Deportivo Capiatá vs Fernando de la Mora: match statistics
Deportivo Capiatá vs Fernando de la Mora: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Deportivo Capiatá played Fernando de la Mora in Division Intermedia (Paraguay). The match was played on 19 May 2026. Venue: Estadio Lic. Erico Galeano Segovia. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Deportivo Capiatá: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Fernando de la Mora: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Deportivo Capiatá scores 1.43 and concedes 1.29 goals per match. Fernando de la Mora scores 0.71 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.32 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Deportivo Capiatá 86%, Fernando de la Mora 29%. Over 2.5: Deportivo Capiatá 57%, Fernando de la Mora 14%. League level: BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 36%.
xG, shots and style
Fernando de la Mora has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.28. Deportivo Capiatá: 9.3 shots per match, Fernando de la Mora: 12.7.
Match halves
Deportivo Capiatá: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.29. Fernando de la Mora: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Deportivo Capiatá: 31-45+ (4 goals). Fernando de la Mora: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Division Intermedia: 2.32 goals per match, BTTS 46%, Over 2.5 36%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Deportivo Capiatá holds a clear offensive edge at home: 2.0 goals per home match versus Fernando de la Mora’s 1.0 on the road, with 5.0 SOT per match for the hosts vs 3.33 for the visitors and a conversion rate of 20% vs 9%. Although xG indicates similar underlying potential (1.36 for Capiatá vs 1.41 for Fernando), the hosts convert chances more efficiently — 2.0 goals from xG 1.36 compared to 1.0 goal from xG 1.41 for the visitors. Fernando’s form over the last 5 matches is superior (2.0 points per match and 3 wins in the last five) while Capiatá averages 1.2 points with only 1 win; however, Capiatá remain unbeaten at home (0% home losses, home record 50% wins, 50% draws, goal difference +3). Defensively the visitors look better on the numbers — 1.0 conceded goals on the road vs 1.25 for the hosts and 33% clean sheets for Fernando compared to 0% for Capiatá — which reduces the likelihood of a heavy defeat. Considering the hosts’ higher attacking efficiency (0% matches without a goal at home vs 33% for the visitors), greater SOT volume and superior conversion, I give a slight edge to Deportivo Capiatá and forecast a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal indicators argue against BTTS: Deportivo Capiatá has a Both Teams To Score rate of 25%, Fernando de la Mora 33%, giving an average of ~29%, which is materially below the league level of 46%. Additionally, the league features 64% of matches with a clean sheet expected, and the home side scores only 0.5 goals on average this season, limiting their contribution to Goal/Goal scenarios. Technically the hosts generate xG 1.77 and 14.25 shots per game, but with a conversion rate of 4% created chances rarely turn into goals, while the visitors convert at 9% and have averaged xG 1.82 over the last 5 matches. In the last 5 fixtures the hosts had BTTS in 80% of games; however, Fernando de la Mora conceded only 0.6 goals on average in that period, increasing the likelihood of a clean sheet for the away team. Weighing these signals — low seasonal BTTS 25/33, high league clean sheet rate 64% and low home goals average 0.5 — I assess No Goal as more probable (65% vs 35%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model based on xG and attack/defense comparison projects a higher goal count: home xG_for 1.77 and away xG_for 1.41 (total 3.18). Averaging home xG_for with away xG_against (1.77 and 1.42) and vice versa yields expected 1.60 goals for Deportivo Capiatá and 1.40 for Fernando de la Mora, total 3.00. Season goal averages are significantly lower (home 0.5, away 1.0 — total 1.5), mainly due to very low home finishing: shot conversion 4% versus 9% for the away team. In the last 5 matches xG_for is 1.24 for the home side and 1.82 for the away side (total 3.06); in that period the home team scored 5 and conceded 6, while the away team scored 5 and conceded 3, which supports a minimum two-goal scenario. Based on these figures I assess probability of Over 1.5 at 82%, Over 2.5 at 62% and Over 3.5 at 26% — noting season Over 2.5 is 0% for the home team and 33% for the away team, which restrains aggression on Over 2.5. Recommendation: play Over 1.5 as the strongest signal (ou_pred_line 1.5, side Over) due to combined model xG 3.00, recent xG 3.06 and superiority in shooting opportunities (avg 14.25 vs 10.67 shots and 4.25 vs 3.33 on target).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back a draw at half-time because both teams have virtually zero average goals by the break: scoredAVGHT_home 0.0 and scoredAVGHT_away 0.0, and the percentage of draws at half-time is 50% for the home side and 67% for the visitors. For full-time I favor Fernando de la Mora — seasonal points per game for the away team are 2.0 versus 1.0 for the home side, win percentage 67% vs 25% and average goals 1.0 vs 0.5 in favor of the visitors. Deportivo creates more chances (xG 1.77 and 14.25 shots per game versus xG 1.41 and 10.67 for the away team), but has poorer finishing efficiency (conversion 4% vs 9%), which increases the probability that Fernando will convert their opportunities after the break. Additionally both teams regularly score in the second half (over05_2hg_percentage_home = 100% and away = 100%), and the visitors show a strong second act: on average 1.67 goals in the second half and in the last 5 matches they have won the second half in 80% of cases, therefore the scenario of a draw at the break and an away turnaround by full-time (X/2) is the strongest signal.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Deportivo Capiatá | Fernando de la Mora | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 45% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.35 | 0.18 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Fernando de la Mora is 67% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Deportivo Capiatá · 2 pts / match - Fernando de la Mora
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportivo Capiatá is 101% better for: goals scored per match.
1.43 goals / match - Deportivo Capiatá · 0.71 goals / match - Fernando de la Mora
Fernando de la Mora is 29% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.29 goals / match - Deportivo Capiatá · 1 goals / match - Fernando de la Mora
Deportivo Capiatá scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Fernando de la Mora keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).
Fernando de la Mora scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while Deportivo Capiatá keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Deportivo Capiatá
Over / Under - Fernando de la Mora
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportivo Capiatá is 226% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.86 pts / match - Deportivo Capiatá · 0.57 pts / match - Fernando de la Mora
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Deportivo Capiatá - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 29%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Fernando de la Mora - second-half results
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Deportivo Capiatá
Fernando de la Mora
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Intermedia).
Teams vs league
| Deportivo Capiatá | Liga | Fernando de la Mora | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.71 | 2.32 | ▼ 1.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 86% | 46% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 57% | 36% | ▼ 14% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 32% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 61% | ▼ 43% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 75% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Deportivo Capiatá 1 - 1 - 0 Fernando de la Mora. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Deportivo Capiatá vs Fernando de la Mora?
The Division Intermedia match finished Deportivo Capiatá 2:1 Fernando de la Mora. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo Capiatá and Fernando de la Mora?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Deportivo Capiatá won 1, Fernando de la Mora won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Deportivo Capiatá vs Fernando de la Mora?
Deportivo Capiatá score 1.43 goals per game on average and Fernando de la Mora 0.71. The Division Intermedia average is 2.32 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 36% of games. Both teams score in 86% of Deportivo Capiatá's matches and 29% of Fernando de la Mora's.
What form are Deportivo Capiatá and Fernando de la Mora in?
Over the last 5 games Deportivo Capiatá have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Fernando de la Mora 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Deportivo Capiatá vs Fernando de la Mora?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.