Danubio vs Progreso: match statistics
Danubio presents significantly better form, winning 100% of home matches this season and keeping a clean sheet in all home fixtures. Progreso, on the other hand, has not earned a single point on the road, losing all three matches and failing to score any goals. The difference in offensive quality is distinct – the hosts average 2 goals per match at home, while the guests have 0% scoring efficiency on away grounds. Danubio also dominates in terms of possession (62% vs 42%) and xG (1.6 vs 0.78), confirming qualitative superiority. The form over the last five matches also argues for the hosts (2.4 points per match vs 0.2), making a Danubio victory the most probable scenario for this meeting.
Danubio vs Progreso: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Danubio played Progreso in Primera División (Uruguay). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Danubio: 2-0-1, 2.00 points/match. Progreso: 0-0-3, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Danubio scores 1.00 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Progreso scores 0.00 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.52 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Danubio 0%, Progreso 0%. Over 2.5: Danubio 33%, Progreso 33%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Danubio has higher xG: 1.05 vs 0.81. Danubio: 8.3 shots per match, Progreso: 6.3.
Match halves
Danubio: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00. Progreso: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.00.
Goals by minute
Danubio: 46-60 (2 goals). Progreso: 0-15 (0 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.52 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-1. Average goals 1.33, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Danubio presents significantly better form, winning 100% of home matches this season and keeping a clean sheet in all home fixtures. Progreso, on the other hand, has not earned a single point on the road, losing all three matches and failing to score any goals. The difference in offensive quality is distinct – the hosts average 2 goals per match at home, while the guests have 0% scoring efficiency on away grounds. Danubio also dominates in terms of possession (62% vs 42%) and xG (1.6 vs 0.78), confirming qualitative superiority. The form over the last five matches also argues for the hosts (2.4 points per match vs 0.2), making a Danubio victory the most probable scenario for this meeting.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Danubio | Progreso | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.00 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Danubio is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Danubio · 2 goals / match - Progreso
Danubio scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Progreso keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 3 matches).
Progreso scores in 0% of matches (0 of 3 matches), while Danubio keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Danubio
Over / Under - Progreso
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Danubio - second-half results
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Progreso - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.67 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.3 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 33% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 67% |
| No goal | 100% | 33% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.00 | 0.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 0.7 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 33% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Danubio
Progreso
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Danubio | Liga | Progreso | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.33 | 2.52 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 0% | 52% | ▼ 0% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 52% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 67% | 26% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 33% | 70% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 74% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Danubio 1 - 1 - 1 Progreso. Average goals 1.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Danubio vs Progreso?
The Primera División match finished Danubio 2:2 Progreso. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Danubio and Progreso?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Danubio won 1, Progreso won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Danubio vs Progreso?
Danubio score 1.00 goals per game on average and Progreso 0.00. The Primera División average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 0% of Danubio's matches and 0% of Progreso's.
What form are Danubio and Progreso in?
Over the last 5 games Danubio have a 2-0-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Progreso 0-0-3 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Danubio vs Progreso?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.