Danubio vs Nacional: match statistics
Danubio vs Nacional: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Danubio play Nacional in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 11 July 2026 at 20:00. Venue: Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Danubio: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Nacional: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Danubio scores 1.00 and concedes 1.35 goals per match. Nacional scores 1.52 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.41 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Danubio 55%, Nacional 57%. Over 2.5: Danubio 45%, Nacional 67%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Nacional has higher xG: 1.50 vs 1.24. Danubio: 9.3 shots per match, Nacional: 11.9.
Match halves
Danubio: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.50. Nacional: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Danubio: 0-15 (4 goals). Nacional: 31-45+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.41 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
4 H2H matches: 1-1-2. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Match description
The visitors are the favorites — I predict a Nacional win because they sit 2nd and have 10 wins this season versus Danubio’s 4 wins, and have scored 31 goals compared to the home side’s 20. Nacional shows significantly better form: in the last 5 matches they have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss, averaging 2 points per game, while Danubio in their last 5 have 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses, with only 0.4 points per game. The visitors’ attack is more efficient — Nacional average 1.7 goals away with a 15% conversion rate and record just 10% of matches without scoring, whereas Danubio at home average 1.33 goals per game, 12% conversion and 22% of matches without a goal. The hosts’ defense is better locally (Danubio concede 1.0 goals at home versus Nacional conceding 2.0 goals away), but similar xG figures (Danubio xG 1.51 at home vs Nacional xG 1.42 away) indicate chances will be balanced. Considering the visitors’ edge in form and efficiency I give Nacional a 50% chance to win, a draw 30% (factoring in Danubio’s 56% draw rate at home) and the hosts 20%.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Danubio | Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nacional is 133% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Danubio · 1.4 pts / match - Nacional
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nacional is 52% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Danubio · 1.52 goals / match - Nacional
Danubio scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).
Nacional scores in 81% of matches (17 of 21 matches), while Danubio keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Danubio
Over / Under — Nacional
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Danubio is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / match - Danubio · 1.24 pts / match - Nacional
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Danubio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Danubio
Nacional
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Danubio | Liga | Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.35 | 2.41 | ▲ 2.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 52% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 45% | 46% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 27% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 69% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 73% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Danubio 1 - 1 - 2 Nacional. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Danubio vs Nacional?
The Primera División match finished Danubio 0:0 Nacional. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Danubio and Nacional?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Danubio won 1, Nacional won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Danubio vs Nacional?
Danubio score 1.00 goals per game on average and Nacional 1.52. The Primera División average is 2.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Danubio's matches and 57% of Nacional's.
What form are Danubio and Nacional in?
Over the last 5 games Danubio have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Nacional 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Danubio vs Nacional?
The statistical background for Danubio vs Nacional — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.