Netherlands - Eerste DivisieData current as of 11 September 2026

De Graafschap vs Roda JC: match statistics

De Graafschap crest
De Graafschap
2 : 3half-time 2:0
Roda JC crest
Roda JC
165%(1.95)
X22%(3.75)
213%(3.30)
BTTSOver/UnderHT/FT
Pick: 1Lost
Pick score:Pick score — the strength of the NoFluffPicks model signal for this pick.51.85
Value:Value — how much the bookmaker price is above our estimated probability. Positive value is favourable long term.26.75%
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De Graafschap vs Roda JC: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

De Graafschap played Roda JC in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 12 December 2025. Final score: 2:3.

Current form

De Graafschap: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Roda JC: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

De Graafschap scores 1.95 and concedes 1.47 goals per match. Roda JC scores 1.58 and concedes 1.42. League average: 3.23 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: De Graafschap 79%, Roda JC 63%. Over 2.5: De Graafschap 63%, Roda JC 58%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.

xG, shots and style

De Graafschap has higher xG: 2.13 vs 1.56. De Graafschap: 19.3 shots per match, Roda JC: 13.9.

Match halves

De Graafschap: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.84. Roda JC: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

De Graafschap: 0-15 (9 goals). Roda JC: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Eerste Divisie: 3.23 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 63%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
0 : 3
2nd half

Match statistics

53Possession (%)47
De GraafschapRoda JC
17Shots18
De GraafschapRoda JC
7Shots on target9
De GraafschapRoda JC
1.8xG2.01
De GraafschapRoda JC
7Corners4
De GraafschapRoda JC
33Dangerous attacks34
De GraafschapRoda JC
14Fouls8
De GraafschapRoda JC
0Cards1
De GraafschapRoda JC

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.79Points per matchPPG - points per game.1.47
De GraafschapRoda JC
1.95Goals scored / match1.58
De GraafschapRoda JC
1.47Goals conceded / match1.42
De GraafschapRoda JC
2.13xG forxG - expected goals, the quality of scoring chances.1.56
De GraafschapRoda JC
52%Average possession52%
De GraafschapRoda JC
7.42Shots on target / match5.05
De GraafschapRoda JC
5%Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.32%
De GraafschapRoda JC
79%Both teams scoredBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.63%
De GraafschapRoda JC

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

19.26Shots per match13.95
De GraafschapRoda JC
7.42Shots on target5.05
De GraafschapRoda JC
10.1%Shot conversion11.3%
De GraafschapRoda JC
52%Possession52%
De GraafschapRoda JC
2.13xG for1.56
De GraafschapRoda JC
1.97xG against1.51
De GraafschapRoda JC

Shooting quality

De Graafschap: AttackingRoda JC: Balanced
De GraafschapRoda JC
Accuracy (shots on target)39%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

De Graafschap is 500% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - De Graafschap · 0.4 pts / match - Roda JC

De Graafschap
WLWWW
Season result split
53% W21% D26% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-4-5
1.79 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-2-2
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WDWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.90Opponent xG: 2.33BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%
Roda JC
LDLDL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
37% W37% D26% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-7-5
1.47 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-3-2
Last 5 away
1-3-1
WDLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.62Opponent xG: 1.48BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

De Graafschap is 23% better for: goals scored per match.

1.95 goals / match - De Graafschap · 1.58 goals / match - Roda JC

De Graafschap scoring profile: very strong

De Graafschap scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Roda JC keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).

Roda JC scoring profile: very strong

Roda JC scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while De Graafschap keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 19 matches).

37Goals scored (season)30
De GraafschapRoda JC
28Goals conceded (season)27
De GraafschapRoda JC
3.42Average goals in match3
De GraafschapRoda JC
12Goals scored (last 5)4
De GraafschapRoda JC
7Goals conceded (last 5)10
De GraafschapRoda JC
De Graafschap
5%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.1 of 19 matches
16%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.3 of 19 matches
Roda JC
32%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.6 of 19 matches
16%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.3 of 19 matches

How often they score at least...

84%1 goal84%
De GraafschapRoda JC
68%2 goals42%
De GraafschapRoda JC
37%3 goals16%
De GraafschapRoda JC
5%4 goals5%
De GraafschapRoda JC

How often they concede at least...

95%1 goal68%
De GraafschapRoda JC
42%2 goals37%
De GraafschapRoda JC
11%3 goals26%
De GraafschapRoda JC
0%4 goals11%
De GraafschapRoda JC

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

79%
De Graafschap - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.15 of 19 matches
63%
Roda JC - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.12 of 19 matches
61%
League average

Goal patterns

42%BTTS at half-time21%
De GraafschapRoda JC
16%BTTS in both halves5%
De GraafschapRoda JC
42%Scored in both halves32%
De GraafschapRoda JC

BTTS and goal count

63%Min. 3 goals and BTTS47%
De GraafschapRoda JC
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
De GraafschapRoda JC
80%BTTS - last 560%
De GraafschapRoda JC

