Czarni Połaniec vs Chełmianka Chełm: match statistics
Chełmianka Chełm displays significantly better form in the last five matches, earning 2.6 points per match compared to 1.4 points for Czarni Połaniec. The visitors have an impressive away record with 50% wins and just 20% losses, and their form in the last five meetings consists of four wins and one draw. Chełmianka also stands out for defensive solidity, conceding just 1 goal in the last five matches and maintaining 40% clean sheets away. Although Czarni Połaniec has a decent home record (75% wins), their overall form is unstable, and the difference in quality between the two teams visible in general statistics favors the visitors. The predicted result is a win for Chełmianka Chełm, who should continue their effective streak.
Czarni Połaniec vs Chełmianka Chełm: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Czarni Połaniec played Chełmianka Chełm in 3 Liga Group 4 (Poland). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Czarni Połaniec: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Chełmianka Chełm: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Czarni Połaniec scores 1.79 and concedes 1.74 goals per match. Chełmianka Chełm scores 1.60 and concedes 0.95. League average: 3.29 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Czarni Połaniec 63%, Chełmianka Chełm 55%. Over 2.5: Czarni Połaniec 63%, Chełmianka Chełm 50%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Chełmianka Chełm has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.41. Czarni Połaniec: 4.0 shots per match, Chełmianka Chełm: 1.6.
Match halves
Czarni Połaniec: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.74. Chełmianka Chełm: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.55.
Goals by minute
Czarni Połaniec: 0-15 (14 goals). Chełmianka Chełm: 0-15 (18 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 4: 3.29 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Chełmianka Chełm displays significantly better form in the last five matches, earning 2.6 points per match compared to 1.4 points for Czarni Połaniec. The visitors have an impressive away record with 50% wins and just 20% losses, and their form in the last five meetings consists of four wins and one draw. Chełmianka also stands out for defensive solidity, conceding just 1 goal in the last five matches and maintaining 40% clean sheets away. Although Czarni Połaniec has a decent home record (75% wins), their overall form is unstable, and the difference in quality between the two teams visible in general statistics favors the visitors. The predicted result is a win for Chełmianka Chełm, who should continue their effective streak.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Czarni Połaniec | Chełmianka Chełm | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 6% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.35 | 0.91 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 1.07 | 16.00 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Chełmianka Chełm is 86% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Czarni Połaniec · 2.6 pts / match - Chełmianka Chełm
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Czarni Połaniec is 12% better for: goals scored per match.
1.79 goals / match - Czarni Połaniec · 1.6 goals / match - Chełmianka Chełm
Chełmianka Chełm is 83% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.74 goals / match - Czarni Połaniec · 0.95 goals / match - Chełmianka Chełm
Czarni Połaniec scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Chełmianka Chełm keeps a clean sheet in 45% (9 of 20 matches).
Chełmianka Chełm scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Czarni Połaniec keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Czarni Połaniec
Over / Under - Chełmianka Chełm
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Chełmianka Chełm is 70% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Czarni Połaniec · 1.7 pts / match - Chełmianka Chełm
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Czarni Połaniec - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Chełmianka Chełm - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (14 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (18 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Czarni Połaniec
Chełmianka Chełm
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 4).
Teams vs league
| Czarni Połaniec | Liga | Chełmianka Chełm | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.53 | 3.29 | ▼ 2.55 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 60% | ▼ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 63% | 63% | ▼ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 23% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 58% | 54% | ▲ 70% |
| Goal after half-time | • 53% | 54% | ▲ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Czarni PołaniecGoalAdam Kramarz
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Czarni Połaniec 0 - 0 - 1 Chełmianka Chełm. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Czarni Połaniec vs Chełmianka Chełm?
The 3 Liga Group 4 match finished Czarni Połaniec 1:1 Chełmianka Chełm. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Czarni Połaniec vs Chełmianka Chełm?
Czarni Połaniec score 1.79 goals per game on average and Chełmianka Chełm 1.60. The 3 Liga Group 4 average is 3.29 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Czarni Połaniec's matches and 55% of Chełmianka Chełm's.
What form are Czarni Połaniec and Chełmianka Chełm in?
Over the last 5 games Czarni Połaniec have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Chełmianka Chełm 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Czarni Połaniec vs Chełmianka Chełm?
The statistical background for Czarni Połaniec vs Chełmianka Chełm — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.