Danubio vs Juventud: match statistics
Danubio displays a much stronger home form with a 50% win rate and an impressive 0% loss rate at their own stadium. The hosts possess a significant advantage in ball possession (62% vs 39%) and a higher shot conversion (19% vs 16%), which translates to better xG metrics (1.57 vs 1.11). Juventud has not won any away match this season (0% Win%), conceding an average of 2 goals per game and failing to keep a single clean sheet. The visitors' recent away form (a draw and a loss) along with a negative goal difference (-1) further diminish their chances. Taking all statistics into account, Danubio has a clear advantage, although H2H history and the unpredictability of football leave some room for a draw.
Danubio vs Juventud: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Danubio played Juventud in Primera División (Uruguay). The match was played on 16 March 2026. Final score: 4:1.
Current form
Danubio: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Juventud: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Danubio scores 1.20 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Juventud scores 1.20 and concedes 1.40. League average: 2.22 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Danubio 40%, Juventud 60%. Over 2.5: Danubio 40%, Juventud 60%. League level: BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 41%.
xG, shots and style
Juventud has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.06. Danubio: 7.6 shots per match, Juventud: 11.2.
Match halves
Danubio: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.80. Juventud: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.40.
Goals by minute
Danubio: 0-15 (2 goals). Juventud: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.22 goals per match, BTTS 43%, Over 2.5 41%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 3.67, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Danubio displays a much stronger home form with a 50% win rate and an impressive 0% loss rate at their own stadium. The hosts possess a significant advantage in ball possession (62% vs 39%) and a higher shot conversion (19% vs 16%), which translates to better xG metrics (1.57 vs 1.11). Juventud has not won any away match this season (0% Win%), conceding an average of 2 goals per game and failing to keep a single clean sheet. The visitors' recent away form (a draw and a loss) along with a negative goal difference (-1) further diminish their chances. Taking all statistics into account, Danubio has a clear advantage, although H2H history and the unpredictability of football leave some room for a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Danubio | Juventud | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 52% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.46 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Danubio is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Danubio · 0.8 pts / match - Juventud
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Danubio scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Juventud keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
Juventud scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Danubio keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Danubio
Over / Under - Juventud
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Juventud is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.2 pts / match - Danubio · 1.4 pts / match - Juventud
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Danubio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Juventud - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Danubio
Juventud
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Danubio | Liga | Juventud | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.60 | 2.22 | ▲ 2.60 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 43% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 40% | 41% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 32% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 63% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 74% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Danubio 1 - 1 - 1 Juventud. Average goals 3.67, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Danubio vs Juventud?
The Primera División match finished Danubio 4:1 Juventud. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Danubio and Juventud?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Danubio won 1, Juventud won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Danubio vs Juventud?
Danubio score 1.20 goals per game on average and Juventud 1.20. The Primera División average is 2.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 41% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Danubio's matches and 60% of Juventud's.
What form are Danubio and Juventud in?
Over the last 5 games Danubio have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Juventud 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Danubio vs Juventud?
The statistical background for Danubio vs Juventud — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.