Dalian Zhixing vs Shandong Luneng: match statistics
Dalian Zhixing vs Shandong Luneng: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Dalian Zhixing played Shandong Luneng in Chinese Super League (China). The match was played on 18 July 2026. Venue: Beijing National Stadium. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Dalian Zhixing: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Shandong Luneng: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Dalian Zhixing scores 1.47 and concedes 1.82 goals per match. Shandong Luneng scores 1.89 and concedes 1.72. League average: 3.10 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Dalian Zhixing 59%, Shandong Luneng 72%. Over 2.5: Dalian Zhixing 65%, Shandong Luneng 72%. League level: BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Dalian Zhixing has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.56. Dalian Zhixing: 14.1 shots per match, Shandong Luneng: 14.1.
Match halves
Dalian Zhixing: half-time lead 12%, second-half goals 1.06. Shandong Luneng: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Dalian Zhixing: 76-90+ (10 goals). Shandong Luneng: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Chinese Super League: 3.10 goals per match, BTTS 66%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Dalian Zhixing holds a clear advantage in home metrics: they score 1.78 goals per match on average with an xG of 1.76 and record 4.78 shots on target, whereas Shandong Luneng average 1.33 goals away with xG 1.21 and 3.11 shots on target. The hosts also look stronger defensively at their stadium — they concede 1.44 goals per match on average and have 44% clean sheets, while the visitors concede 2.00 goals away and have only 11% clean sheets. Additionally, Dalian has never failed to score in home matches (FTS 0%), whereas Shandong have 33% of away games without scoring, which reduces their prospects against a demanding defense. On the other hand the visitors are on a very good scoring run — 14 goals in the last 5 matches (2.8 per match) versus the hosts’ 7 goals (1.4), so they can be dangerous offensively. Considering the higher shot volume (16.22 vs 11.11), higher xG (1.76 vs 1.21) and 67% home win rate for the hosts versus 44% away win rate for the visitors, I forecast a Dalian Zhixing victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The primary signal for BTTS comes from the home side: Dalian Zhixing have a season BTTS rate of 89%, Shandong Luneng 56%, versus a league average of 64%; additionally both teams have only 11% of matches with a clean sheet. Offensively the hosts score 2.44 goals per game with xG 1.91, registering 17.11 shots and 6.33 on target, while Shandong concede 2.00 goals on average with xG against 1.72, suggesting the hosts will create chances. The away team scores 1.33 goals seasonally with xG 1.21, but in the last 5 matches they have netted 14 goals (2.8 per game) with xG 1.43, whereas Dalian have conceded 1.6 goals on average in their last 5 matches with xG against 1.07 — this opens the door for the visitors to score. Additionally the league averages 3.1 goals per match, and home matches finish over 2.5 goals in 78% of cases and away matches in 67%, with the combination of over 2.5 and BTTS occurring in 67% (home) and 56% (away), confirming the open nature of these fixtures. Considering these specific figures I assign a 72% probability to BTTS (Yes) versus 28% (No) and select "yes" as the strongest signal.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Dalian Zhixing averages 2.44 goals scored per match with xG 1.91, while Shandong Luneng averages 1.33 goals with xG 1.21; the home side concedes 1.44 goals and the visitors 2.00, indicating an open match. This season Dalian has 100% of matches Over 1.5 goals, Shandong 78%, and the league average is 3.1 goals per game; in the last 5 rounds Dalian scored 7 goals (xG 1.79) and Shandong 14 goals (xG 1.43). Dalian averages 6.33 on-target shots and 17.11 attempts per match versus Shandong’s 3.11 on-target and 11.11 attempts, with conversion rates of 14% and 12% — confirming the home side’s offensive advantage. A model accounting for offensive and defensive xG yields expected goals of approximately 1.82 for Dalian and 1.26 for Shandong, total 3.08 (close to the league average 3.1), which increases the probability of Over 2.5. Considering the consistency of signals (100% Over 1.5 for the home team, 78% for the visitors and high BTTS rates 89%/56%), I recommend backing Over 1.5 as the strongest pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A dominant signal favoring the home side: Dalian scores an average of 2.44 goals per match versus Shandong’s 1.33 and records a higher xG (1.91 vs 1.21); they also average 1.22 goals by half-time compared to the opponents’ 0.56, which suggests a lead at the break. Additionally, the home team registers 6.33 shots on target and 17.11 attempts per match versus the visitors’ 3.11 and 11.11, and at their stadium they earn 2.0 points per match with a 56% win rate, while the away side averages 1.33 points and a 44% win rate. Dalian frequently converts their advantage after the break — they have scored 6 goals in the 61–75 minute window while the visitors have 0 in that period — which increases the likelihood of maintaining the lead to full-time. Nevertheless, in 3 of the last 5 matches (60%) Shandong led at half-time, and over the last five rounds the visitors averaged 1.4 goals by half-time versus 0.6 for the hosts, so the risk of a turnaround is real. Therefore the most likely scenario is 1/1 (36%), with lower probabilities for X/1 (15%) and 2/2 (15%) as alternatives.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Dalian Zhixing | Shandong Luneng | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Shandong Luneng is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
1.47 goals / match - Dalian Zhixing · 1.89 goals / match - Shandong Luneng
Shandong Luneng is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.82 goals / match - Dalian Zhixing · 1.72 goals / match - Shandong Luneng
Dalian Zhixing scores in 88% of matches (15 of 17 matches), while Shandong Luneng keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 18 matches).
Shandong Luneng scores in 83% of matches (15 of 18 matches), while Dalian Zhixing keeps a clean sheet in 29% (5 of 17 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Dalian Zhixing
Over / Under - Shandong Luneng
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Shandong Luneng is 111% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.71 pts / match - Dalian Zhixing · 1.5 pts / match - Shandong Luneng
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Dalian Zhixing - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 12% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Shandong Luneng - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Dalian Zhixing
Shandong Luneng
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Chinese Super League).
Teams vs league
| Dalian Zhixing | Liga | Shandong Luneng | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.29 | 3.10 | ▲ 3.61 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 59% | 66% | ▲ 72% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 60% | ▲ 72% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 19% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 70% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | • 88% | 89% | • 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Dalian Zhixing 2 - 0 - 1 Shandong Luneng. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Dalian Zhixing vs Shandong Luneng?
The Chinese Super League match finished Dalian Zhixing 3:1 Shandong Luneng. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Dalian Zhixing and Shandong Luneng?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Dalian Zhixing won 2, Shandong Luneng won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Dalian Zhixing vs Shandong Luneng?
Dalian Zhixing score 1.47 goals per game on average and Shandong Luneng 1.89. The Chinese Super League average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Dalian Zhixing's matches and 72% of Shandong Luneng's.
What form are Dalian Zhixing and Shandong Luneng in?
Over the last 5 games Dalian Zhixing have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Shandong Luneng 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Dalian Zhixing vs Shandong Luneng?
The statistical background for Dalian Zhixing vs Shandong Luneng — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.