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

100%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.89%
De GraafschapRoda JC
89%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.79%
De GraafschapRoda JC
63%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.58%
De GraafschapRoda JC
53%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.42%
De GraafschapRoda JC
37%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.21%
De GraafschapRoda JC

Over / Under - De Graafschap

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 100%Under 0%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 89%Under 11%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 63%Under 37%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 53%Under 47%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 37%Under 63%

Over / Under - Roda JC

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 89%Under 11%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 79%Under 21%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 58%Under 42%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 42%Under 58%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 21%Under 79%

1st half

84%Min. 1 goal before half-time68%
De GraafschapRoda JC
58%Min. 2 goals before half-time42%
De GraafschapRoda JC
26%Min. 3 goals before half-time16%
De GraafschapRoda JC

2nd half

89%Min. 1 goal after half-time84%
De GraafschapRoda JC
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time58%
De GraafschapRoda JC
21%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
De GraafschapRoda JC

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

De Graafschap is 101% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.79 pts / match - De Graafschap · 0.89 pts / match - Roda JC

De Graafschap - half-time state
47% leading37% draw16% trailing
Roda JC - half-time state
16% leading42% draw42% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.79Points per match (1st half)0.89
De GraafschapRoda JC
1.11Goals scored (1st half)0.58
De GraafschapRoda JC
0.63Goals conceded (1st half)0.74
De GraafschapRoda JC
1.74Average goals (1st half)1.32
De GraafschapRoda JC
42%Clean sheet before half-time47%
De GraafschapRoda JC
32%No goal before half-time63%
De GraafschapRoda JC

After half-time (2nd half)

1.42Points per match (2nd half)1.68
De GraafschapRoda JC
0.84Goals scored (2nd half)1
De GraafschapRoda JC
0.84Goals conceded (2nd half)0.68
De GraafschapRoda JC
1.68Average goals (2nd half)1.68
De GraafschapRoda JC
26%Clean sheet after half-time53%
De GraafschapRoda JC
42%No goal after half-time21%
De GraafschapRoda JC

De Graafschap - second-half results

37% W32% D32% L
34
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.79
PPG before half-time
Lead holding113%

Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 53%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Roda JC - second-half results

42% W42% D16% L
17
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
+6
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.89
PPG before half-time
Lead holding231%

Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

De Graafschap - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.601.60
Goals scored / match1.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match2.21.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal0%40%
Goal difference+50
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 8
Roda JC - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.201.20
Goals scored / match0.00.8
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.01.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-5-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

De Graafschap
ScoredConceded
9
5
0-15
4
4
16-30
8
3
31-45
6
6
46-60
3
3
61-75
7
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

Roda JC
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
5
4
16-30
5
8
31-45
6
3
46-60
5
5
61-75
8
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.21
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
71%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-69%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
71%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
3%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 33 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

De Graafschap

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.32
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.50
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
101%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.61
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
19% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 24% come in the first quarter-hour.
19%

Roda JC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
109%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-1.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 3% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).

Teams vs league

De GraafschapLigaRoda JC
Average goals in match▲ 3.423.23▼ 3.00
Both teams scored▲ 79%61%▲ 63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 63%63%▼ 58%
Clean sheets▼ 5%22%▲ 32%
Goal before half-time▲ 84%77%▼ 68%
Goal after half-time▲ 89%85%• 84%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.23
Average goals per match
61%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.78
Home goals / match
1.45
Away goals / match
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+9%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
6%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
55%
2 goals
26%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Away team

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. De GraafschapGoalBouke BoersmaAssist: Arjen van der Heide
  2. De GraafschapGoalReuven NiemeijerAssist: Ibrahim El Kadiri
  3. Roda JCGoalAnthony Edsel Johannes van den HurkAssist: Michael Breij
  4. Roda JCYellow cardKoen Jansen
  5. Roda JCGoalIman GriffithAssist: Anthony Edsel Johannes van den Hurk
  6. De GraafschapSubstitutionOn: Milan SmitsOff: Fedde de Jong
  7. Roda JCSubstitutionOn: Luca Alessandro MaioranoOff: Cain Seedorf
  8. De GraafschapSubstitutionOn: Dimitris TheodoridisOff: Arjen van der Heide
  9. Roda JCSubstitutionOn: Jack Cooper LoveOff: Anthony Edsel Johannes van den Hurk
  10. Roda JCGoalJack Cooper LoveAssist: Iman Griffith

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

RefereeMartin van den Kerkhof

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Martin van den KerkhofMatches officiated: 14
2.93Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 228%Home wins21%Draws50%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: De Graafschap 0 - 0 - 1 Roda JC. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

SV Roda JC
1 : 0
BV De Graafschap

FAQ

What was the result of De Graafschap vs Roda JC?

The Eerste Divisie match finished De Graafschap 2:3 Roda JC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before De Graafschap vs Roda JC?

De Graafschap score 1.95 goals per game on average and Roda JC 1.58. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 79% of De Graafschap's matches and 63% of Roda JC's.

What form are De Graafschap and Roda JC in?

Over the last 5 games De Graafschap have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Roda JC 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for De Graafschap vs Roda JC?

The statistical background for De Graafschap vs Roda JC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.