Netherlands - Eerste DivisieStadion De VijverbergData current as of 03 November 2026

De Graafschap vs NAC Breda: match statistics

De Graafschap crest
De Graafschap
1 : 2half-time 1:2
NAC Breda crest
NAC Breda

De Graafschap vs NAC Breda: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

De Graafschap played NAC Breda in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 20 September 2026. Venue: Stadion De Vijverberg. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

De Graafschap: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. NAC Breda: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

De Graafschap scores 1.17 and concedes 3.00 goals per match. NAC Breda scores 1.83 and concedes 2.33. League average: 3.78 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: De Graafschap 83%, NAC Breda 83%. Over 2.5: De Graafschap 83%, NAC Breda 83%. League level: BTTS 74%, Over 2.5 73%.

xG, shots and style

NAC Breda has higher xG: 2.19 vs 1.56. De Graafschap: 15.0 shots per match, NAC Breda: 22.2.

Match halves

De Graafschap: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.33. NAC Breda: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.17.

Goals by minute

De Graafschap: 0-15 (2 goals). NAC Breda: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Eerste Divisie: 3.78 goals per match, BTTS 74%, Over 2.5 73%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

NAC Breda have a clearly stronger away profile, averaging 2 goals per match, while De Graafschap concede as many as 4.5 goals per game at home. The hosts have lost both of their home matches so far, have kept no clean sheets, and boast a goal difference of -6. De Graafschap are capable of creating chances, as reflected by 21.5 shots and an xG of 2.12 at home, but they convert just 7% of their attempts and have conceded as many as 17 goals in their last five matches. The visitors are not entirely reliable defensively either, but they allow opponents a lower xG—1.48 on average compared with 2.1 for the hosts—and their shot conversion rate stands at 10%. Both teams regularly find the net, but the extent of De Graafschap’s defensive problems gives NAC Breda the best chance of securing victory.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

The signal for both teams to score is very strong: BTTS occurred in 67% of De Graafschap’s matches and in all NAC Breda fixtures, compared with a league average of 75%. Neither side has kept a single clean sheet, and both concede an average of as many as 2.33 goals per match, significantly increasing the chances of finding the net. In their last 5 matches, BTTS landed 80% of the time for both teams, while they conceded an average of 3.4 and 2.6 goals, respectively. Their attacking potential is also high: the hosts create an average of 2.39 xG, while the visitors produce 1.99 xG, registering 23.67 and 20.67 shots per match, respectively. Even De Graafschap’s weaker recent scoring rate of 1.2 goals per game is offset by the 3.4 goals they concede, making a goal for each team the most likely scenario. In betting terms, BTTS - Yes / Goal-Goal is the strongest selection.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Both teams have a very clear goals profile: Over 1.5 goals has landed in 100% of their matches so far, and neither side has kept a clean sheet. De Graafschap conceded an average of 3.4 goals in their last five matches, while NAC Breda conceded 2.6, significantly increasing the chances of at least two goals. NAC averaged 1.8 goals scored during this period, with an average xG of 2.12, while De Graafschap’s defensive xG conceded to opponents stands at 1.91. The hosts also create plenty of chances, averaging 2.39 xG and 23.67 shots per match at home. Over 1.5 goals is the strongest selection, supported by both teams’ perfect 100% historical record and the projected total of 3.50 goals for this match.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

NAC Breda has a clearly stronger current first-half profile: in their last five matches, they were leading at the break in 40% of games, whereas De Graafschap failed to do so in any of them, with the hosts trailing at half-time in 40% of their matches. De Graafschap have recently conceded an average of 3.4 goals per game, while NAC have scored 1.8, increasing the visitors’ chances of capitalising on their advantage before the break. After half-time, the hosts are particularly vulnerable defensively, having allowed opponents an average of 2.0 goals across their last five appearances, while scoring just 0.4 themselves. NAC average 1.0 goal after the break, and goals were scored in the second halves of all five of their most recent matches. Therefore, the most likely scenario is for the visitors to lead at half-time and secure the victory at full-time.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

