Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto: match statistics
Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Deportes Tolima play Deportivo Pasto in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 10 May 2026 at 01:10. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Deportes Tolima: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Deportivo Pasto: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Deportes Tolima scores 1.35 and concedes 0.91 goals per match. Deportivo Pasto scores 1.38 and concedes 1.33. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Deportes Tolima 43%, Deportivo Pasto 52%. Over 2.5: Deportes Tolima 30%, Deportivo Pasto 52%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Deportes Tolima has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.30. Deportes Tolima: 13.2 shots per match, Deportivo Pasto: 12.0.
Match halves
Deportes Tolima: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.70. Deportivo Pasto: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Deportes Tolima: 46-60 (7 goals). Deportivo Pasto: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
4 H2H matches: 2-0-2. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 25%.
Match description
Deportes Tolima has a clear home advantage: at home they average 1.9 goals scored and only 0.7 conceded, with 16.6 shots and 5.5 on target, translating to a 70% win rate and a +12 goal difference. Deportivo Pasto away averages 12.44 shots with 4.56 on target, scores 1.67 goals but concedes 1.89 per game, has a -2 goal difference and only 22% clean sheets, indicating defensive issues. In the last 5 matches Tolima scored 9 and conceded 3, averaging 2 points per game, while Pasto scored 8 and conceded 8, about 1.4 points per game, showing greater efficiency and stability from the hosts. xG confirms this gap: Tolima’s average home xG is 1.7 versus Pasto’s away xG of 1.33, and xG against is lower for Tolima (1.07 vs 1.35), meaning Tolima creates more high-quality chances and better neutralizes them. Considering higher possession (62% vs 51%), lower share of goalless games (10% vs 22%) and defensive edge (0.7 vs 1.89 conceded), I forecast a home win; suggested probabilities are 65% for 1, 20% for draw and 15% for 2.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Deportes Tolima | Deportivo Pasto | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Deportes Tolima is 133% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Deportes Tolima · 0.6 pts / match - Deportivo Pasto
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportes Tolima is 46% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.91 goals / match - Deportes Tolima · 1.33 goals / match - Deportivo Pasto
Deportes Tolima scores in 74% of matches (17 of 23 matches), while Deportivo Pasto keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
Deportivo Pasto scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Deportes Tolima keeps a clean sheet in 39% (9 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Deportes Tolima
Over / Under — Deportivo Pasto
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportes Tolima is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.7 pts / match - Deportes Tolima · 1.52 pts / match - Deportivo Pasto
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Deportes Tolima - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Deportivo Pasto - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Deportes Tolima
Deportivo Pasto
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Deportes Tolima | Liga | Deportivo Pasto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.26 | 2.53 | ▲ 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 53% | • 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 30% | 48% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 70% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 78% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Deportes Tolima 2 - 0 - 2 Deportivo Pasto. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 25% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Deportes Tolima 1:0 Deportivo Pasto. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Deportes Tolima and Deportivo Pasto?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Deportes Tolima won 2, Deportivo Pasto won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto?
Deportes Tolima score 1.35 goals per game on average and Deportivo Pasto 1.38. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Deportes Tolima's matches and 52% of Deportivo Pasto's.
What form are Deportes Tolima and Deportivo Pasto in?
Over the last 5 games Deportes Tolima have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Deportivo Pasto 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto?
The statistical background for Deportes Tolima vs Deportivo Pasto — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.