Daegu vs Yongin City: match statistics

Daegu sit 4th, while Yongin City are 11th, and the hosts have won 12 of their 24 matches this season, suffering just 5 defeats. Daegu’s form is highly consistent: they have collected 11 points from their last five games, remaining unbeaten and conceding only 2 goals, whereas Yongin City have picked up 8 points over the same period. At home, Daegu average 1.92 goals from an xG of 1.82, registering 14.25 shots and 5.75 shots on target per match; away from home, the visitors average 1.36 goals, an xG of 1.25 and 3.55 shots on target. The hosts’ defence is not flawless, allowing an average of 1.48 xG, but Yongin City have failed to score in 18% of their away matches. The visitors’ high 45% away draw rate increases the likelihood of a share of the points, but Daegu’s advantage in chance quality, possession (56% to 49%) and current momentum points to a home win.

Seasonal BTTS indicators are high on both sides: 67% for Daegu and 64% for Yongin City, with both figures exceeding the league average of 62%. The hosts score an average of 1.25 goals, while the visitors average 1.36, and each team allows opponents to score more than 1.3 goals per match on average. Yongin City have shown solid attacking form recently, scoring 1.8 goals per game across their last five matches, while Daegu created chances worth 1.77 xG during the same period. The main argument against this pick is Daegu’s clear defensive improvement: they have conceded just 2 goals in their last five league games, with BTTS landing in only 40% of those matches. Nevertheless, the seasonal consistency of both attacks, combined with the low percentages of matches in which each team failed to score—25% and 18%, respectively—slightly stronger support the scenario of a goal for both sides. In betting terms, this marginally favors BTTS - Yes / Goal/Goal over BTTS - No / No Goal. BTTS - No means that at least one team fails to score; it does not automatically mean a 0:0 result or that neither team will score.

The Over 1.5 goals line is strongly supported by the season results: at least two goals were scored in 83% of Daegu’s matches and 82% of Yongin City’s games. Both teams find the net regularly, with Daegu averaging 1.25 goals and Yongin City 1.36, alongside average xG figures of 1.17 and 1.25, respectively. Yongin City have also scored 9 goals in their last five matches, averaging 1.8 per game, while the hosts have produced a strong 1.77 xG per match over the same period. The projected total of 2.50 goals is close to the league average of 2.70, but Daegu’s solid recent defensive record, conceding just 0.4 goals per game across their last five outings, reduces confidence in Over 2.5. Therefore, Over 1.5 remains the most reliable selection, as even with an improvement in the hosts’ defensive performance, the data from both teams clearly points towards at least two goals.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Daegu win in the match, as the hosts were level at the break in 80% of their last five games, failing to score a single goal during that period. At the same time, Daegu clearly improves after half-time: in their last five matches, they have averaged 1.2 goals scored and only 0.2 conceded in the second half, compared with 0.8 and 0.6 respectively for Yongin City. The hosts are on a five-match unbeaten run, with three wins and two draws, while Yongin City won 40% and lost 20% of their matches during this period. Season-long data also points to a cautious start, as Yongin City were level at half-time in 64% of their matches, with their average number of first-half goals standing at just 0.91. However, the visitors still have a chance of securing a positive result, having led at the break in 40% of their last five appearances, so HT/FT outcomes involving a Yongin City win remain a significant alternative.