Deportes Limache vs Univ. Concepción: match statistics
Deportes Limache vs Univ. Concepción: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Deportes Limache played Univ. Concepción in Primera División (Chile). The match was played on 18 April 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Deportes Limache: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Univ. Concepción: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Deportes Limache scores 2.22 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Univ. Concepción scores 0.89 and concedes 1.56. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Deportes Limache 56%, Univ. Concepción 44%. Over 2.5: Deportes Limache 67%, Univ. Concepción 44%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Univ. Concepción has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.27. Deportes Limache: 10.6 shots per match, Univ. Concepción: 13.4.
Match halves
Deportes Limache: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 1.00. Univ. Concepción: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Deportes Limache: 16-30 (5 goals). Univ. Concepción: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Deportes Limache is the clear favorite based on the numbers: they have scored 20 goals this season versus 8 by Univ. Concepción, and at home they average 3.0 goals scored and concede only 0.5 per match, while the visitors average 0.75 scored and 2.5 conceded on the road. The hosts have won all of their home matches this season (100% home wins) and are on a 4-match home winning streak, with 50% of home games kept as clean sheets, while the visitors have not yet won away and have no clean sheets. Limache generates slightly better expected chances (average xG 1.55 vs 1.35 for the visitors), registers more shots on target (6.25 vs 3.75) and has a significantly better conversion rate (24% conversion vs 5% for the visitors), which offsets lower possession (37% vs 45%). In the last five matches the hosts have scored 12 and conceded 4, while the visitors have scored 4 and conceded 9; additionally the visitors have a -7 goal difference on the road, which amplifies Limache's advantage, therefore I tip a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Deportes Limache have a strong defense: they kept a clean sheet in 60% of matches this season, have BTTS at 20% and concede on average 0.8 goals per game (0.8 in the last 5), which reduces the likelihood of Both Teams To Score. Visitors Univ. Concepción have a seasonal BTTS rate of 75%, but score only 0.75 goals seasonally and 0.8 in the last 5, and have a conversion rate of 5% with xG 1.35, so they often fail to finish created chances. The xG comparison shows moderate offensive potential: home xG 1.44 vs away xG against 1.82, and away xG 1.35 vs home xG against 1.2, yet the lower efficiency of the visitors (5% vs 8%) reduces the realistic chance of an away goal. Additionally, the hosts scored 12 goals in the last 5 matches (2.4 avg), while the visitors only 4 (0.8 avg) and conceded 4 and 9 goals respectively, suggesting a result where the visitors fail to score is more likely. On that basis I recommend 'No' as a stronger signal against BTTS.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate expected goals at 1.63 for Deportes Limache and 1.28 for Univ. Concepción, totalling 2.91 xG; these values were calculated as the average of team xG (1.44 and 1.35) and opponent-allowed xG (1.82 and 1.20). Univ. Concepción concedes 2.5 goals per match on average and has 0% clean sheets, with 100% of their season matches exceeding 1.5 goals, which markedly increases the likelihood of at least two goals in the game. Deportes Limache scored 12 goals in their last 5 matches (2.4 per game) and averages 13.2 shots with 4.0 on target and an 8% conversion rate, while Concepción averages 13.75 shots, 3.75 on target and a 5% conversion — this points to greater finishing efficiency for the home side. Based on the combined xG of 2.91 and recent form (Limache 2.4 goals in 5 matches, Concepción conceding 2.5 per match), the probabilistic model gives approximately 82% for Over 1.5, ~60% for Over 2.5, and Over 3.5 is unlikely (~33%). Therefore I recommend playing the Over line at 1.5 as the strongest signal from the data.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Deportes Limache is the clear favorite: they win 80% of matches and average 2.4 points per game, whereas Univ. Concepción have no wins (0%) and average 0.5 points. At Half-Time a draw is most common – the home side lead at the break in only 20% of matches, the visitors in 25%, while a draw occurs for the home team in 40% and for the away team in 50%, so a half-time draw is the most likely outcome. After the break the statistics strongly favor the hosts: Deportes Limache score on average 0.8 goals in second halves and win the second half in 60% of cases, whereas Univ. Concepción score 0.0 goals in second halves and do not win them (0%). Additionally, the hosts have 60% clean sheets this season, an xG advantage of 1.44 versus 1.35 and lower xG conceded (1.2 vs 1.82), and an average goal difference of +0.2 for the home side versus -1.75 for the visitors (1.0–0.8 vs 0.75–2.5), all indicating a full-time win for the hosts. Therefore the most probable scenario is a Half-Time draw and a home win at Full-Time (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Deportes Limache | Univ. Concepción | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.48 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Deportes Limache is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Deportes Limache · 1.4 pts / match - Univ. Concepción
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportes Limache is 149% better for: goals scored per match.
2.22 goals / match - Deportes Limache · 0.89 goals / match - Univ. Concepción
Deportes Limache is 56% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Deportes Limache · 1.56 goals / match - Univ. Concepción
Deportes Limache scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Univ. Concepción keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
Univ. Concepción scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Deportes Limache keeps a clean sheet in 22% (2 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Deportes Limache
Over / Under - Univ. Concepción
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportes Limache is 90% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.11 pts / match - Deportes Limache · 1.11 pts / match - Univ. Concepción
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Deportes Limache - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Univ. Concepción - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Deportes Limache
Univ. Concepción
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Deportes Limache | Liga | Univ. Concepción | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.22 | 2.61 | ▼ 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 42% | ▲ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 48% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 22% | 31% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 68% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 79% | • 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Deportes Limache vs Univ. Concepción?
The Primera División match finished Deportes Limache 3:0 Univ. Concepción. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Deportes Limache vs Univ. Concepción?
Deportes Limache score 2.22 goals per game on average and Univ. Concepción 0.89. The Primera División average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Deportes Limache's matches and 44% of Univ. Concepción's.
What form are Deportes Limache and Univ. Concepción in?
Over the last 5 games Deportes Limache have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Univ. Concepción 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Deportes Limache vs Univ. Concepción?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.