Uruguay - Primera DivisiónEstadio Jardines del HipódromoData current as of 14 October 2026

Danubio vs Central Español: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Danubio vs Central Español: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Danubio play Central Español in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo.

Current form

Danubio: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Central Español: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Danubio scores 0.81 and concedes 1.28 goals per match. Central Español scores 1.00 and concedes 1.34. League average: 2.37 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Danubio 47%, Central Español 47%. Over 2.5: Danubio 38%, Central Español 50%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 44%.

xG, shots and style

Danubio has higher xG: 1.27 vs 1.23. Danubio: 9.9 shots per match, Central Español: 9.3.

Match halves

Danubio: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.34. Central Español: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.66.

Goals by minute

Danubio: 0-15 (6 goals). Central Español: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.37 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 44%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.90)
(3.22)
(3.71)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

DanubioCentral Español
0.81Goals scored / match1
DanubioCentral Español
1.28Goals conceded / match1.34
DanubioCentral Español
51%Average possession42%
DanubioCentral Español
3.34Shots on target / match3.69
DanubioCentral Español

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.91Shots per match9.25
DanubioCentral Español
3.34Shots on target3.69
DanubioCentral Español
8.2%Shot conversion10.8%
DanubioCentral Español
51%Possession42%
DanubioCentral Español
1.27xG for1.23
DanubioCentral Español
1.33xG against1.69
DanubioCentral Español

Shooting quality

Danubio: BalancedCentral Español: Balanced
DanubioCentral Español
Accuracy (shots on target)34%40%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.240.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Danubio is 400% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Danubio · 0.2 pts / match - Central Español

Danubio
DDLWL
Season result split
16% W44% D41% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-14-13
0.91 pts / match · goal difference -15
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
3-8-4
Last 5 at home
1-2-2
LDLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.18Opponent xG: 1.19BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%
Central Español
DLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
31% W25% D44% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-8-14
1.19 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-4-7
Last 5 away
0-2-3
DLLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.24Opponent xG: 1.41BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Central Español is 23% better for: goals scored per match.

0.81 goals / match - Danubio · 1 goals / match - Central Español

Danubio is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.28 goals / match - Danubio · 1.34 goals / match - Central Español

Danubio scoring profile: mixed

Danubio scores in 53% of matches (17 of 32 matches), while Central Español keeps a clean sheet in 31% (10 of 32 matches).

Central Español scoring profile: strong

Central Español scores in 66% of matches (21 of 32 matches), while Danubio keeps a clean sheet in 22% (7 of 32 matches).

26Goals scored (season)32
DanubioCentral Español
41Goals conceded (season)43
DanubioCentral Español
2.09Average goals in match2.34
DanubioCentral Español
4Goals scored (last 5)2
DanubioCentral Español
5Goals conceded (last 5)10
DanubioCentral Español

How often they score at least...

53%1 goal66%
DanubioCentral Español
22%2 goals25%
DanubioCentral Español
3%3 goals9%
DanubioCentral Español
3%4 goals0%
DanubioCentral Español

How often they concede at least...

78%1 goal69%
DanubioCentral Español
31%2 goals34%
DanubioCentral Español
13%3 goals19%
DanubioCentral Español
6%4 goals6%
DanubioCentral Español

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

47%
Central Español - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.15 of 32 matches
51%
League average

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time19%
DanubioCentral Español
3%BTTS in both halves3%
DanubioCentral Español
9%Scored in both halves16%
DanubioCentral Español

BTTS and goal count

28%Min. 3 goals and BTTS41%
DanubioCentral Español
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
DanubioCentral Español
60%BTTS - last 540%
DanubioCentral Español

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

59%Min. 1 goal before half-time53%
DanubioCentral Español
22%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
DanubioCentral Español
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
DanubioCentral Español

2nd half

69%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
DanubioCentral Español
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time41%
DanubioCentral Español
19%Min. 3 goals after half-time16%
DanubioCentral Español

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Danubio is 52% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.34 pts / match - Danubio · 0.88 pts / match - Central Español

Danubio - half-time state
28% leading50% draw22% trailing
Central Español - half-time state
9% leading59% draw31% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.34Points per match (1st half)0.88
DanubioCentral Español
0.47Goals scored (1st half)0.34
DanubioCentral Español
0.38Goals conceded (1st half)0.56
DanubioCentral Español
0.84Average goals (1st half)0.91
DanubioCentral Español
66%Clean sheet before half-time53%
DanubioCentral Español
63%No goal before half-time75%
DanubioCentral Español

After half-time (2nd half)

0.78Points per match (2nd half)1.41
DanubioCentral Español
0.34Goals scored (2nd half)0.66
DanubioCentral Español
0.91Goals conceded (2nd half)0.78
DanubioCentral Español
1.25Average goals (2nd half)1.44
DanubioCentral Español
38%Clean sheet after half-time50%
DanubioCentral Español
75%No goal after half-time44%
DanubioCentral Español

Danubio - second-half results

13% W41% D47% L
43
Half-time points
15
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
-18
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.34
PPG before half-time
Lead holding57%

Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 16%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Central Español - second-half results

34% W38% D28% L
28
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
45
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.88
PPG before half-time
Lead holding344%

Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Danubio - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.60
Goals scored / match0.60.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.00.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference+1-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Central Español - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.200.60
Goals scored / match0.20.2
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-4-4
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Danubio
ScoredConceded
6
1
0-15
6
5
16-30
3
6
31-45
3
11
46-60
3
3
61-75
5
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.

Central Español
ScoredConceded
2
5
0-15
1
6
16-30
8
7
31-45
6
7
46-60
8
7
61-75
7
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.22
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
93%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+81%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
35%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
16%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Danubio

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.46
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
62%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
120%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Central Español

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.46
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+3.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.23
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.35
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
93%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.99
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

DanubioLigaCentral Español
Average goals in match▼ 2.092.37• 2.34
Both teams scored▼ 47%51%▼ 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 38%44%▲ 50%
Clean sheets▼ 22%29%▲ 31%
Goal before half-time▼ 59%67%▼ 53%
Goal after half-time▼ 69%73%▲ 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.37
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.30
Home goals / match
1.07
Away goals / match
+21%
Home attack advantage
+18%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Danubio 0 - 1 - 0 Central Español. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Danubio and Central Español play?

Danubio face Central Español on 18 October 2026 in Primera División at Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Danubio vs Central Español?

Danubio score 0.81 goals per game on average and Central Español 1.00. The Primera División average is 2.37 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Danubio's matches and 47% of Central Español's.

What form are Danubio and Central Español in?

Over the last 5 games Danubio have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Central Español 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Danubio vs Central Español?

The statistical background for Danubio vs Central Español — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.