Daejeon Citizen vs Gangwon: match statistics
Daejeon Citizen vs Gangwon: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Daejeon Citizen played Gangwon in K League 1 (South Korea). The match was played on 12 April 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Daejeon Citizen: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Gangwon: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Daejeon Citizen scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Gangwon scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.08 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Daejeon Citizen 67%, Gangwon 50%. Over 2.5: Daejeon Citizen 17%, Gangwon 33%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Gangwon has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.47. Daejeon Citizen: 11.7 shots per match, Gangwon: 13.0.
Match halves
Daejeon Citizen: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.83. Gangwon: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Daejeon Citizen: 76-90+ (3 goals). Gangwon: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
K League 1: 2.08 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-3-0. Average goals 1.75, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win (1). Daejeon Citizen holds a clear advantage in chance creation and quality: averaging 13.33 shots and 4.33 on target per home match versus Gangwon’s 9.67 shots and 2.33 on target away, with Daejeon xG at 1.67 versus 1.30 for the opponents. This translates into higher efficiency — Daejeon has a 5% conversion rate and scores 0.67 goals per home game, while Gangwon has 3% and only 0.33 goals away; additionally the visitors fail to score in 67% of their away matches. Defensively the differences are smaller: the hosts concede 1.00 goal at home on average, the visitors 1.33 away, and in the last 5 fixtures the visitors have conceded 3 goals versus 5 for the hosts, although season-wide both teams have 6 goals conceded. Considering Daejeon’s superiority in creation, xG and finishing, I assess the probabilities as 55% for the home side, 25% for a draw and 20% for the away team.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistics are mixed: Daejeon has a season BTTS rate of 67% versus Gangwon's 33%, with a league average BTTS of 56%, which favors a Goal/Goal scenario for the home side. Based on xG, expected goals are approximately 1.79 for Daejeon (home attack xG 2.09 vs away defense xG 1.48) and 0.96 for Gangwon (away attack xG 1.30 vs home defense xG 0.61). That translates roughly to ~83% chance Daejeon will score at least once and ~62% chance Gangwon will score at least once, yielding about a 51% probability of BTTS assuming independence. Additionally, Daejeon averages 5.0 shots on target and has a home goals season average of 1.67, while Gangwon away averages 2.33 shots on target and a season goals average of 0.33; in the last 5 matches both teams have scored 5 goals each (avg 1.0), which partially boosts the chance the visitors will also score. Considering xG 1.79/0.96, the high season BTTS of the home team at 67% and the league average 56% versus Gangwon’s weak season scoring of 0.33, I recommend BTTS - Yes with moderate confidence (56% vs 44%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG model (average of home attack and opponent defense) yields 1.79 expected goals for Daejeon (2.09 xG for the home attack vs 1.48 xG conceded by Gangwon) and 0.95 for Gangwon (1.30 xG for the away attack vs 0.61 xG conceded by Daejeon), totaling ~2.74 goals. A Poisson distribution at this mean translates to roughly a 76% chance of Over 1.5, ~52% for Over 2.5 and ~30% for Over 3.5. Daejeon at home has 100% of matches over 1.5 goals, averages 5.0 shots on target and 16.33 shots per match, while Gangwon records 2.33 shots on target, 9.67 shots and a low conversion rate of 3%, which raises the probability of at least two goals. In the last 5 matches the home side averages 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded (2.0 goals/match), the away side 1.0 scored and 0.6 conceded (1.6 goals/match), and the combined value is above the league average of 2.11, further supporting the over. Based on this, the strongest betting signal is Over 1.5 (line 1.5), as it provides a clear probabilistic edge.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistical analysis shows Daejeon’s superiority in chance creation: xG 2.09 versus 1.30, on average 16.33 shots versus 9.67 and 5.0 shots on target versus 2.33, with conversion rates 10% vs 3%, which increases their goal-scoring prospects. In the first half the home side average 1.00 goal while the visitors average 0.00; seasonally Daejeon have scored over 0.5 goals by half-time in 100% of home matches and have scored 3 goals in minutes 0–15, so a lead at the break favors them. In the second half the hosts also perform better: on average 0.67 goals, 7 points gained in second halves and 67% second-half wins, suggesting maintenance or enlargement of the lead after the break. Gangwon have low effectiveness (on average 0.33 goals per match, xG 1.30, 2.33 shots on target) and 0% away wins, so a turnaround is unlikely; therefore the strongest signal from the data is a Daejeon lead at half-time and a home victory at full-time (HT/FT 1/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Daejeon Citizen | Gangwon | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 28% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Gangwon is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Daejeon Citizen · 1.2 pts / match - Gangwon
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Daejeon Citizen scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Gangwon keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
Gangwon scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Daejeon Citizen keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Daejeon Citizen
Over / Under - Gangwon
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Gangwon is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.5 pts / match - Daejeon Citizen · 1 pts / match - Gangwon
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Daejeon Citizen - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Gangwon - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Daejeon Citizen
Gangwon
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (K League 1).
Teams vs league
| Daejeon Citizen | Liga | Gangwon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.00 | 2.08 | • 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 54% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 17% | 33% | • 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 29% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 56% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 72% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Daejeon Citizen 1 - 3 - 0 Gangwon. Average goals 1.75, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Daejeon Citizen vs Gangwon?
The K League 1 match finished Daejeon Citizen 0:2 Gangwon. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Daejeon Citizen and Gangwon?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Daejeon Citizen won 1, Gangwon won 0 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 1.75 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Daejeon Citizen vs Gangwon?
Daejeon Citizen score 1.00 goals per game on average and Gangwon 1.00. The K League 1 average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Daejeon Citizen's matches and 50% of Gangwon's.
What form are Daejeon Citizen and Gangwon in?
Over the last 5 games Daejeon Citizen have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Gangwon 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Daejeon Citizen vs Gangwon?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.