Debrecen vs MTK: match statistics
Debrecen clearly surpasses MTK in terms of form and home statistics. The hosts sit in 3rd place in the table with a 55% home win rate, while MTK ranks 10th with only 18% wins on the road and a goal difference of -15. The form over the last five matches decisively favors Debrecen (1.6 points per match) compared to the catastrophic disposition of the visitors (0.2 points per match, a streak of four losses). MTK has not kept a single clean sheet away this season and concedes an average of 2.45 goals per away match, which, combined with Debrecen's solid efficiency (1.45 goals on average at home), indicates a clear advantage for the hosts. xG statistics also confirm this forecast – Debrecen has better indicators in both attack and defense at their own stadium.
Debrecen vs MTK: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Debrecen play MTK in NB I (Hungary). The match date is 27 February 2026 at 20:15. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Debrecen: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. MTK: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Debrecen scores 1.55 and concedes 1.24 goals per match. MTK scores 1.67 and concedes 1.88. League average: 3.00 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Debrecen 58%, MTK 67%. Over 2.5: Debrecen 55%, MTK 70%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.
xG, shots and style
Debrecen has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.56. Debrecen: 14.0 shots per match, MTK: 13.4.
Match halves
Debrecen: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.91. MTK: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 1.09.
Goals by minute
Debrecen: 46-60 (12 goals). MTK: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NB I: 3.00 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Debrecen clearly surpasses MTK in terms of form and home statistics. The hosts sit in 3rd place in the table with a 55% home win rate, while MTK ranks 10th with only 18% wins on the road and a goal difference of -15. The form over the last five matches decisively favors Debrecen (1.6 points per match) compared to the catastrophic disposition of the visitors (0.2 points per match, a streak of four losses). MTK has not kept a single clean sheet away this season and concedes an average of 2.45 goals per away match, which, combined with Debrecen's solid efficiency (1.45 goals on average at home), indicates a clear advantage for the hosts. xG statistics also confirm this forecast – Debrecen has better indicators in both attack and defense at their own stadium.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Debrecen | MTK | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
MTK is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Debrecen · 1.8 pts / match - MTK
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
MTK is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.55 goals / match - Debrecen · 1.67 goals / match - MTK
Debrecen is 52% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.24 goals / match - Debrecen · 1.88 goals / match - MTK
Debrecen scores in 79% of matches (26 of 33 matches), while MTK keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 33 matches).
MTK scores in 82% of matches (27 of 33 matches), while Debrecen keeps a clean sheet in 27% (9 of 33 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Debrecen
Over / Under — MTK
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Debrecen is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.3 pts / match - Debrecen · 0.97 pts / match - MTK
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Debrecen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
MTK - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Debrecen
MTK
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).
Teams vs league
| Debrecen | Liga | MTK | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.79 | 3.00 | ▲ 3.55 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 58% | 60% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 55% | 60% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 27% | 22% | • 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 61% | 70% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | • 88% | 87% | ▲ 94% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Debrecen 1 - 0 - 1 MTK. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Debrecen vs MTK?
The NB I match finished Debrecen 2:2 MTK. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Debrecen and MTK?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Debrecen won 1, MTK won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Debrecen vs MTK?
Debrecen score 1.55 goals per game on average and MTK 1.67. The NB I average is 3.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Debrecen's matches and 67% of MTK's.
What form are Debrecen and MTK in?
Over the last 5 games Debrecen have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and MTK 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Debrecen vs MTK?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Debrecen vs MTK: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.