Daejeon Citizen vs Anyang: match statistics

Daejeon Citizen have shown slightly better overall form recently, winning 3 of their last 5 matches and scoring 11 goals, while Anyang have managed only 5 goals over the same period. However, at home, the hosts create chances of significantly higher quality than their scoring output suggests: their average xG stands at 1.65, yet they score just 1.08 goals per match and have failed to find the net in 38% of their home fixtures. Anyang are more clinical in front of goal, averaging 1.38 goals away from home with a 13% shot-conversion rate, and have failed to score in only 15% of such matches. On the other hand, the visitors allow opponents an average of 1.85 xG away from home, which should give Daejeon genuine opportunities to score. Both teams have drawn 38% of their matches under these conditions, making a share of the points in a closely contested game the most likely outcome.

Daejeon have recorded BTTS in 77% of their matches, while Anyang have done so in 69%, both figures well above the league average of 52%. The hosts have kept no clean sheets, conceding an average of 1.77 goals per match, while Anyang allow opponents a high 1.85 xG. In their last five matches, Daejeon have scored 11 and conceded 10 goals, while Anyang have scored 5 and conceded 12, indicating that both defenses regularly allow opponents to create scoring opportunities. The visitors average 1.36 xG and 4.38 shots on target per match, which should be enough to exploit the hosts' defensive weaknesses. A Goal/Goal scenario is therefore more likely than BTTS - No, meaning that at least one team fails to score; it does not automatically imply a 0:0 draw or that neither team will score.

Daejeon averaged 2.2 goals scored and 2.0 conceded over their last 5 matches, with 100% of those games going Over 2.5 goals. Anyang conceded as many as 2.4 goals per match during the same period, which clearly supports the hosts’ attacking potential. Daejeon have not kept a single clean sheet throughout the season, while both teams went Over 1.5 goals in 85% and 77% of their matches, respectively. Additionally, Daejeon’s average xG over their last five appearances stands at 1.56, while Anyang allowed opponents 1.52 xG. The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as the data points to a high probability of at least two goals, although the 2.5 line remains more evenly balanced due to Anyang’s season-long scoring efficiency.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Daejeon victory at full-time, as the hosts were level at the break in 54% of their matches, compared with as many as 69% for Anyang. The opening phase should be cautious: Daejeon average 0.46 goals before half-time, while Anyang average 0.62, with both teams scoring in the first half in just 15% and 23% of their matches, respectively. After the break, Daejeon have significantly improved their finishing in their last five matches, averaging 1.8 goals, while Anyang scored 0.8. The hosts are also in better current form, winning 3 of their last 5 matches and scoring 2.2 goals per game in that period, whereas Anyang conceded as many as 2.4 goals. Over the season, Anyang have a slightly better points return, 1.54 compared with 1.08, but their recent first-half problems and Daejeon's attacking impetus after the break strengthen the X/1 option.