Deportivo Alavés vs Atlético Madrid: match statistics
Deportivo Alavés vs Atlético Madrid: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Deportivo Alavés played Atlético Madrid in La Liga (Spain). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Venue: Estadio de Mendizorroza. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Deportivo Alavés: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Atlético Madrid: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Deportivo Alavés scores 1.57 and concedes 0.86 goals per match. Atlético Madrid scores 2.29 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.03 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Deportivo Alavés 43%, Atlético Madrid 43%. Over 2.5: Deportivo Alavés 43%, Atlético Madrid 86%. League level: BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 56%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético Madrid has higher xG: 1.91 vs 1.40. Deportivo Alavés: 12.4 shots per match, Atlético Madrid: 16.9.
Match halves
Deportivo Alavés: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.00. Atlético Madrid: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.71.
Goals by minute
Deportivo Alavés: 76-90+ (4 goals). Atlético Madrid: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
La Liga: 3.03 goals per match, BTTS 59%, Over 2.5 56%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Deportivo Alavés have a slight edge thanks to their home form: they have won 75% of these matches, scoring an average of 2.25 goals and conceding 0.75. Atlético Madrid have won 67% of their away matches, but have averaged 2 goals scored and 1.33 conceded, giving the hosts a chance to exploit the visitors’ less reliable defence. Both teams create chances worth the same average xG of 1.51, so the case for backing the home side rests primarily on their finishing and stronger defensive record at home. However, the forecast is far from clear-cut: Atlético have won 3 of their last 5 matches, compared with 2 for Alavés, so an away win remains a realistic outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
It is more likely that at least one team will fail to score: BTTS - Yes occurred in 50% of Alavés matches and 33% of Atlético matches, and in 40% of each team's last five appearances. Alavés kept a clean sheet in 50% of its matches and conceded an average of 0.75 goals, limiting the visitors' chances of scoring. Atlético failed to score in 33% of its matches, although the hosts themselves averaged 2.5 goals per match and recorded an xG of 2.20. However, the visitors' attack, averaging 2.0 goals and an xG of 1.51, makes the BTTS - No edge slight.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Every home match played by Alavés and every away match played by Atlético so far has featured at least 2 goals, providing the strongest signal for Over 1.5 goals. Alavés averages 2.5 goals at home and generates an xG of 2.20, although its scoring average has fallen to 1.4 over the last 5 matches. Atlético averages 2.0 goals away from home and has also averaged 2.0 goals across its last 5 matches, giving both teams the potential to push the total higher. The 2.5 line also looks promising—it has been exceeded in 75% of Alavés’ home matches and 100% of Atlético’s away matches—but only 40% of Alavés’ last 5 matches finished with at least 3 goals. Therefore, with a projected total of 3.10 goals, Over 1.5 is the safer choice than a higher line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: Alavés were level at the break in 75% of their home matches, while Atlético were level at half-time in 67% of their away games; neither team conceded in the first half in those samples. The post-break data favour the hosts more strongly: Alavés average 2.25 goals scored in the second half at home, while Atlético concede an average of 1.33 away. Alavés also have the edge in chance quality, recording a home xG of 2.20 compared with Atlético’s 1.51 away, and average 7.5 shots on target per match against their opponents’ 5.0. This makes a draw at half-time followed by an Alavés win the most likely scenario, although Atlético have averaged 1.6 goals after the break across their last five matches, increasing the visitors’ chances of winning.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Deportivo Alavés | Atlético Madrid | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético Madrid is 71% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Deportivo Alavés · 2.4 pts / match - Atlético Madrid
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Madrid is 46% better for: goals scored per match.
1.57 goals / match - Deportivo Alavés · 2.29 goals / match - Atlético Madrid
Deportivo Alavés is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.86 goals / match - Deportivo Alavés · 1 goals / match - Atlético Madrid
Deportivo Alavés scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Atlético Madrid keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).
Atlético Madrid scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Deportivo Alavés keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Deportivo Alavés
Over / Under - Atlético Madrid
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Deportivo Alavés - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atlético Madrid - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 71%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Deportivo Alavés
Atlético Madrid
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (La Liga).
Teams vs league
| Deportivo Alavés | Liga | Atlético Madrid | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.43 | 3.03 | ▲ 3.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 59% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 56% | ▲ 86% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 24% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 43% | 67% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 81% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Deportivo Alavés 0 - 1 - 1 Atlético Madrid. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Deportivo Alavés vs Atlético Madrid?
The La Liga match finished Deportivo Alavés 1:2 Atlético Madrid. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo Alavés and Atlético Madrid?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Deportivo Alavés won 0, Atlético Madrid won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Deportivo Alavés vs Atlético Madrid?
Deportivo Alavés score 1.57 goals per game on average and Atlético Madrid 2.29. The La Liga average is 3.03 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Deportivo Alavés's matches and 43% of Atlético Madrid's.
What form are Deportivo Alavés and Atlético Madrid in?
Over the last 5 games Deportivo Alavés have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Atlético Madrid 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Deportivo Alavés vs Atlético Madrid?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.