Defensores de Belgrano vs San Telmo: match statistics
Defensores de Belgrano vs San Telmo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Defensores de Belgrano played San Telmo in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match was played on 30 May 2026. Venue: Estadio Salomón Boeseldín. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Defensores de Belgrano: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. San Telmo: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Defensores de Belgrano scores 0.79 and concedes 0.86 goals per match. San Telmo scores 0.86 and concedes 1.07. League average: 1.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Defensores de Belgrano 43%, San Telmo 36%. Over 2.5: Defensores de Belgrano 21%, San Telmo 29%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 29%.
xG, shots and style
San Telmo has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.27. Defensores de Belgrano: 10.2 shots per match, San Telmo: 10.3.
Match halves
Defensores de Belgrano: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.36. San Telmo: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.36.
Goals by minute
Defensores de Belgrano: 31-45+ (3 goals). San Telmo: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.85 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 29%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
A draw is the most likely outcome. Defensores de Belgrano have yet to win at home (0 wins, 100% draws), averaging 0.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per match, while San Telmo draw 83% of their away games, scoring 0.67 and conceding 0.83 on average. The hosts generate higher home xG (1.19) and attempt more shots (10.67 with 3.5 on target) than the visitors (xG 0.89, 5.83 shots with 2 on target), but their conversion rate is only 5% versus San Telmo’s 11%, which limits goal output. In the last 5 matches the hosts have scored 3 and conceded 6, without a win (0-2-3) and averaging 0.4 points per game, while the visitors have 2 goals, 2 conceded and a 1-3-1 record with 1.2 points per game, giving San Telmo the form edge. Both teams frequently fail to break through (50% of matches with no goals for both) and produce low-scoring games, hence the high probability of a draw and an expected low final score.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Data favors the “no” scenario: Defensores de Belgrano average 1.0 goal per match and San Telmo 0.67, giving a combined mean of 1.67 goals per game, below the league average of 1.87. San Telmo in their last 5 matches averaged 0.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded, and their BTTS in the last 5 is only 20%, which strongly supports No Goal from the visitors. The hosts generate significantly more chances (13.63 shots and 4.88 shots on target per match) and have xG 1.75, but their season finishing rate is 7% and their seasonal BTTS percentage is only 25%, meaning that despite creating chances both teams often do not score. In the short term there is a risk signal for “no” — Defensores have BTTS at 60% in their last 5 matches, which contrasts with their season 25%. Additionally, season clean sheet rates of 38% (home) and 33% (away) and a high league clean sheet rate of 79% reinforce the advantage of the no-BTTS scenario, therefore I rate 65% for 'no' and 35% for 'yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG model gives 1.75 for Defensores and 0.89 for San Telmo; averaging with xG against (away xG against 1.59, home xG against 1.43) yields 1.67 goals for Defensores and 1.16 for San Telmo, total 2.83 goals. With λ=2.83 the Poisson distribution implies roughly a 77% chance of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) and about 54% for at least 3 goals (Over 2.5). However, historically Over 2.5 occurs less often: Defensores have 38% of matches Over 2.5, San Telmo 17%, league average 28%, so I rate Over 2.5 only as moderate. The hosts average 4.88 shots on target versus 2.0 for San Telmo and have higher xG_for 1.75 vs 0.89, confirming Defensores will create more chances. Therefore the strongest signal is Over 1.5 (pick: Over at line 1.5) with an estimated probability of ~77%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I project a draw at half-time and a draw at full-time (X/X) as the most likely scenario. San Telmo have drawn 83% of their matches this season, and both teams average 0.5 goals by half-time (Defensores 0.5, San Telmo 0.5), with the home side drawing at the break in 50% of fixtures and the visitors in 67%. The league’s low goals-per-game average (1.87) and a high clean sheet rate (79%) favor low final scores. At the same time, Defensores show a higher xG (1.75 vs 0.89) and more on-target shots per match (4.88 vs 2.0), and 88% of their games have seen at least one goal in the second half, so the strongest alternative is a draw at half-time and a home turnaround to win (X/1). San Telmo have not recorded a win this season (0% victories), making scenarios with an away win unlikely.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Defensores de Belgrano | San Telmo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
San Telmo is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Defensores de Belgrano · 1.2 pts / match - San Telmo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
San Telmo is 9% better for: goals scored per match.
0.79 goals / match - Defensores de Belgrano · 0.86 goals / match - San Telmo
Defensores de Belgrano is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.86 goals / match - Defensores de Belgrano · 1.07 goals / match - San Telmo
Defensores de Belgrano scores in 64% of matches (9 of 14 matches), while San Telmo keeps a clean sheet in 36% (5 of 14 matches).
San Telmo scores in 50% of matches (7 of 14 matches), while Defensores de Belgrano keeps a clean sheet in 43% (6 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Defensores de Belgrano
Over / Under - San Telmo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Defensores de Belgrano - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
San Telmo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Defensores de Belgrano
San Telmo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Defensores de Belgrano | Liga | San Telmo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.64 | 1.85 | • 1.93 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 43% | 38% | ▼ 36% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 21% | 29% | • 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 40% | ▼ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 57% | 55% | ▲ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 57% | 71% | • 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Defensores de Belgrano 1 - 0 - 1 San Telmo. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Defensores de Belgrano vs San Telmo?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Defensores de Belgrano 1:0 San Telmo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Defensores de Belgrano and San Telmo?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Defensores de Belgrano won 1, San Telmo won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Defensores de Belgrano vs San Telmo?
Defensores de Belgrano score 0.79 goals per game on average and San Telmo 0.86. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Defensores de Belgrano's matches and 36% of San Telmo's.
What form are Defensores de Belgrano and San Telmo in?
Over the last 5 games Defensores de Belgrano have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and San Telmo 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Defensores de Belgrano vs San Telmo?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Defensores de Belgrano vs San Telmo: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.