De Graafschap vs RKC Waalwijk: match statistics
De Graafschap demonstrates a decided advantage in home matches, achieving a 50% win rate and an impressive average of 2 goals per match with high possession (57%). The hosts also stand out with a significantly higher xG (2.48 vs 1.65) and more shots on goal (8.4 vs 5.09), indicating offensive dominance. RKC Waalwijk achieves only 36% wins in away matches and shows poorer form in the last five fixtures (1.4 PPG vs 1.8 PPG for the hosts). Although the guests have a better defensive record away (1.45 goals conceded per match), De Graafschap regularly finds the net at home (90% scoring rate). The hosts' home goal difference (+4) and their edge in key offensive stats point towards a De Graafschap victory, though RKC could pose problems, justifying a moderate probability of a draw.
De Graafschap vs RKC Waalwijk: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
De Graafschap play RKC Waalwijk in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match date is 23 January 2026 at 20:00. Final score: 2:4.
Current form
De Graafschap: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. RKC Waalwijk: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
De Graafschap scores 1.95 and concedes 1.53 goals per match. RKC Waalwijk scores 1.87 and concedes 1.55. League average: 3.19 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: De Graafschap 71%, RKC Waalwijk 76%. Over 2.5: De Graafschap 66%, RKC Waalwijk 71%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
De Graafschap has higher xG: 2.02 vs 1.67. De Graafschap: 17.7 shots per match, RKC Waalwijk: 14.8.
Match halves
De Graafschap: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 1.05. RKC Waalwijk: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.95.
Goals by minute
De Graafschap: 76-90+ (19 goals). RKC Waalwijk: 76-90+ (18 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eerste Divisie: 3.19 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
De Graafschap demonstrates a decided advantage in home matches, achieving a 50% win rate and an impressive average of 2 goals per match with high possession (57%). The hosts also stand out with a significantly higher xG (2.48 vs 1.65) and more shots on goal (8.4 vs 5.09), indicating offensive dominance. RKC Waalwijk achieves only 36% wins in away matches and shows poorer form in the last five fixtures (1.4 PPG vs 1.8 PPG for the hosts). Although the guests have a better defensive record away (1.45 goals conceded per match), De Graafschap regularly finds the net at home (90% scoring rate). The hosts' home goal difference (+4) and their edge in key offensive stats point towards a De Graafschap victory, though RKC could pose problems, justifying a moderate probability of a draw.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| De Graafschap | RKC Waalwijk | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
RKC Waalwijk is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - De Graafschap · 2 pts / match - RKC Waalwijk
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
De Graafschap scores in 84% of matches (32 of 38 matches), while RKC Waalwijk keeps a clean sheet in 18% (7 of 38 matches).
RKC Waalwijk scores in 92% of matches (35 of 38 matches), while De Graafschap keeps a clean sheet in 16% (6 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — De Graafschap
Over / Under — RKC Waalwijk
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
De Graafschap - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
RKC Waalwijk - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 42%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
De Graafschap
RKC Waalwijk
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| De Graafschap | Liga | RKC Waalwijk | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.47 | 3.19 | ▲ 3.42 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 61% | ▲ 76% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 66% | 63% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 21% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 77% | ▲ 87% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 86% | ▼ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: De Graafschap 1 - 0 - 0 RKC Waalwijk. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of De Graafschap vs RKC Waalwijk?
The Eerste Divisie match finished De Graafschap 2:4 RKC Waalwijk. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before De Graafschap vs RKC Waalwijk?
De Graafschap score 1.95 goals per game on average and RKC Waalwijk 1.87. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.19 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 71% of De Graafschap's matches and 76% of RKC Waalwijk's.
What form are De Graafschap and RKC Waalwijk in?
Over the last 5 games De Graafschap have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and RKC Waalwijk 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for De Graafschap vs RKC Waalwijk?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for De Graafschap vs RKC Waalwijk: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.