Dalian Zhixing vs Shenyang Urban: match statistics

Dalian Zhixing have a clear home advantage: they have won 70% of their home matches, averaging 1.9 goals per game and failing to score in none of them. Shenyang Urban win only 11% of their away fixtures, concede an average of 1.78 goals, and have failed to score in 44% of their matches. The hosts create more chances, averaging 16.6 shots and 5.4 shots on target per game, compared with 12.78 shots and 4.33 on target for the visitors, while their average xG stands at 1.83 versus 1.44 for their opponents. The defensive numbers also favour Dalian: they allow opponents an xG of 1.16, whereas Shenyang allow 1.56 away from home. The teams’ recent form is similar, but Dalian’s record of 2 wins and 2 draws in their last five league matches, combined with Shenyang’s poor away results, points to a home win.

The signal for both teams to score is clear: Dalian Zhixing record BTTS in 64% of their matches, while this figure has reached 100% across their last five games; Shenyang Urban stand at 80% over the same period. The hosts have recently averaged 2.0 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, while the visitors have scored 1.6 and allowed 1.8 goals per match. Both defences rarely keep a clean sheet over the course of the season, doing so in just 9% and 11% of matches respectively, which significantly increases the likelihood that both sides will find the net. Their attacking potential is also supported by recent xG figures: 1.96 for Dalian Zhixing and 1.26 for Shenyang Urban, with xG against at 1.75 and 1.60 respectively. Although Shenyang Urban’s season-long BTTS rate is only 44%, their current goalscoring form and both teams’ defensive issues point towards a BTTS - Yes outcome.

The match profile points to at least two goals: Dalian Zhixing scores an average of 1.64 goals, while Shenyang Urban concedes as many as 1.78 goals per match. The visitors create chances worth an average of 1.44 xG, while the hosts allow opponents 1.50 xG, which boosts their projected scoring output despite averaging 1.11 goals scored. The 1.5 line was surpassed in 73% of Dalian’s matches and 78% of Shenyang’s, while in their last five appearances, both teams scored an average of 3.6 goals per match combined. Additionally, each team conceded in at least 89% of their matches this season, making Over 1.5 the market with the strongest statistical backing.

Dalian Zhixing have a clearly superior full-season record: they win 55% of their matches and average 1.64 goals, while Shenyang Urban win only 11% of their games and concede an average of 1.78 goals. The hosts’ advantage is particularly evident before half-time, as they led at the break in 36% of their matches, whereas the visitors went into the interval trailing in as many as 78% of cases; they concede an average of 1.33 goals in the first half, compared with 0.45 for Dalian. Dalian score 0.64 goals per match before the break, compared with just 0.33 for Shenyang, which supports the possibility of an early lead for the hosts. The visitors are more dangerous after half-time, averaging 0.78 goals and recording 1.78 points in second halves, so draw or turnaround scenarios remain relevant; however, the strongest outcome remains Dalian maintaining their lead until full-time.