Defensor Sporting vs Progreso: match statistics
Defensor Sporting vs Progreso: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Defensor Sporting play Progreso in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 28 April 2026 at 00:30. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Defensor Sporting: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Progreso: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Defensor Sporting scores 0.80 and concedes 0.85 goals per match. Progreso scores 0.81 and concedes 1.52. League average: 2.41 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Defensor Sporting 50%, Progreso 43%. Over 2.5: Defensor Sporting 20%, Progreso 43%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Defensor Sporting has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.16. Defensor Sporting: 12.2 shots per match, Progreso: 8.5.
Match halves
Defensor Sporting: half-time lead 5%, second-half goals 0.45. Progreso: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Defensor Sporting: 61-75 (4 goals). Progreso: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.41 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back the home win (1). Defensor Sporting shows strong home metrics: 60% wins and 60% clean sheets with only 0.4 goals conceded per home match and 1.2 goals scored. Offensively the hosts generate higher-quality chances — home xG averages 1.58 versus Progreso’s 1.03 away xG, and they average 12.8 shots (4 on target) compared to the visitors’ 7 shots (3.2 on target). Progreso’s away profile is weaker: 20% away wins, 1.2 goals conceded on average and 40% of away matches without scoring; in their last 5 matches the visitors conceded 8 goals while scoring 6. Additionally, Defensor have conceded only 3 goals in their last 5 matches and average 1.2 points per match in that period, whereas Progreso average 1.0 point, indicating a defensive stability advantage for the hosts.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Defensor Sporting | Progreso | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Progreso is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Defensor Sporting · 1.2 pts / match - Progreso
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Defensor Sporting is 79% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.85 goals / match - Defensor Sporting · 1.52 goals / match - Progreso
Defensor Sporting scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while Progreso keeps a clean sheet in 10% (2 of 21 matches).
Progreso scores in 52% of matches (11 of 21 matches), while Defensor Sporting keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Defensor Sporting
Over / Under — Progreso
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Defensor Sporting is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.9 pts / match - Defensor Sporting · 0.76 pts / match - Progreso
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Defensor Sporting - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 5% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Progreso - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (4 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Defensor Sporting
Progreso
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Defensor Sporting | Liga | Progreso | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.65 | 2.41 | • 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 20% | 46% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 27% | ▼ 10% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 55% | 69% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 73% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Defensor Sporting 1 - 0 - 1 Progreso. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Defensor Sporting vs Progreso?
The Primera División match finished Defensor Sporting 1:0 Progreso. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Defensor Sporting and Progreso?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Defensor Sporting won 1, Progreso won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Defensor Sporting vs Progreso?
Defensor Sporting score 0.80 goals per game on average and Progreso 0.81. The Primera División average is 2.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Defensor Sporting's matches and 43% of Progreso's.
What form are Defensor Sporting and Progreso in?
Over the last 5 games Defensor Sporting have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Progreso 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Defensor Sporting vs Progreso?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.