Netherlands - Eerste DivisieData current as of 23 July 2026

De Graafschap vs ADO Den Haag: match statistics

De Graafschap crest
De Graafschap
1 : 2half-time 0:1
ADO Den Haag crest
ADO Den Haag
125%(2.84)
X20%(3.70)
255%(2.00)
BTTSOver/UnderHT/FT
Pick: 2Won
Pick score:Pick score — the strength of the NoFluffPicks model signal for this pick.50.37
Value:Value — how much the bookmaker price is above our estimated probability. Positive value is favourable long term.10.00%

ADO Den Haag holds a clear advantage as the league leaders with an impressive record of 24 wins this season and a 75% away win rate. The visitors have a significantly better goal difference (+20 away compared to the hosts' +5 at home) and better recent form – averaging 2.4 points per match over the last 5 games compared to De Graafschap's 2.0. ADO Den Haag is characterized by a solid defense, conceding an average of only 1 goal per away match and keeping clean sheets in 44% of their games, while De Graafschap concedes an average of 1.63 goals in home matches. xG statistics also favor the visitors (2.02 xG For vs 0.97 xG Against), indicating their effectiveness in creating chances. Although De Graafschap has a decent home record (50% wins), the class difference between 4th and 1st place in the table should be decisive. I predict a victory for ADO Den Haag, which will confirm their position as the competition leaders.

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De Graafschap vs ADO Den Haag: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

De Graafschap play ADO Den Haag in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match date is 22 March 2026 at 12:15. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

De Graafschap: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. ADO Den Haag: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

De Graafschap scores 1.95 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. ADO Den Haag scores 2.37 and concedes 0.97. League average: 3.19 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: De Graafschap 71%, ADO Den Haag 53%. Over 2.5: De Graafschap 66%, ADO Den Haag 74%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.

xG, shots and style

ADO Den Haag has higher xG: 2.17 vs 2.02. De Graafschap: 17.7 shots per match, ADO Den Haag: 19.3.

Match halves

De Graafschap: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 1.05. ADO Den Haag: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 1.42.

Goals by minute

De Graafschap: 76-90+ (19 goals). ADO Den Haag: 46-60 (20 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Eerste Divisie: 3.19 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.

Match description

ADO Den Haag holds a clear advantage as the league leaders with an impressive record of 24 wins this season and a 75% away win rate. The visitors have a significantly better goal difference (+20 away compared to the hosts' +5 at home) and better recent form – averaging 2.4 points per match over the last 5 games compared to De Graafschap's 2.0. ADO Den Haag is characterized by a solid defense, conceding an average of only 1 goal per away match and keeping clean sheets in 44% of their games, while De Graafschap concedes an average of 1.63 goals in home matches. xG statistics also favor the visitors (2.02 xG For vs 0.97 xG Against), indicating their effectiveness in creating chances. Although De Graafschap has a decent home record (50% wins), the class difference between 4th and 1st place in the table should be decisive. I predict a victory for ADO Den Haag, which will confirm their position as the competition leaders.

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

51Possession (%)49
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
12Shots16
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
5Shots on target5
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
1.3xG1.69
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
3Corners7
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
26Dangerous attacks45
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
9Fouls19
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
0Cards2
De GraafschapADO Den Haag

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.66Points per matchPPG - points per game.2.34
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
1.95Goals scored / match2.37
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
1.53Goals conceded / match0.97
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
2.02xG forxG - expected goals, the quality of scoring chances.2.17
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
56%Average possession60%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
7.16Shots on target / match7
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
16%Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.39%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
71%Both teams scoredBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.53%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

17.74Shots per match19.26
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
7.16Shots on target7
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
11%Shot conversion12.3%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
56%Possession60%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
2.02xG for2.17
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
1.74xG against0.98
De GraafschapADO Den Haag

Shooting quality

De Graafschap: DominantADO Den Haag: Dominant
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
Accuracy (shots on target)40%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

ADO Den Haag is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - De Graafschap · 2.4 pts / match - ADO Den Haag

De Graafschap
DWDWL
Season result split
47% W24% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
18-9-11
1.66 pts / match · goal difference +16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
10-3-6
Last 5 at home
3-0-2
LWLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.6Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 2.00Opponent xG: 1.47BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
ADO Den Haag
WWLWW
Season result split
76% W5% R18% P
Season (W-D-L)
29-2-7
2.34 pts / match · goal difference +53
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
14-1-4
Last 5 away
3-0-2
LWWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 2.03Opponent xG: 1.19BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

ADO Den Haag is 22% better for: goals scored per match.

1.95 goals / match - De Graafschap · 2.37 goals / match - ADO Den Haag

ADO Den Haag is 58% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.53 goals / match - De Graafschap · 0.97 goals / match - ADO Den Haag

De Graafschap scoring profile: very strong

De Graafschap scores in 84% of matches (32 of 38 matches), while ADO Den Haag keeps a clean sheet in 39% (15 of 38 matches).

