Zdrój
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Busko-Zdrój is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - Czarni Połaniec · 1.54 pts / match - Busko-Zdrój
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Czarni Połaniec - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Busko-Zdrój - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 31%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Czarni Połaniec
Busko-Zdrój
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 4).
Teams vs league
| Czarni Połaniec | Liga | Busko-Zdrój | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.69 | 2.94 | ▲ 3.77 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 57% | ▲ 85% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 56% | ▲ 85% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 31% | 25% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 31% | 61% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | • 69% | 68% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
When do Czarni Połaniec and Busko-Zdrój play?
Czarni Połaniec face Busko-Zdrój on 24 October 2026 in 3 Liga Group 4. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Czarni Połaniec vs Busko-Zdrój?
Czarni Połaniec score 1.38 goals per game on average and Busko-Zdrój 1.46. The 3 Liga Group 4 average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Czarni Połaniec's matches and 85% of Busko-Zdrój's.
What form are Czarni Połaniec and Busko-Zdrój in?
Over the last 5 games Czarni Połaniec have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Busko-Zdrój 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Czarni Połaniec vs Busko-Zdrój?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Czarni Połaniec vs Busko-Zdrój: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.