Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atlético Grau: match statistics
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atlético Grau: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Deportivo Garcilaso played Atlético Grau in Primera División (Peru). The match was played on 6 September 2026. Venue: Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega. Final score: 4:2.
Current form
Deportivo Garcilaso: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Atlético Grau: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Deportivo Garcilaso scores 1.29 and concedes 0.88 goals per match. Atlético Grau scores 0.83 and concedes 0.96. League average: 2.77 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Deportivo Garcilaso 46%, Atlético Grau 29%. Over 2.5: Deportivo Garcilaso 33%, Atlético Grau 29%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético Grau has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.25. Deportivo Garcilaso: 11.5 shots per match, Atlético Grau: 11.9.
Match halves
Deportivo Garcilaso: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.83. Atlético Grau: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Deportivo Garcilaso: 76-90+ (9 goals). Atlético Grau: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.77 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-0. Average goals 1.33, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Deportivo Garcilaso are extremely strong at home: they win 75% of their home matches, average 2.08 goals per game, and have failed to score in none of their home fixtures. Atlético Grau average just 0.58 goals per away match, fail to find the net in 67% of such games, and have lost 58% of their away outings. The hosts are also in excellent form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches and conceding just 1 goal in that run, while the visitors have scored 5 goals over the same period. Garcilaso’s superiority is also evident in their chance creation at home: 5.17 shots on target and an xG of 1.39 per match, compared with Atlético Grau’s 3.17 shots on target and xG of 1.08 away from home. With the hosts conceding an average of 0.92 goals at home, a controlled Garcilaso victory is the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The “No” selection is clearly stronger, as BTTS in Deportivo Garcilaso matches stands at just 33%, and in Atlético Grau fixtures at only 25%, compared with the league average of 57%. Atlético Grau averages 0.58 goals away from home and fails to score in 67% of matches, while Garcilaso keeps a clean sheet in 50% of its home games. The trend from the last five rounds also supports a scenario in which one side fails to score: both teams recorded BTTS in only 20% of their matches, while Garcilaso conceded just 0.2 goals per game during this period. The hosts are in strong defensive form, conceding only 1 goal in total across their last five matches, which significantly limits the visitors’ chances of scoring. Garcilaso should create more opportunities, averaging 1.55 xG and 4.83 shots on target at home compared with Grau’s 1.08 xG and 3.17 shots on target, but a result with the visitors failing to score is more likely than a Goal/Goal outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The match profile clearly points to a limited number of goals: Deportivo Garcilaso concede an average of just 0.67 goals at home, while Atlético Grau score only 0.58 goals away from home. In their last five matches, the hosts conceded just 1 goal and the visitors 2, with both teams recording Over 2.5 goals in only 20% of their respective matches. Across the season, fewer than 3.5 goals were scored in 83% of Garcilaso’s matches and 75% of Grau’s, while Over 3.5 goals occurred in just 17% and 25% of cases, respectively. The hosts have greater offensive potential, as reflected by an xG of 1.55 compared with 1.08 for the visitors, but Grau’s poor finishing and Garcilaso’s 50% clean-sheet rate limit the prospects of an open, high-scoring game. The projected total of 2.00 goals provides a clear safety margin for an Under 3.5 goals bet.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Deportivo Garcilaso led at half-time in 42% of their matches, while Atlético Grau were ahead after 45 minutes in only 8% of games. In their last five matches, the hosts had the lead on three occasions, compared with none for the visitors. The hosts’ first-half advantage is also reflected in their goal-scoring record: they score an average of 0.50 goals and concede 0.17, whereas Grau score just 0.17 and allow opponents to average 0.58. Garcilaso kept a clean sheet before the break in 83% of matches, while the visitors failed to score in the first half in 83% of their games, significantly limiting the scenarios in which the away side could lead. Across the season, the hosts average 1.08 goals scored and 0.67 conceded, compared with Atlético Grau’s figures of 0.58 scored and 1.25 conceded; their xG also stands at 1.55 versus 1.08. The most likely outcome is therefore a scenario in which Deportivo Garcilaso capitalise on their early advantage and maintain the lead until the final whistle — HT/FT 1/1.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Deportivo Garcilaso | Atlético Grau | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.21 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Deportivo Garcilaso is 30% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Deportivo Garcilaso · 2 pts / match - Atlético Grau
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportivo Garcilaso is 55% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - Deportivo Garcilaso · 0.83 goals / match - Atlético Grau
Deportivo Garcilaso is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.88 goals / match - Deportivo Garcilaso · 0.96 goals / match - Atlético Grau
Deportivo Garcilaso scores in 75% of matches (18 of 24 matches), while Atlético Grau keeps a clean sheet in 38% (9 of 24 matches).
Atlético Grau scores in 50% of matches (12 of 24 matches), while Deportivo Garcilaso keeps a clean sheet in 42% (10 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Deportivo Garcilaso
Over / Under - Atlético Grau
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportivo Garcilaso is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.58 pts / match - Deportivo Garcilaso · 1.25 pts / match - Atlético Grau
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Deportivo Garcilaso - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atlético Grau - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 100% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Deportivo Garcilaso
Atlético Grau
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Deportivo Garcilaso | Liga | Atlético Grau | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.17 | 2.77 | ▼ 1.79 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 46% | 58% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 53% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 24% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 46% | 68% | ▼ 54% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 79% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Deportivo GarcilasoSubstitutionOn: Sharif Aaron Ramírez NaupariOff: Francisco Andrés Arancibia Silva
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Deportivo Garcilaso 1 - 2 - 0 Atlético Grau. Average goals 1.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atlético Grau?
The Primera División match finished Deportivo Garcilaso 4:2 Atlético Grau. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo Garcilaso and Atlético Grau?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Deportivo Garcilaso won 1, Atlético Grau won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atlético Grau?
Deportivo Garcilaso score 1.29 goals per game on average and Atlético Grau 0.83. The Primera División average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 46% of Deportivo Garcilaso's matches and 29% of Atlético Grau's.
What form are Deportivo Garcilaso and Atlético Grau in?
Over the last 5 games Deportivo Garcilaso have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Atlético Grau 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atlético Grau?
The statistical background for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atlético Grau — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.