ADO Den Haag scoring profile: very strong

ADO Den Haag scores in 89% of matches (34 of 38 matches), while De Graafschap keeps a clean sheet in 16% (6 of 38 matches).

74Goals scored (season)90
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
58Goals conceded (season)37
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
3.47Average goals in match3.34
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
13Goals scored (last 5)16
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
7Goals conceded (last 5)5
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
De Graafschap
16%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.6 of 38 matches
16%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.6 of 38 matches
ADO Den Haag
39%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.15 of 38 matches
11%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.4 of 38 matches

How often they score at least...

84%1 goal89%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
66%2 goals66%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
34%3 goals50%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
8%4 goals24%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag

How often they concede at least...

84%1 goal61%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
45%2 goals26%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
18%3 goals8%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
5%4 goals3%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

71%
De Graafschap - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.27 of 38 matches
53%
ADO Den Haag - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.20 of 38 matches
61%
League average

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time21%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
11%BTTS in both halves0%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
42%Scored in both halves50%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag

BTTS and goal count

61%Min. 3 goals and BTTS53%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS21%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
60%BTTS - last 560%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

97%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.97%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
87%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.79%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
66%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.74%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
53%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.42%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
37%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.21%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag

Over / Under — De Graafschap

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 97%Under 3%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 87%Under 13%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 66%Under 34%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 53%Under 47%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 37%Under 63%

Over / Under — ADO Den Haag

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 97%Under 3%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 79%Under 21%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 74%Under 26%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 42%Under 58%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 21%Under 79%

1st half

79%Min. 1 goal before half-time74%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
42%Min. 2 goals before half-time47%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
18%Min. 3 goals before half-time8%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag

2nd half

92%Min. 1 goal after half-time89%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
55%Min. 2 goals after half-time58%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
34%Min. 3 goals after half-time29%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

ADO Den Haag is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.76 pts / match - De Graafschap · 1.84 pts / match - ADO Den Haag

De Graafschap - half-time state
47% leading34% draw18% trailing
ADO Den Haag - half-time state
47% leading42% draw11% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.76Points per match (1st half)1.84
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
0.89Goals scored (1st half)0.95
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
0.53Goals conceded (1st half)0.42
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
1.42Average goals (1st half)1.37
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
53%Clean sheet before half-time71%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
39%No goal before half-time34%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag

After half-time (2nd half)

1.37Points per match (2nd half)1.92
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
1.05Goals scored (2nd half)1.42
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.55
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
2.05Average goals (2nd half)1.97
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
32%Clean sheet after half-time63%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
34%No goal after half-time26%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag

De Graafschap - second-half results

37% W26% R37% P
67
Half-time points
34
Half-time goals
+14
Goal difference (1st half)
52
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.76
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

ADO Den Haag - second-half results

58% W18% R24% P
70
Half-time points
36
Half-time goals
+20
Goal difference (1st half)
73
Second-half points
+33
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.84
PPG before half-time
Lead holding162%

Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 76%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

De Graafschap - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.40
Goals scored / match0.81.8
Goals conceded / match0.21.2
Average goals in match1.03.0
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+3+3
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4
ADO Den Haag - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.202.40
Goals scored / match1.02.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.42.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%80%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+3+8
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

De Graafschap
ScoredConceded
12
10
0-15
10
5
16-30
12
5
31-45
12
12
46-60
9
10
61-75
19
16
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

ADO Den Haag
ScoredConceded
12
4
0-15
11
5
16-30
13
7
31-45
20
4
46-60
15
7
61-75
19
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (20 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.41
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 2.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
107%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
62%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+47%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
75%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

De Graafschap

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.14
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
112%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
105%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.06
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 16% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

ADO Den Haag

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.19
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.20
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
162%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
56%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.06
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).

Teams vs league

De GraafschapLigaADO Den Haag
Average goals in match▲ 3.473.19▲ 3.34
Both teams scored▲ 71%61%▼ 53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 66%63%▲ 74%
Clean sheets▼ 16%21%▲ 39%
Goal before half-time▲ 79%77%▼ 74%
Goal after half-time▲ 92%86%▲ 89%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.19
Average goals per match
61%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.74
Home goals / match
1.46
Away goals / match
+19%
Home attack advantage
+16%
Home defence advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
55%
2 goals
27%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: De Graafschap 0 - 0 - 1 ADO Den Haag. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

HFC ADO Den Haag
3 : 2
BV De Graafschap

FAQ

What was the result of De Graafschap vs ADO Den Haag?

The Eerste Divisie match finished De Graafschap 1:2 ADO Den Haag. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before De Graafschap vs ADO Den Haag?

De Graafschap score 1.95 goals per game on average and ADO Den Haag 2.37. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 71% of De Graafschap's matches and 53% of ADO Den Haag's.

What form are De Graafschap and ADO Den Haag in?

Over the last 5 games De Graafschap have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and ADO Den Haag 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for De Graafschap vs ADO Den Haag?

The statistical background for De Graafschap vs ADO Den Haag — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.