1 : 2
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

49Possession (%)51
De GraafschapNAC Breda
8Shots22
De GraafschapNAC Breda
3Shots on target10
De GraafschapNAC Breda
1.02xG2.38
De GraafschapNAC Breda
2Corners6
De GraafschapNAC Breda
41Dangerous attacks40
De GraafschapNAC Breda
13Fouls8
De GraafschapNAC Breda
2Cards2
De GraafschapNAC Breda

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.67Points per matchPPG - points per game.1.17
De GraafschapNAC Breda
1.17Goals scored / match1.83
De GraafschapNAC Breda
3Goals conceded / match2.33
De GraafschapNAC Breda
1.56xG forxG - expected goals, the quality of scoring chances.2.19
De GraafschapNAC Breda
53%Average possession60%
De GraafschapNAC Breda
4.17Shots on target / match6
De GraafschapNAC Breda
0%Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.0%
De GraafschapNAC Breda
83%Both teams scoredBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.83%
De GraafschapNAC Breda

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15Shots per match22.17
De GraafschapNAC Breda
4.17Shots on target6
De GraafschapNAC Breda
7.8%Shot conversion8.3%
De GraafschapNAC Breda
53%Possession60%
De GraafschapNAC Breda
1.56xG for2.19
De GraafschapNAC Breda
1.82xG against1.28
De GraafschapNAC Breda

Shooting quality

De Graafschap: AttackingNAC Breda: Dominant
De GraafschapNAC Breda
Accuracy (shots on target)28%27%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

NAC Breda is 33% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - De Graafschap · 0.8 pts / match - NAC Breda

De Graafschap
LLLLW
Season result split
17% W17% D67% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-4
0.67 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-2
Last 5 at home
0-0-2
LL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 3.4xG: 1.55Opponent xG: 1.93BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%
NAC Breda
LWDLL
Season result split
33% W17% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-3
1.17 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 away
1-1-1
WDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 2.16Opponent xG: 1.30BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

NAC Breda is 56% better for: goals scored per match.

1.17 goals / match - De Graafschap · 1.83 goals / match - NAC Breda

NAC Breda is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.

3 goals / match - De Graafschap · 2.33 goals / match - NAC Breda

De Graafschap scoring profile: very strong

De Graafschap scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while NAC Breda keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).

NAC Breda scoring profile: very strong

NAC Breda scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while De Graafschap keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).

7Goals scored (season)11
De GraafschapNAC Breda
18Goals conceded (season)14
De GraafschapNAC Breda
4.17Average goals in match4.17
De GraafschapNAC Breda
6Goals scored (last 5)9
De GraafschapNAC Breda
17Goals conceded (last 5)13
De GraafschapNAC Breda
De Graafschap
0%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.0 of 6 matches
17%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.1 of 6 matches
NAC Breda
0%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.0 of 6 matches
17%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.1 of 6 matches

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal83%
De GraafschapNAC Breda
33%2 goals83%
De GraafschapNAC Breda
0%3 goals17%
De GraafschapNAC Breda
0%4 goals0%
De GraafschapNAC Breda

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal100%
De GraafschapNAC Breda
67%2 goals83%
De GraafschapNAC Breda
50%3 goals33%
De GraafschapNAC Breda
50%4 goals17%
De GraafschapNAC Breda

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

83%
De Graafschap - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.5 of 6 matches
83%
NAC Breda - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.5 of 6 matches
74%
League average

Goal patterns

83%BTTS at half-time33%
De GraafschapNAC Breda
17%BTTS in both halves17%
De GraafschapNAC Breda
33%Scored in both halves33%
De GraafschapNAC Breda

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS83%
De GraafschapNAC Breda
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
De GraafschapNAC Breda
80%BTTS - last 580%
De GraafschapNAC Breda

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

100%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.100%
De GraafschapNAC Breda
100%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.100%
De GraafschapNAC Breda
83%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.83%
De GraafschapNAC Breda
50%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.67%
De GraafschapNAC Breda
50%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.50%
De GraafschapNAC Breda

Over / Under - De Graafschap

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 100%Under 0%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 100%Under 0%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 83%Under 17%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 50%Under 50%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 50%Under 50%

Over / Under - NAC Breda

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 100%Under 0%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 100%Under 0%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 83%Under 17%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 67%Under 33%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 50%Under 50%

