Danubio vs Peñarol: match statistics
Danubio vs Peñarol: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Danubio played Peñarol in Primera División (Uruguay). The match was played on 5 September 2026. Venue: Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo. Final score: 0:4.
Current form
Danubio: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Peñarol: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Danubio scores 0.85 and concedes 1.23 goals per match. Peñarol scores 1.62 and concedes 0.85. League average: 2.35 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Danubio 46%, Peñarol 50%. Over 2.5: Danubio 38%, Peñarol 46%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Peñarol has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.27. Danubio: 9.9 shots per match, Peñarol: 14.5.
Match halves
Danubio: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.38. Peñarol: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.92.
Goals by minute
Danubio: 0-15 (5 goals). Peñarol: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.35 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Peñarol lead the league and have won 15 of their 26 matches this season, while Danubio have just 4 victories and as many as 12 draws. The visitors are also in better current form: they have recorded 3 wins in their last five matches and scored 8 goals, whereas Danubio have found the net only 3 times during that period. Away from home, Peñarol win 64% of their matches, concede just 0.55 goals per game, and keep a clean sheet in 64% of their outings. Danubio draw as many as 58% of their home matches and fail to score in 42% of them, which could significantly limit their chances against the visitors’ defence. The hosts do create chances of a similar quality, with an average xG of 1.45 compared with Peñarol’s 1.50, but the visitors’ advantage in finishing, defensive solidity, and current form points to an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal comes from Peñarol’s defensive record: the visitors have kept a clean sheet in 64% of their matches and concede just 0.55 goals per game on average. Danubio have scored only 3 goals in their last five outings, averaging 0.6 per match, while BTTS landed in just 20% of those games. Peñarol are also in strong defensive form, having conceded 3 goals in their last five matches, an average of 0.6, despite Danubio generating xG of 1.34 during this period. The hosts may create chances, as shown by their season xG of 1.85, but their current finishing and the opposition’s highly solid defence clearly increase the likelihood that at least one team will fail to score. BTTS - Yes is not more likely either, as both teams scored in only 27% of Peñarol’s matches this season, compared with the league average of 50%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal is the low goal line: Peñarol have kept a clean sheet in 64% of their matches this season and concede just 0.55 goals per game on average. In their last five appearances, Danubio have scored only 3 goals, or 0.6 per match, while conceding just 4, which limits the prospect of an open game. Peñarol’s matches have finished with under 3.5 goals in 91% of cases, while the corresponding figure for Danubio is 73%; additionally, only 9% of the visitors’ matches have gone over the 3.5-goal line. Although the teams’ average xG figures suggest some goalscoring chances, Danubio’s current xG stands at 1.34 against a solid away defence, which is why the projected total of 2.05 goals clearly supports Under 3.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Peñarol victory at full-time, as the visitors were level at the break in 55% of their matches, while Danubio led at half-time in only 47% of games. Peñarol’s away defence is highly stable: they concede an average of just 0.18 goals before the break, keep a clean sheet at half-time in 82% of their away appearances, and allow only 0.55 goals per match overall. Their current form is the decisive factor behind the eventual shift in the visitors’ favour: they have won 60% of their last five matches, scoring an average of 1.6 goals and conceding 0.6, whereas Danubio have scored only 0.6 goals and won 20% of their matches. Peñarol score an average of 0.91 goals after half-time, while the hosts have failed to score in the second half in each of their last five appearances, favouring a decisive away victory after an evenly balanced start.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Danubio | Peñarol | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Peñarol is 233% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Danubio · 2 pts / match - Peñarol
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Peñarol is 91% better for: goals scored per match.
0.85 goals / match - Danubio · 1.62 goals / match - Peñarol
Peñarol is 45% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.23 goals / match - Danubio · 0.85 goals / match - Peñarol
Danubio scores in 54% of matches (14 of 26 matches), while Peñarol keeps a clean sheet in 35% (9 of 26 matches).
Peñarol scores in 81% of matches (21 of 26 matches), while Danubio keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Danubio
Over / Under - Peñarol
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Peñarol is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.35 pts / match - Danubio · 1.46 pts / match - Peñarol
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Danubio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 15%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Peñarol - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 58%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Danubio
Peñarol
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Danubio | Liga | Peñarol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.08 | 2.35 | ▲ 2.46 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 50% | • 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 44% | ▲ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 27% | 29% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 58% | 66% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 72% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Danubio 0 - 1 - 2 Peñarol. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Danubio vs Peñarol?
The Primera División match finished Danubio 0:4 Peñarol. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Danubio and Peñarol?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Danubio won 0, Peñarol won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Danubio vs Peñarol?
Danubio score 0.85 goals per game on average and Peñarol 1.62. The Primera División average is 2.35 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Danubio's matches and 50% of Peñarol's.
What form are Danubio and Peñarol in?
Over the last 5 games Danubio have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Peñarol 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Danubio vs Peñarol?
The statistical background for Danubio vs Peñarol — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.