Netherlands - Eerste DivisieData current as of 12 September 2026

De Graafschap vs Utrecht II: match statistics

De Graafschap crest
De Graafschap
1 : 0half-time 0:0
Utrecht II crest
Utrecht II
155%(1.65)
X28%(4.00)
217%(4.40)
BTTSOver/UnderHT/FT
Pick: 1Won
Pick score:Pick score — the strength of the NoFluffPicks model signal for this pick.58.59
Value:Value — how much the bookmaker price is above our estimated probability. Positive value is favourable long term.-9.25%

De Graafschap displays significantly better home form with a 46% win rate at their home ground and an impressive average of 2.08 goals per match. The hosts hold a high 3rd position in the table and boast a positive goal difference of +6 in home matches. Utrecht II ranks only 13th with a mere 25% win rate away from home and a negative goal difference of -4. The last five matches of both teams show a slight advantage for the hosts in form (1.6 vs 1.4 points per match), and Utrecht II has a tendency for draws (4 out of their last 5 matches). Higher xG values for De Graafschap (2.31 vs 1.56) and better ball possession control (58% vs 48%) speak in favor of a home win, although the guests' solid defense could make it a closely contested match.

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De Graafschap vs Utrecht II: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

De Graafschap played Utrecht II in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 20 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

De Graafschap: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Utrecht II: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

De Graafschap scores 1.89 and concedes 1.52 goals per match. Utrecht II scores 1.73 and concedes 1.81. League average: 3.27 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: De Graafschap 74%, Utrecht II 73%. Over 2.5: De Graafschap 63%, Utrecht II 69%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 66%.

xG, shots and style

De Graafschap has higher xG: 2.04 vs 1.68. De Graafschap: 18.0 shots per match, Utrecht II: 14.9.

Match halves

De Graafschap: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.93. Utrecht II: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 1.12.

Goals by minute

De Graafschap: 0-15 (11 goals). Utrecht II: 46-60 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Eerste Divisie: 3.27 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 66%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

De Graafschap displays significantly better home form with a 46% win rate at their home ground and an impressive average of 2.08 goals per match. The hosts hold a high 3rd position in the table and boast a positive goal difference of +6 in home matches. Utrecht II ranks only 13th with a mere 25% win rate away from home and a negative goal difference of -4. The last five matches of both teams show a slight advantage for the hosts in form (1.6 vs 1.4 points per match), and Utrecht II has a tendency for draws (4 out of their last 5 matches). Higher xG values for De Graafschap (2.31 vs 1.56) and better ball possession control (58% vs 48%) speak in favor of a home win, although the guests' solid defense could make it a closely contested match.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

61Possession (%)39
De GraafschapUtrecht II
18Shots11
De GraafschapUtrecht II
10Shots on target2
De GraafschapUtrecht II
2.16xG1.11
De GraafschapUtrecht II
5Corners3
De GraafschapUtrecht II
46Dangerous attacks36
De GraafschapUtrecht II
12Fouls7
De GraafschapUtrecht II
3Cards1
De GraafschapUtrecht II

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.67Points per matchPPG - points per game.1.27
De GraafschapUtrecht II
1.89Goals scored / match1.73
De GraafschapUtrecht II
1.52Goals conceded / match1.81
De GraafschapUtrecht II
2.04xG forxG - expected goals, the quality of scoring chances.1.68
De GraafschapUtrecht II
56%Average possession47%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
7.07Shots on target / match5.77
De GraafschapUtrecht II
11%Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.15%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
74%Both teams scoredBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.73%
De GraafschapUtrecht II

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

18Shots per match14.92
De GraafschapUtrecht II
7.07Shots on target5.77
De GraafschapUtrecht II
10.5%Shot conversion11.6%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
56%Possession47%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
2.04xG for1.68
De GraafschapUtrecht II
1.84xG against1.52
De GraafschapUtrecht II

Shooting quality

De Graafschap: DominantUtrecht II: Attacking
De GraafschapUtrecht II
Accuracy (shots on target)39%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.270.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

De Graafschap is 14% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - De Graafschap · 1.4 pts / match - Utrecht II

De Graafschap
LDDWW
Season result split
48% W22% D30% L
Season (W-D-L)
13-6-8
1.67 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-3-4
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WLLDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.79Opponent xG: 1.27BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Utrecht II
WDDDD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
31% W35% D35% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-9-9
1.27 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-4-0
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-4-5
Last 5 away
2-3-0
DWWDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 2.16Opponent xG: 1.46BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

De Graafschap is 9% better for: goals scored per match.

1.89 goals / match - De Graafschap · 1.73 goals / match - Utrecht II

De Graafschap is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.52 goals / match - De Graafschap · 1.81 goals / match - Utrecht II

De Graafschap scoring profile: very strong

De Graafschap scores in 81% of matches (22 of 27 matches), while Utrecht II keeps a clean sheet in 15% (4 of 26 matches).

Utrecht II scoring profile: very strong

Utrecht II scores in 81% of matches (21 of 26 matches), while De Graafschap keeps a clean sheet in 11% (3 of 27 matches).

51Goals scored (season)45
De GraafschapUtrecht II
41Goals conceded (season)47
De GraafschapUtrecht II
3.41Average goals in match3.54
De GraafschapUtrecht II
9Goals scored (last 5)12
De GraafschapUtrecht II
6Goals conceded (last 5)10
De GraafschapUtrecht II
De Graafschap
11%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.3 of 27 matches
19%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.5 of 27 matches
Utrecht II
15%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.4 of 26 matches
19%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.5 of 26 matches

How often they score at least...

