Netherlands - Eerste DivisieData current as of 12 September 2026

De Graafschap vs Vitesse: match statistics

De Graafschap crest
De Graafschap
1 : 4half-time 0:2
Vitesse crest
Vitesse
155%(1.82)
X27%(3.75)
218%(3.20)
BTTSOver/UnderHT/FT
Pick: 1Lost
Pick score:Pick score — the strength of the NoFluffPicks model signal for this pick.54.72
Value:Value — how much the bookmaker price is above our estimated probability. Positive value is favourable long term.0.10%

De Graafschap exhibits significantly better home form with a 50% win rate at their own stadium and an impressive recent home run of 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws). The hosts are 4th in the table and stand out offensively, scoring an average of 2 goals per game at home with a high ball possession rate (59%). Vitesse struggles away from home with just a 29% win rate, a high percentage of matches without scoring (36%), and a negative goal difference (-4). The away side's offensive quality is clearly weaker in away matches (1.43 goals on average) compared to the hosts. De Graafschap's statistical advantage in key categories points to their victory, although Vitesse's solid draw record (36% draws away) could make it difficult for the home side.

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De Graafschap vs Vitesse: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

De Graafschap played Vitesse in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 8 March 2026. Final score: 1:4.

Current form

De Graafschap: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Vitesse: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

De Graafschap scores 1.90 and concedes 1.52 goals per match. Vitesse scores 1.48 and concedes 1.55. League average: 3.22 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: De Graafschap 72%, Vitesse 66%. Over 2.5: De Graafschap 62%, Vitesse 69%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 64%.

xG, shots and style

De Graafschap has higher xG: 2.06 vs 1.64. De Graafschap: 18.2 shots per match, Vitesse: 15.1.

Match halves

De Graafschap: half-time lead 45%, second-half goals 0.93. Vitesse: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.83.

Goals by minute

De Graafschap: 76-90+ (13 goals). Vitesse: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Eerste Divisie: 3.22 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 64%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

De Graafschap exhibits significantly better home form with a 50% win rate at their own stadium and an impressive recent home run of 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws). The hosts are 4th in the table and stand out offensively, scoring an average of 2 goals per game at home with a high ball possession rate (59%). Vitesse struggles away from home with just a 29% win rate, a high percentage of matches without scoring (36%), and a negative goal difference (-4). The away side's offensive quality is clearly weaker in away matches (1.43 goals on average) compared to the hosts. De Graafschap's statistical advantage in key categories points to their victory, although Vitesse's solid draw record (36% draws away) could make it difficult for the home side.

View the statistical overview

Half-by-half

0 : 2
1st half
1 : 2
2nd half

Match statistics

70Possession (%)30
De GraafschapVitesse
23Shots13
De GraafschapVitesse
11Shots on target4
De GraafschapVitesse
2.79xG1.39
De GraafschapVitesse
3Corners2
De GraafschapVitesse
78Dangerous attacks41
De GraafschapVitesse
11Fouls17
De GraafschapVitesse
1Cards2
De GraafschapVitesse

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.69Points per matchPPG - points per game.1.34
De GraafschapVitesse
1.9Goals scored / match1.48
De GraafschapVitesse
1.52Goals conceded / match1.55
De GraafschapVitesse
2.06xG forxG - expected goals, the quality of scoring chances.1.64
De GraafschapVitesse
56%Average possession47%
De GraafschapVitesse
7.17Shots on target / match5.03
De GraafschapVitesse
14%Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.17%
De GraafschapVitesse
72%Both teams scoredBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.66%
De GraafschapVitesse

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

18.21Shots per match15.07
De GraafschapVitesse
7.17Shots on target5.03
De GraafschapVitesse
10.4%Shot conversion9.8%
De GraafschapVitesse
56%Possession47%
De GraafschapVitesse
2.06xG for1.64
De GraafschapVitesse
1.81xG against1.47
De GraafschapVitesse

Shooting quality

De Graafschap: DominantVitesse: Attacking
De GraafschapVitesse
Accuracy (shots on target)39%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.260.29

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

De Graafschap is 38% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - De Graafschap · 1.6 pts / match - Vitesse

De Graafschap
DWWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
48% W24% D28% L
Season (W-D-L)
14-7-8
1.69 pts / match · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
7-3-4
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
LLDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 2.09Opponent xG: 1.20BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Vitesse
DWDLW
Season result split
34% W31% D34% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-9-10
1.34 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-5-5
Last 5 away
1-2-2
LDDWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.74Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

De Graafschap is 28% better for: goals scored per match.

