Deportivo Cuenca Juniors vs Independiente Juniors: match statistics
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors vs Independiente Juniors: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors played Independiente Juniors in Primera Categoría Serie B (Ecuador). The match was played on 10 April 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors: 2-1-0, 2.33 points/match. Independiente Juniors: 2-1-0, 2.33 points/match.
Goal statistics
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors scores 1.00 and concedes 0.33 goals per match. Independiente Juniors scores 1.00 and concedes 0.33. League average: 2.00 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 33%, Independiente Juniors 33%. Over 2.5: Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 33%, Independiente Juniors 33%. League level: BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 32%.
xG, shots and style
Independiente Juniors has higher xG: 1.67 vs 1.37. Deportivo Cuenca Juniors: 11.0 shots per match, Independiente Juniors: 13.3.
Match halves
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.33. Independiente Juniors: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors: 0-15 (1 goals). Independiente Juniors: 61-75 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera Categoría Serie B: 2.00 goals per match, BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 32%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Independiente Juniors are the favorites: in the last 5 matches they scored 10 goals and conceded 4, while Deportivo Cuenca Juniors scored 4 and conceded 5. The visitors average 16 shots per match with 6 on target and have an xG of 1.84 per away match, whereas the hosts record 9 shots, 3 on target and xG 1.11 at home. Over the last 5 matches Independiente collected an average of 2.2 points per match versus 1.6 for Cuenca, and in season stats the visitors have 100% win rate away compared to 0% home wins for the hosts. Deportivo have a 100% share of home matches without scoring and a home goals average of 0, which combined with a zero shot conversion rate indicates problems finishing chances. Considering the superiority in quantity and quality of chances (16 vs 9 shots, xG 1.84 vs 1.11) and better points efficiency (2.2 vs 1.6), I predict an away win and assign them a 65% probability.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The dominant seasonal signal favors No BTTS: Independiente Juniors have a season-long 100% clean sheets rate and a season BTTS rate of 0%, with an average goals conceded of 0.0. Deportivo Cuenca Juniors have a season BTTS rate of 50% with an average goals scored of 1.0 and average goals conceded 0.5, so they have some scoring potential, but this is a weaker signal than the visitors' flawless defense. In the last 5 matches the visitors have 60% BTTS and score on average 2.0 goals (home team 0.8), and xG shows the visitors' advantage 1.84 vs 1.58 (xG against 0.81 vs 1.17), which gives some probability of Goal/Goal. Overall, however, the league has a low BTTS share of 39% and a high clean sheet rate of 78%, which together with the visitors' season 100% clean sheets shifts the balance toward No Goal. Therefore I assess BTTS probability as 'No' 75% and 'Yes' 25% and tip 'No'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
An xG-based model projects 1.20 goals for Deportivo Cuenca Juniors (xG_for 1.58 vs xG_against away 0.81 -> (1.58+0.81)/2 = 1.20) and 1.50 goals for Independiente Juniors (xG_for 1.84 vs xG_against home 1.17 -> (1.84+1.17)/2 = 1.50), yielding a total of 2.70 goals. This total is 0.59 higher than the league average of 2.11 and close to the last 5 matches where both teams combined averaged 2.8 goals (0.8 for hosts and 2.0 for guests). Independiente have scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches with a recent xG_for of 1.99, while Deportivo have 4 goals and xG_for 1.38, so the main source of goals will be the visitors. Seasonal indicators are mixed: hosts have 50% of matches over 1.5, visitors 0%, but over2.5 occurred in 40% of the last 5 matches for both, whereas over3.5 season-to-date is 0% for both teams, which reduces the appeal of the 3.5 line. Therefore the strongest signal from the data is playing the over at 1.5 (high probability), over 2.5 is assessed as moderately likely (~62%), and over 3.5 as unlikely.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Both teams average 0.0 goals by half-time and have had 100% draws at the break, making a draw at half-time highly likely. Independiente Juniors are the match favorites: they have won 100% of their matches this season and average 3.0 points per game while keeping a clean sheet (average goals conceded 0.0). The visitors' advantage is confirmed by xG and shot metrics — visitors' xG 1.84 versus hosts' 1.58, xG against 0.81 versus 1.17, and an average of 16.0 shots for the visitors compared to 12.0 for the hosts. Consequently the most probable scenario is a draw at half-time and a visitors' victory after 90 minutes (HT/FT: X/2).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Deportivo Cuenca Juniors | Independiente Juniors | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.17 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Independiente Juniors keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).
Independiente Juniors scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Deportivo Cuenca Juniors keeps a clean sheet in 67% (2 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Deportivo Cuenca Juniors
Over / Under - Independiente Juniors
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors is 133% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.33 pts / match - Deportivo Cuenca Juniors · 1 pts / match - Independiente Juniors
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Independiente Juniors - second-half results
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.33 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.7 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 0.7 | 0.7 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 33% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 67% |
| No goal | 33% | 67% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.33 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 1.3 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 67% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 33% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 67% |
| No goal | 100% | 33% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors
Independiente Juniors
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera Categoría Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Deportivo Cuenca Juniors | Liga | Independiente Juniors | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.33 | 2.00 | ▼ 1.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 36% | ▼ 33% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 33% | 32% | • 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 67% | 39% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 67% | 55% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 33% | 64% | ▲ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Deportivo Cuenca Juniors vs Independiente Juniors?
The Primera Categoría Serie B match finished Deportivo Cuenca Juniors 2:1 Independiente Juniors. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Deportivo Cuenca Juniors vs Independiente Juniors?
Deportivo Cuenca Juniors score 1.00 goals per game on average and Independiente Juniors 1.00. The Primera Categoría Serie B average is 2.00 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 32% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Deportivo Cuenca Juniors's matches and 33% of Independiente Juniors's.
What form are Deportivo Cuenca Juniors and Independiente Juniors in?
Over the last 5 games Deportivo Cuenca Juniors have a 2-1-0 record (2.33 points per game) and Independiente Juniors 2-1-0 (2.33 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Deportivo Cuenca Juniors vs Independiente Juniors?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Deportivo Cuenca Juniors vs Independiente Juniors: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.