Debrecen vs Paksi SE: match statistics
Paksi SE is showing clearly better form, averaging 2.4 points per match in their last five games, while Debrecen manages only 1.4. The visitors boast a superior away goal difference (+7) and a higher shot conversion rate (12% vs the hosts' 10%). In away matches, Paksi SE averages 1.8 goals scored and only 1.1 conceded, which is significantly better than Debrecen's home record (1.5 scored, 1.4 conceded). The visitors' form is confirmed by a run of four wins in their last five matches, whereas the hosts have won only two of their last five. Higher xG values for Paksi (1.91 vs 1.73) and lower xG against (1.82 vs 1.65) further support the visitors' advantage. All indicators point to a higher probability of a Paksi SE victory in this encounter.
Debrecen vs Paksi SE: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Debrecen played Paksi SE in NB I (Hungary). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Debrecen: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Paksi SE: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Debrecen scores 1.55 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Paksi SE scores 2.05 and concedes 1.40. League average: 3.01 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Debrecen 55%, Paksi SE 75%. Over 2.5: Debrecen 60%, Paksi SE 70%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 58%.
xG, shots and style
Paksi SE has higher xG: 2.12 vs 1.56. Debrecen: 13.2 shots per match, Paksi SE: 17.1.
Match halves
Debrecen: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.90. Paksi SE: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.25.
Goals by minute
Debrecen: 46-60 (9 goals). Paksi SE: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NB I: 3.01 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 58%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Paksi SE is showing clearly better form, averaging 2.4 points per match in their last five games, while Debrecen manages only 1.4. The visitors boast a superior away goal difference (+7) and a higher shot conversion rate (12% vs the hosts' 10%). In away matches, Paksi SE averages 1.8 goals scored and only 1.1 conceded, which is significantly better than Debrecen's home record (1.5 scored, 1.4 conceded). The visitors' form is confirmed by a run of four wins in their last five matches, whereas the hosts have won only two of their last five. Higher xG values for Paksi (1.91 vs 1.73) and lower xG against (1.82 vs 1.65) further support the visitors' advantage. All indicators point to a higher probability of a Paksi SE victory in this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Debrecen | Paksi SE | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Paksi SE is 71% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Debrecen · 2.4 pts / match - Paksi SE
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Paksi SE is 32% better for: goals scored per match.
1.55 goals / match - Debrecen · 2.05 goals / match - Paksi SE
Debrecen is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Debrecen · 1.4 goals / match - Paksi SE
Debrecen scores in 75% of matches (15 of 20 matches), while Paksi SE keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 matches).
Paksi SE scores in 85% of matches (17 of 20 matches), while Debrecen keeps a clean sheet in 25% (5 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Debrecen
Over / Under - Paksi SE
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Debrecen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Paksi SE - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Debrecen
Paksi SE
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NB I).
Teams vs league
| Debrecen | Liga | Paksi SE | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.80 | 3.01 | ▲ 3.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 55% | 61% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 58% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 25% | 21% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 68% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | • 90% | 89% | ▲ 95% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Debrecen 0 - 1 - 0 Paksi SE. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Debrecen vs Paksi SE?
The NB I match finished Debrecen 1:0 Paksi SE. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Debrecen vs Paksi SE?
Debrecen score 1.55 goals per game on average and Paksi SE 2.05. The NB I average is 3.01 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Debrecen's matches and 75% of Paksi SE's.
What form are Debrecen and Paksi SE in?
Over the last 5 games Debrecen have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Paksi SE 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Debrecen vs Paksi SE?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Debrecen vs Paksi SE: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.