Deportes Tolima vs Llaneros: match statistics
Deportes Tolima boasts impressive home form with a 100% win rate and a 6:0 goal difference in their home matches. The hosts have yet to concede a goal at home, confirming 100% clean sheets, and their expected goals advantage (xG 1.61 vs 0.54) indicates clear dominance. Llaneros, despite decent overall form, show weaker away performance with only a 50% win rate and a negative away xG differential (0.83 to 1.34). The difference in ball possession (61% vs 43%) and shots on target efficiency (5 vs 3) further favors the hosts. Considering all statistical parameters, Deportes Tolima holds a decisive advantage and should secure all three points in this match.
Deportes Tolima vs Llaneros: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Deportes Tolima played Llaneros in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Deportes Tolima: 2-2-0, 2.00 points/match. Llaneros: 1-3-0, 1.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
Deportes Tolima scores 1.50 and concedes 0.50 goals per match. Llaneros scores 1.25 and concedes 0.75. League average: 2.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Deportes Tolima 25%, Llaneros 75%. Over 2.5: Deportes Tolima 25%, Llaneros 0%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 49%.
xG, shots and style
xG is very similar for both teams. Deportes Tolima: 8.5 shots per match, Llaneros: 9.5.
Match halves
Deportes Tolima: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50. Llaneros: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Deportes Tolima: 16-30 (2 goals). Llaneros: 31-45+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 49%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Deportes Tolima boasts impressive home form with a 100% win rate and a 6:0 goal difference in their home matches. The hosts have yet to concede a goal at home, confirming 100% clean sheets, and their expected goals advantage (xG 1.61 vs 0.54) indicates clear dominance. Llaneros, despite decent overall form, show weaker away performance with only a 50% win rate and a negative away xG differential (0.83 to 1.34). The difference in ball possession (61% vs 43%) and shots on target efficiency (5 vs 3) further favors the hosts. Considering all statistical parameters, Deportes Tolima holds a decisive advantage and should secure all three points in this match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Deportes Tolima | Llaneros | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 47% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Deportes Tolima is 33% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Deportes Tolima · 1.5 pts / match - Llaneros
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportes Tolima is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Deportes Tolima · 1.25 goals / match - Llaneros
Deportes Tolima is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.5 goals / match - Deportes Tolima · 0.75 goals / match - Llaneros
Deportes Tolima scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Llaneros keeps a clean sheet in 25% (1 of 4 matches).
Llaneros scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Deportes Tolima keeps a clean sheet in 75% (3 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Deportes Tolima
Over / Under - Llaneros
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Deportes Tolima - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Llaneros - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.25 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 50% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 75% |
| No goal | 50% | 75% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 75% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 75% | 50% |
| No goal | 25% | 75% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Deportes Tolima
Llaneros
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Deportes Tolima | Liga | Llaneros | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.49 | ▼ 2.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 61% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 49% | ▼ 0% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 75% | 24% | • 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 68% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 76% | • 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Deportes Tolima 3 - 0 - 1 Llaneros. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Deportes Tolima vs Llaneros?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Deportes Tolima 0:1 Llaneros. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Deportes Tolima and Llaneros?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Deportes Tolima won 3, Llaneros won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Deportes Tolima vs Llaneros?
Deportes Tolima score 1.50 goals per game on average and Llaneros 1.25. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Deportes Tolima's matches and 75% of Llaneros's.
What form are Deportes Tolima and Llaneros in?
Over the last 5 games Deportes Tolima have a 2-2-0 record (2.00 points per game) and Llaneros 1-3-0 (1.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Deportes Tolima vs Llaneros?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.