Deportes Tolima vs Fortaleza CEIF: match statistics
Deportes Tolima demonstrates a decisive advantage in home matches with a 75% win rate and an impressive record of 3 wins in their last 4 games at home. The hosts stand out with a solid defense, conceding only 0.5 goals per game on average with 50% clean sheets, which is in stark contrast to Fortaleza CEIF, who concede an average of 2 goals per game in away matches. The visitors have not won any away match this season (0% win rate), and their goal difference of -6 along with a series of draws and losses in recent away fixtures confirm their problems on the road. Tolima also boasts an advantage in possession (62% vs 52%) and a higher average xG (1.64 vs 1.21), indicating greater offensive efficiency. Taking all statistics into account, the hosts are the clear favorites, although both teams' form in the last 5 matches is identical (1.4 PPG), which leaves some room for an upset or a draw.
Deportes Tolima vs Fortaleza CEIF: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Deportes Tolima played Fortaleza CEIF in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match was played on 19 March 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Deportes Tolima: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Fortaleza CEIF: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Deportes Tolima scores 1.20 and concedes 0.80 goals per match. Fortaleza CEIF scores 1.18 and concedes 1.45. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Deportes Tolima 40%, Fortaleza CEIF 82%. Over 2.5: Deportes Tolima 30%, Fortaleza CEIF 45%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Fortaleza CEIF has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.30. Deportes Tolima: 12.0 shots per match, Fortaleza CEIF: 13.1.
Match halves
Deportes Tolima: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.50. Fortaleza CEIF: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Deportes Tolima: 0-15 (3 goals). Fortaleza CEIF: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-2-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Deportes Tolima demonstrates a decisive advantage in home matches with a 75% win rate and an impressive record of 3 wins in their last 4 games at home. The hosts stand out with a solid defense, conceding only 0.5 goals per game on average with 50% clean sheets, which is in stark contrast to Fortaleza CEIF, who concede an average of 2 goals per game in away matches. The visitors have not won any away match this season (0% win rate), and their goal difference of -6 along with a series of draws and losses in recent away fixtures confirm their problems on the road. Tolima also boasts an advantage in possession (62% vs 52%) and a higher average xG (1.64 vs 1.21), indicating greater offensive efficiency. Taking all statistics into account, the hosts are the clear favorites, although both teams' form in the last 5 matches is identical (1.4 PPG), which leaves some room for an upset or a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Deportes Tolima | Fortaleza CEIF | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Deportes Tolima is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Deportes Tolima · 1.4 pts / match - Fortaleza CEIF
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportes Tolima is 81% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.8 goals / match - Deportes Tolima · 1.45 goals / match - Fortaleza CEIF
Deportes Tolima scores in 70% of matches (7 of 10 matches), while Fortaleza CEIF keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).
Fortaleza CEIF scores in 91% of matches (10 of 11 matches), while Deportes Tolima keeps a clean sheet in 50% (5 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Deportes Tolima
Over / Under - Fortaleza CEIF
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportes Tolima is 227% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.8 pts / match - Deportes Tolima · 0.55 pts / match - Fortaleza CEIF
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Deportes Tolima - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Fortaleza CEIF - second-half results
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Deportes Tolima
Fortaleza CEIF
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Deportes Tolima | Liga | Fortaleza CEIF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.57 | • 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 40% | 57% | ▲ 82% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 30% | 50% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 25% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 40% | 70% | ▼ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 79% | ▲ 91% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Deportes Tolima 2 - 2 - 0 Fortaleza CEIF. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Deportes Tolima vs Fortaleza CEIF?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Deportes Tolima 2:0 Fortaleza CEIF. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Deportes Tolima and Fortaleza CEIF?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Deportes Tolima won 2, Fortaleza CEIF won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Deportes Tolima vs Fortaleza CEIF?
Deportes Tolima score 1.20 goals per game on average and Fortaleza CEIF 1.18. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Deportes Tolima's matches and 82% of Fortaleza CEIF's.
What form are Deportes Tolima and Fortaleza CEIF in?
Over the last 5 games Deportes Tolima have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Fortaleza CEIF 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Deportes Tolima vs Fortaleza CEIF?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.