Defensor Sporting vs Nacional: match statistics
Nacional are displaying notably better form both in away matches (67% win rate) and overall (1.4 points per match compared to Defensor Sporting's 0.8). The hosts are struggling with offensive efficiency, scoring just 0.5 goals per home game and failing to score in 50% of their home fixtures. Nacional, on the other hand, have not recorded a single away match without a goal (0% FTS rate) and average 1.33 goals scored in away games. Although Defensor have the edge in possession (60% vs 63%) and a higher home xG (1.96), Nacional is characterized by a significantly better chance conversion rate (11% vs 3%). Furthermore, Nacional's recent away form (WWL) and higher shooting accuracy speak in favor of the visitors, despite the hosts maintaining a 100% clean sheet rate at home.
Defensor Sporting vs Nacional: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Defensor Sporting played Nacional in Primera División (Uruguay). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Defensor Sporting: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Nacional: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Defensor Sporting scores 0.67 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. Nacional scores 1.17 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.27 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Defensor Sporting 33%, Nacional 50%. Over 2.5: Defensor Sporting 17%, Nacional 33%. League level: BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Nacional has higher xG: 1.45 vs 1.43. Defensor Sporting: 12.3 shots per match, Nacional: 12.2.
Match halves
Defensor Sporting: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.33. Nacional: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Defensor Sporting: 0-15 (1 goals). Nacional: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.27 goals per match, BTTS 45%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Nacional are displaying notably better form both in away matches (67% win rate) and overall (1.4 points per match compared to Defensor Sporting's 0.8). The hosts are struggling with offensive efficiency, scoring just 0.5 goals per home game and failing to score in 50% of their home fixtures. Nacional, on the other hand, have not recorded a single away match without a goal (0% FTS rate) and average 1.33 goals scored in away games. Although Defensor have the edge in possession (60% vs 63%) and a higher home xG (1.96), Nacional is characterized by a significantly better chance conversion rate (11% vs 3%). Furthermore, Nacional's recent away form (WWL) and higher shooting accuracy speak in favor of the visitors, despite the hosts maintaining a 100% clean sheet rate at home.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Defensor Sporting | Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.19 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nacional is 75% better for: goals scored per match.
0.67 goals / match - Defensor Sporting · 1.17 goals / match - Nacional
Defensor Sporting is 49% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.67 goals / match - Defensor Sporting · 1 goals / match - Nacional
Defensor Sporting scores in 50% of matches (3 of 6 matches), while Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
Nacional scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Defensor Sporting keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Defensor Sporting
Over / Under - Nacional
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nacional is 81% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.83 pts / match - Defensor Sporting · 1.5 pts / match - Nacional
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Defensor Sporting - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Defensor Sporting
Nacional
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Defensor Sporting | Liga | Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.33 | 2.27 | ▼ 2.17 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 45% | ▲ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 17% | 43% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | • 33% | 32% | • 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 63% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 73% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Defensor SportingSubstitutionOn: Brian Avelino Lozano AparicioOff: Alexander Nicolás Machado Aycaguer
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Defensor Sporting 0 - 1 - 1 Nacional. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Defensor Sporting vs Nacional?
The Primera División match finished Defensor Sporting 2:1 Nacional. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Defensor Sporting and Nacional?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Defensor Sporting won 0, Nacional won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Defensor Sporting vs Nacional?
Defensor Sporting score 0.67 goals per game on average and Nacional 1.17. The Primera División average is 2.27 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Defensor Sporting's matches and 50% of Nacional's.
What form are Defensor Sporting and Nacional in?
Over the last 5 games Defensor Sporting have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Nacional 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Defensor Sporting vs Nacional?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Defensor Sporting vs Nacional: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.