Deportivo Garcilaso vs Melgar: match statistics
Deportivo Garcilaso vs Melgar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Deportivo Garcilaso play Melgar in Primera División (Peru). The match date is 28 April 2026 at 02:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Deportivo Garcilaso: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Melgar: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Deportivo Garcilaso scores 1.17 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Melgar scores 1.78 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Deportivo Garcilaso 50%, Melgar 72%. Over 2.5: Deportivo Garcilaso 33%, Melgar 61%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.
xG, shots and style
Melgar has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.25. Deportivo Garcilaso: 11.6 shots per match, Melgar: 14.0.
Match halves
Deportivo Garcilaso: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.83. Melgar: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Deportivo Garcilaso: 46-60 (6 goals). Melgar: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 53%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Melgar has a superior record this season: 5 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses with 18 goals scored, while Deportivo Garcilaso has 2 wins, 4 draws and 5 losses with 11 goals. In the last 5 matches Melgar scored 7 goals and registered 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss (averaging 1.6 points per match), whereas Garcilaso scored 6 goals with a 1-2-2 record and averages 1.0 point per match. At home Garcilaso averages 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, xG for 1.35 and xG against 1.14, 50% possession and on average 4.2 shots on target per match; Melgar away averages 1.6 goals but concedes 1.8 and has xG against 1.85, indicating greater defensive exposure for the visitors. The visitors are, however, more efficient in chance conversion (14% vs 12%) and have more goals this season (18 vs 11), which gives them an offensive edge. Considering Melgar’s better efficiency and form and the hosts’ moderate xG advantage at home, I predict an away win; I propose probability distribution: 30% home, 25% draw, 45% away.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Deportivo Garcilaso | Melgar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Melgar is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Deportivo Garcilaso · 2.2 pts / match - Melgar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Melgar is 52% better for: goals scored per match.
1.17 goals / match - Deportivo Garcilaso · 1.78 goals / match - Melgar
Deportivo Garcilaso is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.06 goals / match - Deportivo Garcilaso · 1.17 goals / match - Melgar
Deportivo Garcilaso scores in 72% of matches (13 of 18 matches), while Melgar keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
Melgar scores in 89% of matches (16 of 18 matches), while Deportivo Garcilaso keeps a clean sheet in 33% (6 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Deportivo Garcilaso
Over / Under — Melgar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Melgar is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Deportivo Garcilaso · 1.83 pts / match - Melgar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Deportivo Garcilaso - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Melgar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Deportivo Garcilaso
Melgar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Deportivo Garcilaso | Liga | Melgar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.22 | 2.67 | ▲ 2.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 58% | ▲ 72% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 53% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 24% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 39% | 65% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 80% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Deportivo Garcilaso 1 - 1 - 0 Melgar. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Deportivo Garcilaso vs Melgar?
The Primera División match finished Deportivo Garcilaso 1:0 Melgar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo Garcilaso and Melgar?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Deportivo Garcilaso won 1, Melgar won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Deportivo Garcilaso vs Melgar?
Deportivo Garcilaso score 1.17 goals per game on average and Melgar 1.78. The Primera División average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Deportivo Garcilaso's matches and 72% of Melgar's.
What form are Deportivo Garcilaso and Melgar in?
Over the last 5 games Deportivo Garcilaso have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Melgar 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Melgar?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Deportivo Garcilaso vs Melgar: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.