Deportivo Cali vs Atlético Nacional: match statistics
Atlético Nacional displays clearly better form with four wins in their last five matches and an impressive 3-0-0 record in the overall season. The visiting team has scored 12 goals in the last five matches while conceding only 4, which translates to an average of 2.4 points per game. Deportivo Cali, despite decent home form (67% wins at home), shows instability in recent overall matches with a 2-1-2 record and only 1.4 points per game. The hosts have conceded 6 goals in the last 5 matches, suggesting defensive issues that Atlético's efficient offense could exploit. Considering the advantage in form, goal efficiency, and overall stability of the visitors, I expect Atlético Nacional to win, although Deportivo Cali's home advantage does not rule out an upset.
Deportivo Cali vs Atlético Nacional: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Deportivo Cali played Atlético Nacional in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match was played on 15 February 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Deportivo Cali: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Atlético Nacional: 3-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Deportivo Cali scores 1.50 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Atlético Nacional scores 3.33 and concedes 0.67. League average: 2.43 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Deportivo Cali 50%, Atlético Nacional 67%. Over 2.5: Deportivo Cali 67%, Atlético Nacional 100%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético Nacional has higher xG: 2.28 vs 1.42. Deportivo Cali: 13.5 shots per match, Atlético Nacional: 21.7.
Match halves
Deportivo Cali: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.83. Atlético Nacional: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 2.33.
Goals by minute
Deportivo Cali: 61-75 (3 goals). Atlético Nacional: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.43 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Atlético Nacional displays clearly better form with four wins in their last five matches and an impressive 3-0-0 record in the overall season. The visiting team has scored 12 goals in the last five matches while conceding only 4, which translates to an average of 2.4 points per game. Deportivo Cali, despite decent home form (67% wins at home), shows instability in recent overall matches with a 2-1-2 record and only 1.4 points per game. The hosts have conceded 6 goals in the last 5 matches, suggesting defensive issues that Atlético's efficient offense could exploit. Considering the advantage in form, goal efficiency, and overall stability of the visitors, I expect Atlético Nacional to win, although Deportivo Cali's home advantage does not rule out an upset.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Deportivo Cali | Atlético Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético Nacional is 114% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Deportivo Cali · 3 pts / match - Atlético Nacional
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Nacional is 122% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Deportivo Cali · 3.33 goals / match - Atlético Nacional
Atlético Nacional is 75% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Deportivo Cali · 0.67 goals / match - Atlético Nacional
Deportivo Cali scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Atlético Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
Atlético Nacional scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Deportivo Cali keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Deportivo Cali
Over / Under - Atlético Nacional
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Nacional is 40% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / match - Deportivo Cali · 2.33 pts / match - Atlético Nacional
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Deportivo Cali - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atlético Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.33 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 2.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 2.7 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 67% |
| Clean sheet | 67% | 67% |
| No goal | 0% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Deportivo Cali
Atlético Nacional
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Deportivo Cali | Liga | Atlético Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.67 | 2.43 | ▲ 4.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 47% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 26% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 63% | ▲ 100% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 75% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Deportivo Cali 1 - 0 - 1 Atlético Nacional. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Deportivo Cali vs Atlético Nacional?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Deportivo Cali 0:1 Atlético Nacional. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo Cali and Atlético Nacional?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Deportivo Cali won 1, Atlético Nacional won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Deportivo Cali vs Atlético Nacional?
Deportivo Cali score 1.50 goals per game on average and Atlético Nacional 3.33. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.43 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Deportivo Cali's matches and 67% of Atlético Nacional's.
What form are Deportivo Cali and Atlético Nacional in?
Over the last 5 games Deportivo Cali have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Atlético Nacional 3-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Deportivo Cali vs Atlético Nacional?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.