Deportes Limache vs Palestino: match statistics

Although Palestino sit 4th and Deportes Limache 6th, the home and away statistics clearly favour the hosts: they have won 64% of their home matches, while the visitors have lost 64% of their away games. Limache average 2.09 goals at home with a 14% shot conversion rate, whereas Palestino score just 0.91 goals away from home with a 7% conversion rate. The hosts also create slightly better chances, posting an xG of 1.66 compared with the visitors’ 1.35; Limache concede an average of 1.82 goals away from home. Both teams have won 3 of their last 5 matches, but Limache conceded 5 goals during that run, compared with 7 for Palestino. These figures point to a home advantage, although the teams’ similar recent form means a closely contested match cannot be ruled out.

Deportes Limache have recorded BTTS in 67% of their matches, compared with 55% for Palestino, so full-season data lean slightly towards both teams scoring. The hosts average 2.17 goals at home, while the visitors concede 1.82 goals away, strongly supporting Limache’s chances of finding the net. The greater uncertainty concerns Palestino: they average just 0.91 goals away, but have scored an average of 2.0 goals across their last 5 matches, with an xG of 2.09. Limache concede an average of 1.08 goals at home and have allowed opponents chances worth an xG of 1.46 over their last 5 matches, giving Palestino grounds to break through the hosts’ defence. Although BTTS landed in only 20% of Limache’s last 5 matches, the hosts’ attacking edge and the visitors’ improving attack make BTTS - Yes the marginally more likely pick.

Deportes Limache score an average of 2.17 goals at home, while Palestino concede 1.82 away, giving the hosts a solid platform to find the net. Their average xG figures support this: 1.73 for Limache and 1.68 chances conceded by Palestino. The visitors score just 0.91 goals per away match, although they have averaged 2.0 goals across their last 5 matches, so their contribution cannot be ruled out. At least 2 goals were scored in 67% of Limache’s home matches and 73% of Palestino’s away matches; with a projected total of 2.97 goals, Over 1.5 has a clearer edge than the higher lines.

Deportes Limache have a clear home advantage: they score an average of 2.17 goals, while Palestino score 0.91 away from home and concede 1.82. The hosts’ edge is also reflected in their xG of 1.73, compared with the visitors’ 1.35. In their last five matches, Limache led at the break twice, while Palestino were trailing at half-time three times and never led, pointing to an early lead for the hosts. Limache’s post-break performance also supports them holding on to their advantage: they score an average of 1.42 goals in the second half at home, while Palestino concede 0.91 away. The visitors have averaged 1.6 goals in the second halves of their last five matches, so a turnaround remains possible, but the overall match profile most strongly points to Limache leading at half-time and going on to win.