Defensores de Belgrano vs Atlético Rafaela: match statistics
Defensores de Belgrano vs Atlético Rafaela: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Defensores de Belgrano played Atlético Rafaela in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match was played on 30 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Defensores de Belgrano: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Atlético Rafaela: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Defensores de Belgrano scores 1.00 and concedes 0.40 goals per match. Atlético Rafaela scores 0.80 and concedes 0.40. League average: 1.82 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Defensores de Belgrano 40%, Atlético Rafaela 20%. Over 2.5: Defensores de Belgrano 0%, Atlético Rafaela 20%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 31%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético Rafaela has higher xG: 1.19 vs 1.04. Defensores de Belgrano: 6.8 shots per match, Atlético Rafaela: 10.2.
Match halves
Defensores de Belgrano: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.20. Atlético Rafaela: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.40.
Goals by minute
Defensores de Belgrano: 31-45+ (2 goals). Atlético Rafaela: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.82 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 31%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The stats point to an even contest: Defensores de Belgrano have a strong home defense (0.5 avg goals conceded and high clean sheet rate) but limited attacking output (0.5 goals per match, 0.5 SOT). Atlético Rafaela show better attacking metrics (more shots and higher away xG) but concede more recently and have higher xG against. Both teams share identical PPG in the last 5 (1.8) and comparable forms, increasing draw probability. Given the hosts’ defensive edge and visitors’ attacking potential, a draw is the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Stats indicate a defensive advantage for the home side: home season CS% 100% and very high league CS% (78%) suggest a strong chance of at least one clean sheet. Defensores de Belgrano have low scoring efficiency (0.67 goals per game, low SOT), while Atlético Rafaela generates higher xG and SOT but concedes a lot (xG_against 2.03, ga_l5 = 5), producing mixed signals. League BTTS is moderate (40%), but high clean sheet rates and low home productivity point toward No Goal/No BTTS. Considering solid home defence and moderate opponent attack, recommend BTTS: No.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG-based model indicates goal advantage for both teams: Home xG_for 1.09 vs opponents' xG_against 2.03 yields ~1.56 expected goals, away xG_for 1.34 vs opponents' xG_against 0.86 yields ~1.10. Atlético Rafaela also posts substantially more SOT (4.0 vs 1.33) and higher xG, increasing scoring likelihood. Although Defensores show 100% CS in the season, sample is small and their low shot conversion (7%) limits expected home goals. Seasonal BTTS and Over metrics show a moderate tendency for away goals, supporting Over >1.5. Strongest signal: Over 1.5 given total xG ~2.66 and away offensive edge.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Stats indicate a strong home defense: 100% season CS and low average concessions, increasing the chance the opponent will not lead at HT. The hosts draw at HT more often (67%) and have better PPG and a higher win ratio, suggesting a second-half advantage. Visitors record higher average goals and xG but also defensive vulnerability (high xG_against), which supports a turnaround after the break. The league features low scoring and many draws/CS, supporting the HT draw and home win FT scenario. Therefore the most reliable signal is X/1 (draw at HT, Defensores de Belgrano win after 90 minutes).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Defensores de Belgrano | Atlético Rafaela | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 24% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético Rafaela is 11% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Defensores de Belgrano · 2 pts / match - Atlético Rafaela
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Defensores de Belgrano is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Defensores de Belgrano · 0.8 goals / match - Atlético Rafaela
Defensores de Belgrano scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Atlético Rafaela keeps a clean sheet in 80% (4 of 5 matches).
Atlético Rafaela scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while Defensores de Belgrano keeps a clean sheet in 60% (3 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Defensores de Belgrano
Over / Under - Atlético Rafaela
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Defensores de Belgrano is 29% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.8 pts / match - Defensores de Belgrano · 1.4 pts / match - Atlético Rafaela
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Defensores de Belgrano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Atlético Rafaela - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Defensores de Belgrano
Atlético Rafaela
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Defensores de Belgrano | Liga | Atlético Rafaela | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.40 | 1.82 | ▼ 1.20 |
| Both teams scored | • 40% | 39% | ▼ 20% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 0% | 31% | ▼ 20% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 60% | 40% | ▲ 80% |
| Goal before half-time | • 60% | 61% | ▼ 40% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 40% | 70% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Defensores de Belgrano vs Atlético Rafaela?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Defensores de Belgrano 1:1 Atlético Rafaela. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Defensores de Belgrano vs Atlético Rafaela?
Defensores de Belgrano score 1.00 goals per game on average and Atlético Rafaela 0.80. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Defensores de Belgrano's matches and 20% of Atlético Rafaela's.
What form are Defensores de Belgrano and Atlético Rafaela in?
Over the last 5 games Defensores de Belgrano have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Atlético Rafaela 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Defensores de Belgrano vs Atlético Rafaela?
The statistical background for Defensores de Belgrano vs Atlético Rafaela — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.