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
De GraafschapNAC Breda
100%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
De GraafschapNAC Breda
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
De GraafschapNAC Breda

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
De GraafschapNAC Breda
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time83%
De GraafschapNAC Breda
50%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
De GraafschapNAC Breda

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

NAC Breda is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.67 pts / match - De Graafschap · 1.17 pts / match - NAC Breda

De Graafschap - half-time state
0% leading67% draw33% trailing
NAC Breda - half-time state
33% leading17% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.67Points per match (1st half)1.17
De GraafschapNAC Breda
0.83Goals scored (1st half)0.67
De GraafschapNAC Breda
1.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.83
De GraafschapNAC Breda
2.17Average goals (1st half)1.5
De GraafschapNAC Breda
0%Clean sheet before half-time17%
De GraafschapNAC Breda
17%No goal before half-time50%
De GraafschapNAC Breda

After half-time (2nd half)

0.83Points per match (2nd half)0.83
De GraafschapNAC Breda
0.33Goals scored (2nd half)1.17
De GraafschapNAC Breda
1.67Goals conceded (2nd half)1.5
De GraafschapNAC Breda
2Average goals (2nd half)2.67
De GraafschapNAC Breda
50%Clean sheet after half-time17%
De GraafschapNAC Breda
67%No goal after half-time33%
De GraafschapNAC Breda

De Graafschap - second-half results

17% W33% D50% L
4
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

NAC Breda - second-half results

17% W33% D50% L
7
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

De Graafschap - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.80
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match1.42.0
Average goals in match2.22.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals100%60%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet0%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference-3-8
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 80% - Half-time goals total: 4
NAC Breda - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.40
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match0.81.8
Average goals in match1.62.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet20%0%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference0-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

De Graafschap
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
1
2
16-30
2
3
31-45
0
1
46-60
1
3
61-75
1
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

NAC Breda
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
1
3
16-30
2
1
31-45
0
5
46-60
3
2
61-75
4
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

4.17
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 2.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
83%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

De Graafschap

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.57
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-1.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
55%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
180%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 29% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

NAC Breda

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.91
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.36
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-1.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
110%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.37
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).

Teams vs league

De GraafschapLigaNAC Breda
Average goals in match▲ 4.173.78▲ 4.17
Both teams scored▲ 83%74%▲ 83%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 83%73%▲ 83%
Clean sheets▼ 0%14%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▲ 100%79%▲ 100%
Goal after half-time▼ 67%88%▲ 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.78
Average goals per match
74%
Both teams scored
73%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
14%
Clean sheets
2.11
Home goals / match
1.67
Away goals / match
+26%
Home attack advantage
+21%
Home defence advantage
+23%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
7%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
88%
1 goal
60%
2 goals
36%
3 goals
19%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Away team

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. NAC BredaGoalCharles-Andreas Brym
  2. NAC BredaGoalCharles-Andreas BrymAssist: Mohamed Nassoh
  3. NAC BredaYellow cardMohamed Nassoh
  4. De GraafschapGoalJulian KaniaAssist: Nolan Martens
  5. De GraafschapYellow cardThomas Kok
  6. De GraafschapYellow cardThomas Kok
  7. NAC BredaSubstitutionOn: Fredrik Oldrup JensenOff: Charles-Andreas Brym
  8. NAC BredaSubstitutionOn: Brahim GhalidiOff: Jannes Van Hecke
  9. NAC BredaYellow cardJan Van den Bergh
  10. De GraafschapSubstitutionOn: Nic HartgersOff: Rowan Besselink

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Home managerThomas DuivenvoordenAway managerCarl Hoefkens

FAQ

What was the result of De Graafschap vs NAC Breda?

The Eerste Divisie match finished De Graafschap 1:2 NAC Breda. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before De Graafschap vs NAC Breda?

De Graafschap score 1.17 goals per game on average and NAC Breda 1.83. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 73% of games. Both teams score in 83% of De Graafschap's matches and 83% of NAC Breda's.

What form are De Graafschap and NAC Breda in?

Over the last 5 games De Graafschap have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and NAC Breda 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for De Graafschap vs NAC Breda?

The statistical background for De Graafschap vs NAC Breda — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.