Deportivo Alavés vs Getafe CF: match statistics

Deportivo Alavés head into this match in significantly more stable form: they are unbeaten in their last five fixtures, recording 2 wins and 3 draws. During this period, the hosts scored 7 goals, 3 more than Getafe, while conceding just 3 compared with the visitors’ 7. Alavés averaged 1.4 more points per game than Getafe over the last five rounds, with Getafe managing only 1 point per match and losing 2 of their 5 games. Another factor in Alavés’ favor is their higher league position: fifth compared with Getafe’s ninth. The hosts’ numerous draws increase the likelihood of a tightly contested game, but their stronger defense and more effective recent run point to a narrow victory.

Both teams recorded BTTS in 3 of their last 5 matches, equating to 60%, but current chance-creation indicators significantly limit Getafe’s chances of scoring. The visitors have averaged just 0.8 goals per game across their last five appearances, while their xG was only 0.28, whereas Alavés conceded just 0.6 goals per match. Deportivo Alavés scored 7 goals during this period, but Getafe allowed opponents an average of 1.4 goals, making a home goal the most likely scenario. At the same time, Getafe’s xG compared with Alavés’ average xG conceded of 1.16 suggests that the visitors may fail to convert their chances. The BTTS - No pick is more likely because “No” also includes results such as 1:0, 2:0 or 0:1, not only a goalless draw.

In their last 5 matches, Alavés scored 7 goals and conceded just 3, averaging only 2.0 goals per game in total. Getafe’s matches were slightly higher-scoring, averaging 2.2 goals, but the team scored only 4 times, while its average xG was a very low 0.28. Alavés conceded 0.6 goals per game during this period, while Getafe created few chances, which is why the forecast for the visitors stands at just 0.65 goals. The Under 3.5 goals line has a clear edge: only 1 of Alavés’ last 5 matches went over 2.5 goals, and the expected total of 1.90 points to a low risk of four goals being scored.

Deportivo Alavés led at the break in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Getafe failed to take the lead in any of them and went into half-time trailing in 2 of those 5 games. The hosts averaged 0.8 goals scored and conceded just 0.2 before the break, whereas Getafe managed only 0.2 goals in this period while conceding 0.6. Alavés have also shown more consistent form across their last five matches: they remain unbeaten, averaging 1.4 goals scored and just 0.6 conceded, compared with Getafe’s 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. After the break, the hosts still hold a positive goal balance of 1:0.4 per match, making an HT/FT 1/1 outcome—the hosts leading at half-time and winning at full-time—the most likely scenario.