Netherlands - Eerste DivisieData current as of 12 September 2026

De Graafschap vs ADO Den Haag: match statistics

De Graafschap crest
De Graafschap
1 : 2half-time 0:1
ADO Den Haag crest
ADO Den Haag
125%(2.84)
X20%(3.70)
255%(2.00)
BTTSOver/UnderHT/FT
Pick: 2Won
Pick score:Pick score — the strength of the NoFluffPicks model signal for this pick.50.37
Value:Value — how much the bookmaker price is above our estimated probability. Positive value is favourable long term.10.00%

ADO Den Haag holds a clear advantage as the league leaders with an impressive record of 24 wins this season and a 75% away win rate. The visitors have a significantly better goal difference (+20 away compared to the hosts' +5 at home) and better recent form – averaging 2.4 points per match over the last 5 games compared to De Graafschap's 2.0. ADO Den Haag is characterized by a solid defense, conceding an average of only 1 goal per away match and keeping clean sheets in 44% of their games, while De Graafschap concedes an average of 1.63 goals in home matches. xG statistics also favor the visitors (2.02 xG For vs 0.97 xG Against), indicating their effectiveness in creating chances. Although De Graafschap has a decent home record (50% wins), the class difference between 4th and 1st place in the table should be decisive. I predict a victory for ADO Den Haag, which will confirm their position as the competition leaders.

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De Graafschap vs ADO Den Haag: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

De Graafschap played ADO Den Haag in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 22 March 2026. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

De Graafschap: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. ADO Den Haag: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

De Graafschap scores 1.87 and concedes 1.58 goals per match. ADO Den Haag scores 2.25 and concedes 0.97. League average: 3.19 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: De Graafschap 74%, ADO Den Haag 50%. Over 2.5: De Graafschap 65%, ADO Den Haag 72%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.

xG, shots and style

ADO Den Haag has higher xG: 2.20 vs 2.06. De Graafschap: 18.2 shots per match, ADO Den Haag: 19.6.

Match halves

De Graafschap: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.94. ADO Den Haag: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 1.31.

Goals by minute

De Graafschap: 76-90+ (14 goals). ADO Den Haag: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Eerste Divisie: 3.19 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

ADO Den Haag holds a clear advantage as the league leaders with an impressive record of 24 wins this season and a 75% away win rate. The visitors have a significantly better goal difference (+20 away compared to the hosts' +5 at home) and better recent form – averaging 2.4 points per match over the last 5 games compared to De Graafschap's 2.0. ADO Den Haag is characterized by a solid defense, conceding an average of only 1 goal per away match and keeping clean sheets in 44% of their games, while De Graafschap concedes an average of 1.63 goals in home matches. xG statistics also favor the visitors (2.02 xG For vs 0.97 xG Against), indicating their effectiveness in creating chances. Although De Graafschap has a decent home record (50% wins), the class difference between 4th and 1st place in the table should be decisive. I predict a victory for ADO Den Haag, which will confirm their position as the competition leaders.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

0 : 1
1st half
1 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

51Possession (%)49
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
12Shots16
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
5Shots on target5
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
1.3xG1.69
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
3Corners7
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
26Dangerous attacks45
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
9Fouls19
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
0Cards2
De GraafschapADO Den Haag

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.68Points per matchPPG - points per game.2.31
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
1.87Goals scored / match2.25
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
1.58Goals conceded / match0.97
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
2.06xG forxG - expected goals, the quality of scoring chances.2.2
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
56%Average possession61%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
7.23Shots on target / match7
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
13%Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.44%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
74%Both teams scoredBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.50%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

18.19Shots per match19.63
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
7.23Shots on target7
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
10.3%Shot conversion11.5%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
56%Possession61%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
2.06xG for2.2
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
1.79xG against0.94
De GraafschapADO Den Haag

Shooting quality

De Graafschap: DominantADO Den Haag: Dominant
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
Accuracy (shots on target)40%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

ADO Den Haag is 20% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - De Graafschap · 2.4 pts / match - ADO Den Haag

De Graafschap
WWDLW
Season result split
48% W23% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
15-7-9
1.68 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-3-5
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
DWWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.8xG: 2.22Opponent xG: 1.37BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
ADO Den Haag
WWLWW
Season result split
75% W6% D19% L
Season (W-D-L)
24-2-6
2.31 pts / match · goal difference +41
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
12-1-3
Last 5 away
4-0-1
WWWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 1.98Opponent xG: 0.79BTTS: 0%Over 2.5: 0%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

ADO Den Haag is 20% better for: goals scored per match.

1.87 goals / match - De Graafschap · 2.25 goals / match - ADO Den Haag

ADO Den Haag is 63% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.58 goals / match - De Graafschap · 0.97 goals / match - ADO Den Haag

De Graafschap scoring profile: strong

De Graafschap scores in 84% of matches (26 of 31 matches), while ADO Den Haag keeps a clean sheet in 44% (14 of 32 matches).

ADO Den Haag scoring profile: very strong

ADO Den Haag scores in 91% of matches (29 of 32 matches), while De Graafschap keeps a clean sheet in 13% (4 of 31 matches).

58Goals scored (season)72
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
49Goals conceded (season)31
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
3.45Average goals in match3.22
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
9Goals scored (last 5)4
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
9Goals conceded (last 5)1
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
De Graafschap
13%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.4 of 31 matches
16%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.5 of 31 matches
ADO Den Haag
44%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.14 of 32 matches
9%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.3 of 32 matches

How often they score at least...