1.9 goals / match - De Graafschap · 1.48 goals / match - Vitesse

De Graafschap scoring profile: very strong

De Graafschap scores in 83% of matches (24 of 29 matches), while Vitesse keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 29 matches).

Vitesse scoring profile: very strong

Vitesse scores in 76% of matches (22 of 29 matches), while De Graafschap keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 29 matches).

55Goals scored (season)43
De GraafschapVitesse
44Goals conceded (season)45
De GraafschapVitesse
3.41Average goals in match3.03
De GraafschapVitesse
10Goals scored (last 5)7
De GraafschapVitesse
4Goals conceded (last 5)7
De GraafschapVitesse
De Graafschap
14%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.4 of 29 matches
17%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.5 of 29 matches
Vitesse
17%
Clean sheetsClean sheet - a match with no goal conceded.5 of 29 matches
24%
No goalFailed to score - a match where the team did not score.7 of 29 matches

How often they score at least...

83%1 goal76%
De GraafschapVitesse
66%2 goals52%
De GraafschapVitesse
34%3 goals14%
De GraafschapVitesse
7%4 goals7%
De GraafschapVitesse

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal83%
De GraafschapVitesse
45%2 goals52%
De GraafschapVitesse
17%3 goals14%
De GraafschapVitesse
3%4 goals7%
De GraafschapVitesse

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

72%
De Graafschap - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.21 of 29 matches
66%
Vitesse - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.19 of 29 matches
62%
League average

Goal patterns

34%BTTS at half-time24%
De GraafschapVitesse
14%BTTS in both halves3%
De GraafschapVitesse
38%Scored in both halves31%
De GraafschapVitesse

BTTS and goal count

59%Min. 3 goals and BTTS55%
De GraafschapVitesse
3%Min. 3 goals without BTTS14%
De GraafschapVitesse
40%BTTS - last 560%
De GraafschapVitesse

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

97%Min. 1 goal (Over 0.5)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.93%
De GraafschapVitesse
86%Min. 2 goals (Over 1.5)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.93%
De GraafschapVitesse
62%Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.69%
De GraafschapVitesse
52%Min. 4 goals (Over 3.5)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.38%
De GraafschapVitesse
38%Min. 5 goals (Over 4.5)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.7%
De GraafschapVitesse

Over / Under - De Graafschap

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 97%Under 3%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 86%Under 14%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 62%Under 38%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 52%Under 48%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 38%Under 62%

Over / Under - Vitesse

Line 0.5 (min. 1 goal)Over 0.5 - at least one goal in the match.
Over 93%Under 7%
Line 1.5 (min. 2 goals)Over 1.5 - at least two goals in the match.
Over 93%Under 7%
Line 2.5 (min. 3 goals)Over 2.5 - at least three goals in the match.
Over 69%Under 31%
Line 3.5 (min. 4 goals)Over 3.5 - at least four goals in the match.
Over 38%Under 62%
Line 4.5 (min. 5 goals)Over 4.5 - at least five goals in the match.
Over 7%Under 93%

1st half

79%Min. 1 goal before half-time90%
De GraafschapVitesse
48%Min. 2 goals before half-time41%
De GraafschapVitesse
21%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
De GraafschapVitesse

2nd half

90%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
De GraafschapVitesse
52%Min. 2 goals after half-time45%
De GraafschapVitesse
31%Min. 3 goals after half-time24%
De GraafschapVitesse

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

De Graafschap is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.72 pts / match - De Graafschap · 1.38 pts / match - Vitesse

De Graafschap - half-time state
45% leading38% draw17% trailing
Vitesse - half-time state
38% leading24% draw38% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.72Points per match (1st half)1.38
De GraafschapVitesse
0.97Goals scored (1st half)0.66
De GraafschapVitesse
0.55Goals conceded (1st half)0.79
De GraafschapVitesse
1.52Average goals (1st half)1.45
De GraafschapVitesse
48%Clean sheet before half-time38%
De GraafschapVitesse
38%No goal before half-time48%
De GraafschapVitesse