81%1 goal81%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
67%2 goals54%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
33%3 goals23%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
7%4 goals12%
De GraafschapUtrecht II

How often they concede at least...

89%1 goal85%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
44%2 goals62%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
15%3 goals27%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
4%4 goals8%
De GraafschapUtrecht II

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

74%
De Graafschap - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.20 of 27 matches
73%
Utrecht II - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.19 of 26 matches
63%
League average

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time23%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
11%BTTS in both halves12%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
37%Scored in both halves35%
De GraafschapUtrecht II

BTTS and goal count

59%Min. 3 goals and BTTS65%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
4%Min. 3 goals without BTTS4%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
60%BTTS - last 5100%
De GraafschapUtrecht II

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

96%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.92%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
89%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.85%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
63%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.69%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
52%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.54%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
37%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.27%
De GraafschapUtrecht II

Over / Under - De Graafschap

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 96%Under 4%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 89%Under 11%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 63%Under 37%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 52%Under 48%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 37%Under 63%

Over / Under - Utrecht II

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 92%Under 8%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 85%Under 15%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 69%Under 31%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 54%Under 46%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 27%Under 73%

1st half

81%Min. 1 goal before half-time77%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
48%Min. 2 goals before half-time35%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
19%Min. 3 goals before half-time19%
De GraafschapUtrecht II

2nd half

89%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
52%Min. 2 goals after half-time65%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
30%Min. 3 goals after half-time38%
De GraafschapUtrecht II

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

De Graafschap is 43% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.7 pts / match - De Graafschap · 1.19 pts / match - Utrecht II

De Graafschap - half-time state
44% leading37% draw19% trailing
Utrecht II - half-time state
31% leading27% draw42% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.7Points per match (1st half)1.19
De GraafschapUtrecht II
0.96Goals scored (1st half)0.62
De GraafschapUtrecht II
0.56Goals conceded (1st half)0.81
De GraafschapUtrecht II
1.52Average goals (1st half)1.42
De GraafschapUtrecht II
48%Clean sheet before half-time50%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
37%No goal before half-time50%
De GraafschapUtrecht II

After half-time (2nd half)

1.37Points per match (2nd half)1.42
De GraafschapUtrecht II
0.93Goals scored (2nd half)1.12
De GraafschapUtrecht II
0.96Goals conceded (2nd half)1
De GraafschapUtrecht II
1.89Average goals (2nd half)2.12
De GraafschapUtrecht II
30%Clean sheet after half-time27%
De GraafschapUtrecht II
44%No goal after half-time35%
De GraafschapUtrecht II

De Graafschap - second-half results

37% W26% D37% L
46
Half-time points
26
Half-time goals
+11
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.70
PPG before half-time
Lead holding109%

Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Utrecht II - second-half results

35% W38% D27% L
31
Half-time points
16
Half-time goals
-5
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.19
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

De Graafschap - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.40
Goals scored / match0.61.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match1.02.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+1+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Utrecht II - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.80
Goals scored / match0.81.6
Goals conceded / match1.20.8
Average goals in match2.02.4
1 goal100%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference-2+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 0% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

De Graafschap
ScoredConceded
11
7
0-15
6
4
16-30
9
4
31-45
9
10
46-60
5
4
61-75
11
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Utrecht II
ScoredConceded
6
10
0-15
3
10
16-30
7
1
31-45
12
6
46-60
9
10
61-75
8
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.48
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.9 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
106%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
74%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+44%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
66%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

De Graafschap

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.17
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.32
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
106%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
102%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Utrecht II

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
116%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
102%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.5
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).

Teams vs league

De GraafschapLigaUtrecht II
Average goals in match▲ 3.413.27▲ 3.54
Both teams scored▲ 74%63%▲ 73%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 63%66%▲ 69%
Clean sheets▼ 11%21%▼ 15%
Goal before half-time▲ 81%78%• 77%
Goal after half-time▲ 89%86%▲ 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.27
Average goals per match
63%
Both teams scored
66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.78
Home goals / match
1.49
Away goals / match
+19%
Home attack advantage
+16%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
78%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
56%
2 goals
29%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Away team

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. De GraafschapYellow cardTeun Gijselhart
  2. Utrecht IIYellow cardNoa Dundas
  3. Utrecht IISubstitutionOn: Shedrach EbiteOff: Rafik el Arguioui
  4. De GraafschapGoalFedde de Jong
  5. De GraafschapSubstitutionOn: Kaya SymonsOff: Levi Schoppema
  6. De GraafschapYellow cardJason Meerstadt
  7. De GraafschapYellow cardTies Wieggers

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

RefereeJoshua Kuipers

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Joshua KuipersMatches officiated: 19
3.53Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 253%Home wins11%Draws37%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: De Graafschap 1 - 0 - 0 Utrecht II. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FC Utrecht II
2 : 3
BV De Graafschap

FAQ

What was the result of De Graafschap vs Utrecht II?

The Eerste Divisie match finished De Graafschap 1:0 Utrecht II. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before De Graafschap vs Utrecht II?

De Graafschap score 1.89 goals per game on average and Utrecht II 1.73. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 74% of De Graafschap's matches and 73% of Utrecht II's.

What form are De Graafschap and Utrecht II in?

Over the last 5 games De Graafschap have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Utrecht II 1-4-0 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for De Graafschap vs Utrecht II?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for De Graafschap vs Utrecht II: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.