84%1 goal91%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
65%2 goals63%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
32%3 goals47%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
6%4 goals19%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag

How often they concede at least...

87%1 goal56%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
45%2 goals28%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
19%3 goals9%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
6%4 goals3%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

74%
De Graafschap - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.23 of 31 matches
50%
ADO Den Haag - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.16 of 32 matches
63%
League average

Goal patterns

32%BTTS at half-time22%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
13%BTTS in both halves0%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
39%Scored in both halves44%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag

BTTS and goal count

61%Min. 3 goals and BTTS50%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS22%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
80%BTTS - last 50%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

97%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.97%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
87%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.78%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
65%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.72%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
52%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.38%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
39%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.19%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag

Over / Under - De Graafschap

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 97%Under 3%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 87%Under 13%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 65%Under 35%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 52%Under 48%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 39%Under 61%

Over / Under - ADO Den Haag

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 97%Under 3%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 78%Under 22%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 72%Under 28%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 38%Under 62%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 19%Under 81%

1st half

81%Min. 1 goal before half-time72%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
48%Min. 2 goals before half-time53%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
19%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag

2nd half

90%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
55%Min. 2 goals after half-time53%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
32%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

De Graafschap - half-time state
45% leading35% draw19% trailing
ADO Den Haag - half-time state
44% leading44% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.71Points per match (1st half)1.75
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
0.94Goals scored (1st half)0.94
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
0.58Goals conceded (1st half)0.44
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
1.52Average goals (1st half)1.38
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
48%Clean sheet before half-time69%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
39%No goal before half-time38%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag

After half-time (2nd half)

1.32Points per match (2nd half)1.88
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
0.94Goals scored (2nd half)1.31
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
1Goals conceded (2nd half)0.53
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
1.94Average goals (2nd half)1.84
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
29%Clean sheet after half-time69%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag
39%No goal after half-time28%
De GraafschapADO Den Haag

De Graafschap - second-half results

35% W26% D39% L
53
Half-time points
29
Half-time goals
+11
Goal difference (1st half)
41
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.71
PPG before half-time
Lead holding107%

Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

ADO Den Haag - second-half results

56% W19% D25% L
56
Half-time points
30
Half-time goals
+16
Goal difference (1st half)
60
Second-half points
+25
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.75
PPG before half-time
Lead holding170%

Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 75%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

De Graafschap - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.40
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match0.81.0
Average goals in match1.62.0
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%0%
Goal difference00
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
ADO Den Haag - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.20
Goals scored / match0.60.2
Goals conceded / match0.00.2
Average goals in match0.60.4
1 goal60%40%
2 goals0%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%80%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+30
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

De Graafschap
ScoredConceded
12
9
0-15
8
4
16-30
9
5
31-45
10
11
46-60
5
7
61-75
14
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

ADO Den Haag
ScoredConceded
10
3
0-15
9
4
16-30
11
7
31-45
14
3
46-60
13
5
61-75
15
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +6 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.33
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
62%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+50%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
76%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

De Graafschap

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.27
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.19
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.21
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
109%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
107%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.32
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 21% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

ADO Den Haag

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
152%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
57%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).

Teams vs league

De GraafschapLigaADO Den Haag
Average goals in match▲ 3.453.19• 3.22
Both teams scored▲ 74%63%▼ 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 65%63%▲ 72%
Clean sheets▼ 13%20%▲ 44%
Goal before half-time▲ 81%77%▼ 72%
Goal after half-time▲ 90%85%▲ 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.19
Average goals per match
63%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
20%
Clean sheets
1.71
Home goals / match
1.48
Away goals / match
+16%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
54%
2 goals
27%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Away team

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. De GraafschapGoalThomas Kok
  2. ADO Den HaagSubstitutionOn: Illaijh de RuijterOff: Cameron Peupion
  3. De GraafschapSubstitutionOn: Nathan Charles KanindaOff: Ibrahim El Kadiri
  4. De GraafschapGoalNils EggensAssist: Reuven Niemeijer
  5. ADO Den HaagGoalJari VlakAssist: Bryan Solhaug Fiabema
  6. ADO Den HaagYellow cardSekou Sylla
  7. De GraafschapSubstitutionOn: Stijn BultmanOff: Rowan Besselink
  8. ADO Den HaagSubstitutionOn: Luka ReischlOff: Sekou Sylla
  9. De GraafschapSubstitutionOn: Kyano KwintOff: Chahid El Allachi
  10. ADO Den HaagSubstitutionOn: Mees KreekelsOff: Evan Rottier
  11. De GraafschapSubstitutionOn: Fedde de JongOff: Reuven Niemeijer
  12. ADO Den HaagYellow cardJari Vlak
  13. ADO Den HaagSubstitutionOn: Mylian JimenezOff: Luka Reischl

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Home managerMarinus DijkhuizenAway managerRobin Peter

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: De Graafschap 0 - 0 - 1 ADO Den Haag. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

HFC ADO Den Haag
3 : 2
BV De Graafschap

FAQ

What was the result of De Graafschap vs ADO Den Haag?

The Eerste Divisie match finished De Graafschap 1:2 ADO Den Haag. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before De Graafschap vs ADO Den Haag?

De Graafschap score 1.87 goals per game on average and ADO Den Haag 2.25. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 74% of De Graafschap's matches and 50% of ADO Den Haag's.

What form are De Graafschap and ADO Den Haag in?

Over the last 5 games De Graafschap have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and ADO Den Haag 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for De Graafschap vs ADO Den Haag?

The statistical background for De Graafschap vs ADO Den Haag — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.