After half-time (2nd half)

1.38Points per match (2nd half)1.38
De GraafschapVitesse
0.93Goals scored (2nd half)0.83
De GraafschapVitesse
0.97Goals conceded (2nd half)0.76
De GraafschapVitesse
1.9Average goals (2nd half)1.59
De GraafschapVitesse
31%Clean sheet after half-time45%
De GraafschapVitesse
41%No goal after half-time45%
De GraafschapVitesse

De Graafschap - second-half results

38% W24% D38% L
50
Half-time points
28
Half-time goals
+12
Goal difference (1st half)
40
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.72
PPG before half-time
Lead holding107%

Leads at half-time in 45% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.4

Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Vitesse - second-half results

34% W34% D31% L
40
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
40
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding89%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 34%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

De Graafschap - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.00
Goals scored / match0.81.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+2+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 4
Vitesse - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.40
Goals scored / match0.60.8
Goals conceded / match0.80.6
Average goals in match1.41.4
1 goal100%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

De Graafschap
ScoredConceded
11
8
0-15
8
4
16-30
9
4
31-45
9
10
46-60
5
6
61-75
13
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Vitesse
ScoredConceded
3
4
0-15
6
10
16-30
10
9
31-45
6
8
46-60
5
4
61-75
13
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.23
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
69%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-7%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
63%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

De Graafschap

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.25
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
109%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.51
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Vitesse

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.16
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
101%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
89%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.26
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
30% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
30%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).

Teams vs league

De GraafschapLigaVitesse
Average goals in match▲ 3.413.22▼ 3.03
Both teams scored▲ 72%62%▲ 66%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 62%64%▲ 69%
Clean sheets▼ 14%21%▼ 17%
Goal before half-time▲ 79%77%▲ 90%
Goal after half-time▲ 90%86%▼ 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.22
Average goals per match
62%
Both teams scored
64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
21%
Clean sheets
1.75
Home goals / match
1.47
Away goals / match
+19%
Home attack advantage
+16%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
77%
1 goal
41%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
86%
1 goal
56%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
10%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Home team

Away team

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. VitesseGoalNaoufal BannisAssist: Joâo Arlete Pinto
  2. VitesseYellow cardNaoufal Bannis
  3. VitesseGoalValon ZumberiAssist: Ricardo-Felipe Schwarz
  4. De GraafschapYellow cardJason Meerstadt
  5. VitesseSubstitutionOn: Elias HuthOff: Naoufal Bannis
  6. De GraafschapSubstitutionOn: Chahid El AllachiOff: Nathan Charles Kaninda
  7. De GraafschapGoalNils EggensAssist: Levi Schoppema
  8. VitesseGoalMathijs MarschalkAssist: Elias Huth
  9. De GraafschapSubstitutionOn: Jevon SimonsOff: Ibrahim El Kadiri
  10. De GraafschapSubstitutionOn: Kyano KwintOff: Jason Meerstadt
  11. VitesseSubstitutionOn: Moustafa Ashraf MoustafaOff: Mathijs Marschalk
  12. VitesseSubstitutionOn: Nino ZonneveldOff: Joâo Arlete Pinto
  13. VitesseSubstitutionOn: Chiel Olde KeizerOff: Alexander Büttner
  14. VitesseYellow cardYuval Ranon
  15. De GraafschapSubstitutionOn: Milan SmitsOff: Nolan Martens
  16. VitesseGoalYuval RanonAssist: Adam Tahaui

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

RefereeRobin Hensgens

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Robin HensgensMatches officiated: 11
3.27Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 245%Home wins18%Draws36%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: De Graafschap 1 - 0 - 0 Vitesse. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

SBV Vitesse
1 : 2
BV De Graafschap

FAQ

What was the result of De Graafschap vs Vitesse?

The Eerste Divisie match finished De Graafschap 1:4 Vitesse. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before De Graafschap vs Vitesse?

De Graafschap score 1.90 goals per game on average and Vitesse 1.48. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.22 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 64% of games. Both teams score in 72% of De Graafschap's matches and 66% of Vitesse's.

What form are De Graafschap and Vitesse in?

Over the last 5 games De Graafschap have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Vitesse 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for De Graafschap vs Vitesse?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.