Netherlands - Eerste DivisieStadion De VijverbergData current as of 18 September 2026

De Graafschap vs NAC Breda: match statistics

Reasoning:

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De Graafschap vs NAC Breda: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

De Graafschap play NAC Breda in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match date is 20 September 2026. Venue: Stadion De Vijverberg.

Current form

De Graafschap: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. NAC Breda: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

De Graafschap scores 1.17 and concedes 3.00 goals per match. NAC Breda scores 1.83 and concedes 2.33. League average: 3.83 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: De Graafschap 83%, NAC Breda 83%. Over 2.5: De Graafschap 83%, NAC Breda 83%. League level: BTTS 75%, Over 2.5 72%.

xG, shots and style

NAC Breda has higher xG: 2.19 vs 1.56. De Graafschap: 15.0 shots per match, NAC Breda: 22.2.

Match halves

De Graafschap: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.33. NAC Breda: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.17.

Goals by minute

De Graafschap: 0-15 (2 goals). NAC Breda: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Eerste Divisie: 3.83 goals per match, BTTS 75%, Over 2.5 72%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.85)
(3.98)
(1.92)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

De GraafschapNAC Breda
1.17Goals scored / match1.83
De GraafschapNAC Breda
3Goals conceded / match2.33
De GraafschapNAC Breda
53%Average possession60%
De GraafschapNAC Breda
4.17Shots on target / match6
De GraafschapNAC Breda

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15Shots per match22.17
De GraafschapNAC Breda
4.17Shots on target6
De GraafschapNAC Breda
7.8%Shot conversion8.3%
De GraafschapNAC Breda
53%Possession60%
De GraafschapNAC Breda
1.56xG for2.19
De GraafschapNAC Breda
1.82xG against1.28
De GraafschapNAC Breda

Shooting quality

De Graafschap: AttackingNAC Breda: Dominant
De GraafschapNAC Breda
Accuracy (shots on target)28%27%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.10
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

NAC Breda is 33% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - De Graafschap · 0.8 pts / match - NAC Breda

De Graafschap
LLLLW
Season result split
17% W17% D67% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-4
0.67 pts / match · goal difference -11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-2
Last 5 at home
0-0-2
LL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 3.4xG: 1.55Opponent xG: 1.93BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%
NAC Breda
LWDLL
Season result split
33% W17% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-3
1.17 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 away
1-1-1
WDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 2.6xG: 2.16Opponent xG: 1.30BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

NAC Breda is 56% better for: goals scored per match.

1.17 goals / match - De Graafschap · 1.83 goals / match - NAC Breda

NAC Breda is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.

3 goals / match - De Graafschap · 2.33 goals / match - NAC Breda

De Graafschap scoring profile: very strong

De Graafschap scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while NAC Breda keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).

NAC Breda scoring profile: very strong

NAC Breda scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while De Graafschap keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).

7Goals scored (season)11
De GraafschapNAC Breda
18Goals conceded (season)14
De GraafschapNAC Breda
4.17Average goals in match4.17
De GraafschapNAC Breda
6Goals scored (last 5)9
De GraafschapNAC Breda
17Goals conceded (last 5)13
De GraafschapNAC Breda

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal83%
De GraafschapNAC Breda
33%2 goals83%
De GraafschapNAC Breda
0%3 goals17%
De GraafschapNAC Breda
0%4 goals0%
De GraafschapNAC Breda

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal100%
De GraafschapNAC Breda
67%2 goals83%
De GraafschapNAC Breda
50%3 goals33%
De GraafschapNAC Breda
50%4 goals17%
De GraafschapNAC Breda

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

75%
League average

Goal patterns

83%BTTS at half-time33%
De GraafschapNAC Breda
17%BTTS in both halves17%
De GraafschapNAC Breda
33%Scored in both halves33%
De GraafschapNAC Breda

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS83%
De GraafschapNAC Breda
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
De GraafschapNAC Breda
80%BTTS - last 580%
De GraafschapNAC Breda

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
De GraafschapNAC Breda
100%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
De GraafschapNAC Breda
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
De GraafschapNAC Breda

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time100%
De GraafschapNAC Breda
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time83%
De GraafschapNAC Breda
50%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
De GraafschapNAC Breda

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

NAC Breda is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.67 pts / match - De Graafschap · 1.17 pts / match - NAC Breda

De Graafschap - half-time state
0% leading67% draw33% trailing
NAC Breda - half-time state
33% leading17% draw50% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.67Points per match (1st half)1.17
De GraafschapNAC Breda
0.83Goals scored (1st half)0.67
De GraafschapNAC Breda
1.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.83
De GraafschapNAC Breda
2.17Average goals (1st half)1.5
De GraafschapNAC Breda
0%Clean sheet before half-time17%
De GraafschapNAC Breda
17%No goal before half-time50%
De GraafschapNAC Breda

After half-time (2nd half)

0.83Points per match (2nd half)0.83
De GraafschapNAC Breda
0.33Goals scored (2nd half)1.17
De GraafschapNAC Breda
1.67Goals conceded (2nd half)1.5
De GraafschapNAC Breda
2Average goals (2nd half)2.67
De GraafschapNAC Breda
50%Clean sheet after half-time17%
De GraafschapNAC Breda
67%No goal after half-time33%
De GraafschapNAC Breda

De Graafschap - second-half results

17% W33% D50% L
4
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.67
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

NAC Breda - second-half results

17% W33% D50% L
7
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.7

Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

De Graafschap - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.600.80
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match1.42.0
Average goals in match2.22.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals100%60%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet0%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference-3-8
Half-time: 0% leading - 60% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 80% - Half-time goals total: 4
NAC Breda - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.400.40
Goals scored / match0.81.0
Goals conceded / match0.81.8
Average goals in match1.62.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet20%0%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference0-4
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

De Graafschap
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
1
2
16-30
2
3
31-45
0
1
46-60
1
3
61-75
1
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

NAC Breda
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
1
3
16-30
2
1
31-45
0
5
46-60
3
2
61-75
4
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

4.17
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 2.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
109%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
83%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
69%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

De Graafschap

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.57
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-1.18
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
57%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
169%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 29% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

NAC Breda

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.91
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.36
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-1.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
103%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
114%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.37
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).

Teams vs league

De GraafschapLigaNAC Breda
Average goals in match 4.173.83 4.17
Both teams scored 83%75% 83%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 83%72% 83%
Clean sheets 0%13% 0%
Goal before half-time 100%80% 100%
Goal after half-time 67%89% 100%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.83
Average goals per match
75%
Both teams scored
72%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
13%
Clean sheets
2.05
Home goals / match
1.78
Away goals / match
+15%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defence advantage
+17%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
8%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
89%
1 goal
63%
2 goals
36%
3 goals
20%
4 goals

FAQ

When do De Graafschap and NAC Breda play?

De Graafschap face NAC Breda on 20 September 2026 in Eerste Divisie at Stadion De Vijverberg. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before De Graafschap vs NAC Breda?

De Graafschap score 1.17 goals per game on average and NAC Breda 1.83. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 72% of games. Both teams score in 83% of De Graafschap's matches and 83% of NAC Breda's.

What form are De Graafschap and NAC Breda in?

Over the last 5 games De Graafschap have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and NAC Breda 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for De Graafschap vs NAC Breda?

The statistical background for De Graafschap vs NAC Breda — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.