Den Bosch vs MVV: match statistics
Den Bosch exhibits significantly superior home form, securing wins in 55% of matches at their own ground with a positive goal difference of +9. The team averages 2.27 goals per home game, maintaining a 15% conversion rate and failing to score in just 9% of matches. Conversely, MVV struggles heavily on the road, with a mere 18% win rate and a -13 goal difference, conceding an average of 2.09 goals per away match. The visitors fail to score in 55% of their away fixtures, which, combined with the hosts' solid attack, gives Den Bosch a distinct edge. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.8 vs 1.4), while possession metrics (51% vs 44%) further underline Den Bosch's dominance. Considering the data, a home victory is the most probable outcome.
Den Bosch vs MVV: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Den Bosch played MVV in Eerste Divisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 18 January 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Den Bosch: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. MVV: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Den Bosch scores 1.90 and concedes 1.86 goals per match. MVV scores 1.19 and concedes 1.90. League average: 3.31 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Den Bosch 67%, MVV 48%. Over 2.5: Den Bosch 76%, MVV 62%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 65%.
xG, shots and style
Den Bosch has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.33. Den Bosch: 13.3 shots per match, MVV: 11.5.
Match halves
Den Bosch: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.86. MVV: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Den Bosch: 16-30 (10 goals). MVV: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eerste Divisie: 3.31 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 65%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 6.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Den Bosch exhibits significantly superior home form, securing wins in 55% of matches at their own ground with a positive goal difference of +9. The team averages 2.27 goals per home game, maintaining a 15% conversion rate and failing to score in just 9% of matches. Conversely, MVV struggles heavily on the road, with a mere 18% win rate and a -13 goal difference, conceding an average of 2.09 goals per away match. The visitors fail to score in 55% of their away fixtures, which, combined with the hosts' solid attack, gives Den Bosch a distinct edge. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.8 vs 1.4), while possession metrics (51% vs 44%) further underline Den Bosch's dominance. Considering the data, a home victory is the most probable outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Den Bosch | MVV | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
MVV is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Den Bosch · 1.4 pts / match - MVV
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Den Bosch is 60% better for: goals scored per match.
1.9 goals / match - Den Bosch · 1.19 goals / match - MVV
Den Bosch scores in 86% of matches (18 of 21 matches), while MVV keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).
MVV scores in 57% of matches (12 of 21 matches), while Den Bosch keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Den Bosch
Over / Under - MVV
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Den Bosch is 59% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - Den Bosch · 0.9 pts / match - MVV
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Den Bosch - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
MVV - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Den Bosch
MVV
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eerste Divisie).
Teams vs league
| Den Bosch | Liga | MVV | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.76 | 3.31 | ▼ 3.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 62% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 76% | 65% | ▼ 62% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 21% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 79% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | • 86% | 86% | ▼ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Den Bosch 1 - 0 - 0 MVV. Average goals 6.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Den Bosch vs MVV?
The Eerste Divisie match finished Den Bosch 1:2 MVV. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Den Bosch vs MVV?
Den Bosch score 1.90 goals per game on average and MVV 1.19. The Eerste Divisie average is 3.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 65% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Den Bosch's matches and 48% of MVV's.
What form are Den Bosch and MVV in?
Over the last 5 games Den Bosch have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and MVV 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Den Bosch vs MVV?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.