Deportes Tolima vs Jaguares de Córdoba: match statistics
Deportes Tolima displays impressive home form with an 80% win rate at home and a +5 goal difference, scoring an average of 1.4 goals while conceding just 0.4 per match. The hosts have won four of their last five home matches and maintain a 60% clean sheet rate. On the other hand, Jaguares de Córdoba are in crisis, having failed to win any away match this season (0% win rate) and losing 83% of their away games. The visitors have a disastrous goal difference of -12 in away matches, scoring only 0.33 goals on average while conceding 2.33 goals per match. xG analysis confirms the home side's superiority (1.55 vs 0.91), and the form over the last five matches (0.2 PPG for the visitors vs 1.6 PPG for the hosts) further strengthens the prediction of a comfortable Deportes Tolima victory.
Deportes Tolima vs Jaguares de Córdoba: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Deportes Tolima play Jaguares de Córdoba in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 29 March 2026 at 00:10. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Deportes Tolima: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Jaguares de Córdoba: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Deportes Tolima scores 1.35 and concedes 0.91 goals per match. Jaguares de Córdoba scores 1.05 and concedes 1.74. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Deportes Tolima 43%, Jaguares de Córdoba 53%. Over 2.5: Deportes Tolima 30%, Jaguares de Córdoba 53%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Deportes Tolima has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.11. Deportes Tolima: 13.2 shots per match, Jaguares de Córdoba: 11.1.
Match halves
Deportes Tolima: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.70. Jaguares de Córdoba: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Deportes Tolima: 46-60 (7 goals). Jaguares de Córdoba: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Match description
Deportes Tolima displays impressive home form with an 80% win rate at home and a +5 goal difference, scoring an average of 1.4 goals while conceding just 0.4 per match. The hosts have won four of their last five home matches and maintain a 60% clean sheet rate. On the other hand, Jaguares de Córdoba are in crisis, having failed to win any away match this season (0% win rate) and losing 83% of their away games. The visitors have a disastrous goal difference of -12 in away matches, scoring only 0.33 goals on average while conceding 2.33 goals per match. xG analysis confirms the home side's superiority (1.55 vs 0.91), and the form over the last five matches (0.2 PPG for the visitors vs 1.6 PPG for the hosts) further strengthens the prediction of a comfortable Deportes Tolima victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Deportes Tolima | Jaguares de Córdoba | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportes Tolima is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
1.35 goals / match - Deportes Tolima · 1.05 goals / match - Jaguares de Córdoba
Deportes Tolima is 91% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.91 goals / match - Deportes Tolima · 1.74 goals / match - Jaguares de Córdoba
Deportes Tolima scores in 74% of matches (17 of 23 matches), while Jaguares de Córdoba keeps a clean sheet in 21% (4 of 19 matches).
Jaguares de Córdoba scores in 74% of matches (14 of 19 matches), while Deportes Tolima keeps a clean sheet in 39% (9 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Deportes Tolima
Over / Under — Jaguares de Córdoba
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportes Tolima is 91% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.7 pts / match - Deportes Tolima · 0.89 pts / match - Jaguares de Córdoba
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Deportes Tolima - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Jaguares de Córdoba - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Deportes Tolima
Jaguares de Córdoba
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Deportes Tolima | Liga | Jaguares de Córdoba | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.26 | 2.53 | ▲ 2.79 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 53% | • 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 30% | 48% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 27% | ▼ 21% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 65% | 70% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 78% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Deportes Tolima vs Jaguares de Córdoba?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Deportes Tolima 3:1 Jaguares de Córdoba. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Deportes Tolima vs Jaguares de Córdoba?
Deportes Tolima score 1.35 goals per game on average and Jaguares de Córdoba 1.05. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Deportes Tolima's matches and 53% of Jaguares de Córdoba's.
What form are Deportes Tolima and Jaguares de Córdoba in?
Over the last 5 games Deportes Tolima have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Jaguares de Córdoba 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Deportes Tolima vs Jaguares de Córdoba?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Deportes Tolima vs Jaguares de Córdoba: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.


