Danubio vs Cerro: match statistics
Danubio vs Cerro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Danubio played Cerro in Primera División (Uruguay). The match was played on 9 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Danubio: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match. Cerro: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Danubio scores 1.00 and concedes 1.36 goals per match. Cerro scores 0.64 and concedes 1.55. League average: 2.37 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Danubio 55%, Cerro 41%. Over 2.5: Danubio 45%, Cerro 36%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Cerro has higher xG: 1.28 vs 1.21. Danubio: 9.1 shots per match, Cerro: 11.1.
Match halves
Danubio: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.45. Cerro: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.27.
Goals by minute
Danubio: 0-15 (5 goals). Cerro: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.37 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-1-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Danubio have a clearly stronger home profile: they concede just 0.90 goals on average, while Cerro allow opponents 2.45 goals per away match. The hosts score 1.20 goals per home game with an xG of 1.43, whereas the visitors manage only 0.64 goals away from home and fail to score in 45% of their matches. Cerro have lost as many as 82% of their away games, have kept no clean sheets and have a -20 goal difference, which strongly supports the case for Danubio. The hosts’ recent form has been draw-heavy, with 4 draws and 1 defeat in their last five matches, but Cerro have also lost 3 of their last 5. The most likely outcome is a controlled, low-scoring Danubio win, although their 60% home draw rate increases the likelihood of the points being shared.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The stronger signal points to BTTS - No, as Danubio sees both teams score in only 27% of matches, well below the league average of 51%. The hosts score just 0.64 goals per game on average, while in their last five outings they have netted 3 goals, or 0.6 per match. Cerro has a very weak away defence, conceding an average of 2.45 goals, but they also score only 0.64 goals per game and have failed to score in 45% of their season matches. The recent form of both teams is also low-scoring: BTTS landed in 40% of their last five matches, with Danubio averaging 0.6 goals and Cerro 0.8. Although Cerro have not kept a clean sheet yet, the hosts’ limited scoring efficiency of 6% and their low current attacking output provide stronger support for a scenario in which at least one side fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Danubio have not recorded a single league match with more than 2.5 goals, while 100% of these fixtures finished with Under 3.5 goals. The hosts score just 0.64 goals on average and concede 0.64, while across their last five matches their scoring figures stand at 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game. Cerro have a weak away defensive record, conceding an average of 2.45 goals, but their own attacking output remains low: 0.64 goals this season and 0.8 over their last five matches. The estimated xG suggests an advantage for Danubio, but not an open game, standing at 1.25 for the hosts versus 1.30 for Cerro, while both teams convert shots into goals at just 6% and 5%, respectively. The Under 3.5 goals line is best supported by Danubio’s very low-scoring profile and the projected total of 2.20 goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Danubio win, as the hosts were level after 45 minutes in 9 of 11 matches, or 82% of the time, while Cerro were trailing at that stage in 7 of 11 games (64%). Danubio have been exceptionally solid defensively before the break, conceding an average of just 0.09 goals, whereas Cerro allow opponents 1.18 goals in the first half. After the interval, the visitors concede an average of 1.27 goals, and as many as 2.45 goals per match across the season, significantly increasing the hosts’ chances of completing a turnaround late in the game. The difference in quality is confirmed by the full-time results: Cerro have lost 82% of their matches, with just 9% ending in wins, while Danubio have kept a clean sheet in 36% of their appearances.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Danubio | Cerro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cerro is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Danubio · 1.2 pts / match - Cerro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Danubio is 56% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Danubio · 0.64 goals / match - Cerro
Danubio is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.36 goals / match - Danubio · 1.55 goals / match - Cerro
Danubio scores in 64% of matches (14 of 22 matches), while Cerro keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
Cerro scores in 59% of matches (13 of 22 matches), while Danubio keeps a clean sheet in 23% (5 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Danubio
Over / Under - Cerro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Danubio is 69% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.45 pts / match - Danubio · 0.86 pts / match - Cerro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Danubio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Cerro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Danubio
Cerro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Danubio | Liga | Cerro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.36 | 2.37 | ▼ 2.18 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 51% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 45% | 45% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 28% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 68% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 77% | 72% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Danubio 2 - 1 - 0 Cerro. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Danubio vs Cerro?
The Primera División match finished Danubio 0:1 Cerro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Danubio and Cerro?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Danubio won 2, Cerro won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Danubio vs Cerro?
Danubio score 1.00 goals per game on average and Cerro 0.64. The Primera División average is 2.37 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Danubio's matches and 41% of Cerro's.
What form are Danubio and Cerro in?
Over the last 5 games Danubio have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Cerro 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Danubio vs Cerro?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Danubio vs Cerro: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.