Deportivo Maipú vs Almagro: match statistics
Deportivo Maipú vs Almagro: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Deportivo Maipú played Almagro in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match was played on 26 April 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Deportivo Maipú: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Almagro: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Deportivo Maipú scores 1.11 and concedes 1.44 goals per match. Almagro scores 0.56 and concedes 1.33. League average: 1.80 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Deportivo Maipú 67%, Almagro 22%. Over 2.5: Deportivo Maipú 67%, Almagro 11%. League level: BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 29%.
xG, shots and style
Deportivo Maipú has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.02. Deportivo Maipú: 12.2 shots per match, Almagro: 7.1.
Match halves
Deportivo Maipú: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.56. Almagro: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
Deportivo Maipú: 31-45+ (3 goals). Almagro: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.80 goals per match, BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 29%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Deportivo Maipú holds a clear edge in chance creation — at home they average 14.75 shots per game, including 3.5 on target, with xG 1.65, while Almagro away averages just 6.4 shots and 2.8 on target with xG 1.00. Consequently the hosts score 1.25 goals per home match and concede 1.00, whereas the visitors score only 0.4 goals away and concede 2.00 on average — this indicates superiority for Maipú both offensively and defensively. In the last 5 matches Maipú has scored 4 goals and averages 0.8 points per game (record 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses), while Almagro has also scored 4 but conceded 8 and averages 1.2 points per game (record 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses); additionally the visitors fail to score in 60% of their away matches. Higher possession (54% vs 44%), greater shot volume (14.75 vs 6.4) and superior xG (1.65 vs 1.00) lead me to back the home win (1), although Maipú have 0% clean sheets at home, so I expect goals at both ends.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Deportivo Maipú has a seasonal BTTS 0% at home and 50% clean sheets in home matches, while Almagro has a seasonal BTTS 40% and only 20% clean sheets as an away team; in the league the overall BTTS rate is 37% and clean sheets 81%. The home side score on average 0.75 goals per game and concede 0.5 at home, whereas Almagro score only 0.4 and concede 2.0 per game — meaning Almagro concedes more but rarely scores. xG and shot metrics show similar creative potential (home xG 1.06 vs away xG 1.00), but Almagro allows 2.07 xG against compared to 1.46 for Maipú and has a lower shot conversion (6% vs 9%), suggesting the visitors create chances but convert poorly. In the last 5 matches BTTS for the home team is 40% and for the away team 20%; hosts have averaged 0.8 scored and 1.0 conceded, while Almagro averaged 0.8 scored and 1.6 conceded, indicating both sides have not been consistent in scoring recently. Considering the seasonal 0% BTTS for the hosts, 50% home clean sheets and the league’s low BTTS share of 37%, I project a 'No' (No Goal) scenario as stronger — 75% vs 25% for BTTS - Yes (Goal/Goal).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG analysis indicates total expected goals around 2.80: home average xG is 1.06, and xG against Almagro is 2.07, yielding ≈1.57 expected goals for Deportivo; Almagro’s xG is 1.00 and xG against Deportivo 1.46, i.e. ≈1.23 for the away side. Seasonal actual goals are low (Deportivo 0.75, Almagro 0.40), highlighting finishing issues — gaps between xG and actual goals are about 0.31 and 0.60. Defensively Almagro is weakest: concedes 2.00 goals per match on average with xG against 2.07 and only 20% clean sheets, while Deportivo has 50% clean sheets; this increases the likelihood of goals for the hosts. Considering total xG ≈2.80 and recent form over the last 5 matches (Deportivo recent xG_for 1.57, Almagro recent xG_against 1.42), the distribution model gives roughly 77% for Over 1.5, ~53% for Over 2.5 and ~31% for Over 3.5. Based on this I recommend backing Over 1.5 as the strongest signal, while approaching Over 2.5/3.5 cautiously due to the low seasonal goal averages.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I expect a Half-Time draw and a Home win (X/1). Home teams led at the break in 25% of their home matches, while away teams never led on the road (0%). Halftime draws occurred in 50% for home matches and 40% for away matches (approximately 45% on average). After the break the hosts have the advantage: they score on average 0.75 goals in second halves and average 1.75 points in second halves versus 0.8 for the visitors. Additionally, the hosts scored 2 goals in minutes 46–60, while the visitors conceded 3 goals in the 31–45 and 76–90 intervals. This is supported by xG and finishing efficiency — home xG is 1.06 versus 1.00 for the away side; xG conceded by the visitors is 2.07 compared to 1.46 against the hosts; and the hosts’ shot conversion is 9% versus 6% for the visitors. Moreover, the hosts keep a clean sheet in 50% of home games and have 75% clean first halves, whereas the visitors have only 20% clean sheets on the road and concede an average of 2.0 goals per match, which increases the likelihood of a home win. Accordingly, I assigned the highest probability to the X/1 scenario (28%), leaving 1/1 (18%) and X/X (12%) as the main alternatives.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Deportivo Maipú | Almagro | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Almagro is 50% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Deportivo Maipú · 1.2 pts / match - Almagro
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportivo Maipú is 98% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - Deportivo Maipú · 0.56 goals / match - Almagro
Almagro is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.44 goals / match - Deportivo Maipú · 1.33 goals / match - Almagro
Deportivo Maipú scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Almagro keeps a clean sheet in 33% (3 of 9 matches).
Almagro scores in 44% of matches (4 of 9 matches), while Deportivo Maipú keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Deportivo Maipú
Over / Under - Almagro
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportivo Maipú is 71% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.33 pts / match - Deportivo Maipú · 0.78 pts / match - Almagro
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Deportivo Maipú - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 22%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Almagro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Deportivo Maipú
Almagro
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Deportivo Maipú | Liga | Almagro | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.56 | 1.80 | • 1.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 67% | 36% | ▼ 22% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 29% | ▼ 11% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 41% | ▼ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 57% | • 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 69% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Deportivo Maipú 2 - 0 - 0 Almagro. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Deportivo Maipú vs Almagro?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Deportivo Maipú 1:0 Almagro. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo Maipú and Almagro?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Deportivo Maipú won 2, Almagro won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Deportivo Maipú vs Almagro?
Deportivo Maipú score 1.11 goals per game on average and Almagro 0.56. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Deportivo Maipú's matches and 22% of Almagro's.
What form are Deportivo Maipú and Almagro in?
Over the last 5 games Deportivo Maipú have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Almagro 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Deportivo Maipú vs Almagro?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.