Danubio vs Deportivo Maldonado: match statistics
Danubio vs Deportivo Maldonado: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Danubio played Deportivo Maldonado in Primera División (Uruguay). The match was played on 19 April 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Danubio: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Deportivo Maldonado: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Danubio scores 1.27 and concedes 1.36 goals per match. Deportivo Maldonado scores 1.73 and concedes 1.09. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Danubio 55%, Deportivo Maldonado 55%. Over 2.5: Danubio 45%, Deportivo Maldonado 55%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Deportivo Maldonado has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.20. Danubio: 8.6 shots per match, Deportivo Maldonado: 12.4.
Match halves
Danubio: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.64. Deportivo Maldonado: half-time lead 64%, second-half goals 0.64.
Goals by minute
Danubio: 0-15 (3 goals). Deportivo Maldonado: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Danubio averages 1.8 goals scored and concedes 0.8 goals per home match, with average xG of 1.48 versus xG against 1.09, indicating higher quality chance creation and a solid defensive structure for the hosts. Deportivo on the road scores 1.5 and concedes 1.5 per match (xG 1.36 for / 1.30 against); despite having 9 goals in their last 5 matches overall, their away defense appears less stable. Over the last 5 matches Danubio have scored only 4 goals and have not won any (0 wins, 3 draws, 2 losses; 0.6 points per game), while Deportivo in that period have 3 wins and 1.8 points per game, reflecting better attacking form from the visitors. At home Danubio registers 5.4 shots on target per game with an 18% conversion rate versus 4.0 and 13% for Deportivo; additionally the hosts are unbeaten at home this season (0% losses) and have 40% of matches with a clean sheet. Considering the higher quality of chances (xG 1.48 vs 1.36), lower average goals conceded for the hosts (0.8 vs 1.5) and superior efficiency, I predict a narrow Danubio victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Deportivo Maldonado has a seasonal BTTS of 67%, scores on average 1.5 goals per away match and has scored 9 goals in the last 5 matches (avg 1.8). Danubio at home averages 2.0 goals scored and concedes only 0.6 goals with xG_for 1.57 vs xG_against 1.11, yet has a low seasonal BTTS of 40% and kept a clean sheet in 60% of home matches. However, in the last 5 meetings both teams have BTTS at 60% and Danubio over that period concedes on average 1.4 goals, while Deportivo also concedes 1.4, which increases the likelihood of an exchange of goals. Considering the hosts have strong seasonal defensive metrics (0.6 goals conceded) but have been weakening recently, and the visitors regularly score (xG_for 1.36 and 1.8 goals in the last 5), the 'Both Teams To Score' scenario looks more probable. I estimate BTTS probability at 62% vs 38% for No BTTS and recommend a 'Yes' bet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Calculations based on xG and the opponent's defense yield approximately 1.44 xG for Danubio ((1.57+1.30)/2) and 1.24 xG for Deportivo Maldonado ((1.36+1.11)/2), totaling around 2.68 xG. Seasonal figures confirm the offensive potential: Danubio scores 2.0 goals at home on average and keeps a clean sheet in 60% of matches, while Maldonado scores 1.5 goals away on average and has both teams scoring in 67% of their away games; season-long Over 1.5 rates are 60% for the home side and 83% for the visitors. Danubio averages 13.6 shots with a 15% conversion versus 11.5 shots and 13% conversion for the away team, which increases the likelihood of concrete goalscoring situations. Based on a combined xG ~2.68 I estimate the probability of Over 1.5 at about 76% (Under 24%), Over 2.5 at about 52% (Under 48%) and Over 3.5 at about 31% (Under 69%). Therefore the most sensible and strongest signal is to play Over 1.5, as the combined xG, Maldonado’s high Over 1.5 percentage (83%) and Danubio’s advantage in shots and conversion provide a clear edge for this market.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Danubio holds a clear advantage in seasonal data: seasonal average points at home are 3.0 versus 1.17 for Deportivo, home win percentage is 100% vs 33% for the away side, and average goals are 2.0 vs 1.5. At half-time Danubio led in 60% of matches and averages 1.2 HT goals, while Deportivo averages 1.0 HT goal and the overall AVGHT is 1.8 for the hosts versus 1.33 for the visitors, which favors a Danubio lead at the break. After the break the hosts concede less (seasonal average goals conceded at home 0.6) and have higher xG (1.57 vs 1.36) and more shots on target (5 vs 4), suggesting the possibility of maintaining the lead. Although Deportivo have better recent form over the last five matches (last 5: away 60% wins vs hosts 0%), Danubio’s home advantage and 60% clean sheets at home make the 1/1 scenario the strongest supported by the data, therefore it was assigned the highest probability of 42%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Danubio | Deportivo Maldonado | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Deportivo Maldonado is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Danubio · 1.8 pts / match - Deportivo Maldonado
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportivo Maldonado is 36% better for: goals scored per match.
1.27 goals / match - Danubio · 1.73 goals / match - Deportivo Maldonado
Deportivo Maldonado is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.36 goals / match - Danubio · 1.09 goals / match - Deportivo Maldonado
Danubio scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while Deportivo Maldonado keeps a clean sheet in 45% (5 of 11 matches).
Deportivo Maldonado scores in 91% of matches (10 of 11 matches), while Danubio keeps a clean sheet in 27% (3 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Danubio
Over / Under - Deportivo Maldonado
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportivo Maldonado is 46% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.55 pts / match - Danubio · 2.27 pts / match - Deportivo Maldonado
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Danubio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 27%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Deportivo Maldonado - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 64% of matches and wins 64%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 0% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Danubio | Liga | Deportivo Maldonado | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.64 | 2.47 | ▲ 2.82 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 51% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 45% | 46% | ▲ 55% |
| Clean sheets | • 27% | 27% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | • 73% | 72% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 76% | ▼ 73% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Danubio vs Deportivo Maldonado?
The Primera División match finished Danubio 1:1 Deportivo Maldonado. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Danubio vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Danubio score 1.27 goals per game on average and Deportivo Maldonado 1.73. The Primera División average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Danubio's matches and 55% of Deportivo Maldonado's.
What form are Danubio and Deportivo Maldonado in?
Over the last 5 games Danubio have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Deportivo Maldonado 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Danubio vs Deportivo Maldonado?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Danubio vs Deportivo Maldonado: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.