Argentina - Prim B NacionalData current as of 23 July 2026

Deportivo Maipú vs Atlético Rafaela: match statistics

125%(2.30)
X25%(2.70)
250%(3.40)

Atlético Rafaela has shown decidedly better form in the last five matches, earning 2.6 points per game compared to just 0.6 points for Deportivo Maipú. The visitors boast an impressive run of four wins and one draw (wwwwd), whereas the hosts have recorded four losses and one win (lwlll). The goal difference also favors Atlético Rafaela – 6 goals scored with only 2 conceded in the last five meetings, while Deportivo Maipú scored 5 goals and conceded 6. Additionally, the hosts have a negative record in the current season (1 loss, 1:2 goals), while the visitors remain unbeaten (1 draw, 0:0). All statistical indicators clearly point to the visitors' advantage, making an Atlético Rafaela victory the most probable scenario for this encounter.

Deportivo Maipú vs Atlético Rafaela: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Deportivo Maipú play Atlético Rafaela in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match date is 22 February 2026 at 00:00. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Deportivo Maipú: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Atlético Rafaela: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Deportivo Maipú scores 1.29 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Atlético Rafaela scores 0.71 and concedes 0.86. League average: 1.89 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Deportivo Maipú 48%, Atlético Rafaela 29%. Over 2.5: Deportivo Maipú 48%, Atlético Rafaela 24%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 30%.

xG, shots and style

Deportivo Maipú has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.15. Deportivo Maipú: 11.6 shots per match, Atlético Rafaela: 8.4.

Match halves

Deportivo Maipú: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.62. Atlético Rafaela: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.48.

Goals by minute

Deportivo Maipú: 31-45+ (7 goals). Atlético Rafaela: 46-60 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Prim B Nacional: 1.89 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 30%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Match description

Atlético Rafaela has shown decidedly better form in the last five matches, earning 2.6 points per game compared to just 0.6 points for Deportivo Maipú. The visitors boast an impressive run of four wins and one draw (wwwwd), whereas the hosts have recorded four losses and one win (lwlll). The goal difference also favors Atlético Rafaela – 6 goals scored with only 2 conceded in the last five meetings, while Deportivo Maipú scored 5 goals and conceded 6. Additionally, the hosts have a negative record in the current season (1 loss, 1:2 goals), while the visitors remain unbeaten (1 draw, 0:0). All statistical indicators clearly point to the visitors' advantage, making an Atlético Rafaela victory the most probable scenario for this encounter.

Half-by-half

1 : 1
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

69Possession (%)31
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
28Shots11
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
7Shots on target5
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
2.51xG1.29
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
8Corners0
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
35Dangerous attacks33
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
13Fouls13
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
3Cards4
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
1.29Goals scored / match0.71
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
1Goals conceded / match0.86
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
49%Average possession44%
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
4.19Shots on target / match3
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.57Shots per match8.43
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
4.19Shots on target3
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
11.1%Shot conversion8.5%
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
49%Possession44%
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
1.43xG for1.15
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
1.48xG against1.54
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela

Shooting quality

Deportivo Maipú: BalancedAtlético Rafaela: Balanced
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
Accuracy (shots on target)36%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.24

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Deportivo Maipú is 300% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Deportivo Maipú · 0.4 pts / match - Atlético Rafaela

Deportivo Maipú
LDWWD
Season result split
38% W24% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
8-5-8
1.38 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-2-3
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WLDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.47Opponent xG: 1.14BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Atlético Rafaela
DDLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
33% W29% R38% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-6-8
1.29 pts / match · goal difference -3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-3
0.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-4-6
Last 5 away
0-2-3
LDDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 0.99Opponent xG: 1.49BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Deportivo Maipú is 82% better for: goals scored per match.

1.29 goals / match - Deportivo Maipú · 0.71 goals / match - Atlético Rafaela

Atlético Rafaela is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Deportivo Maipú · 0.86 goals / match - Atlético Rafaela

Deportivo Maipú scoring profile: mixed

Deportivo Maipú scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Atlético Rafaela keeps a clean sheet in 52% (11 of 21 matches).

Atlético Rafaela scoring profile: mixed

Atlético Rafaela scores in 57% of matches (12 of 21 matches), while Deportivo Maipú keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).

27Goals scored (season)15
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
21Goals conceded (season)18
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
2.29Average goals in match1.57
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
5Goals scored (last 5)1
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
2Goals conceded (last 5)6
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal57%
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
33%2 goals5%
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
19%3 goals5%
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
5%4 goals5%
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal48%
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
29%2 goals33%
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
5%3 goals5%
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
0%4 goals0%
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

48%
Deportivo Maipú - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.10 of 21 matches
29%
Atlético Rafaela - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.6 of 21 matches
39%
League average

Goal patterns

5%BTTS at half-time10%
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
19%Scored in both halves5%
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela

BTTS and goal count

43%Min. 3 goals and BTTS24%
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
20%BTTS - last 520%
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

62%Min. 1 goal before half-time48%
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
19%Min. 2 goals before half-time10%
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time19%
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
19%Min. 3 goals after half-time10%
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Deportivo Maipú is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.57 pts / match - Deportivo Maipú · 1.05 pts / match - Atlético Rafaela

Deportivo Maipú - half-time state
38% leading43% draw19% trailing
Atlético Rafaela - half-time state
14% leading62% draw24% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.57Points per match (1st half)1.05
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.24
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
0.24Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
0.9Average goals (1st half)0.57
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
76%Clean sheet before half-time67%
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
57%No goal before half-time76%
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela

After half-time (2nd half)

1.24Points per match (2nd half)1.24
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
0.62Goals scored (2nd half)0.48
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
0.76Goals conceded (2nd half)0.52
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
1.38Average goals (2nd half)1
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
43%Clean sheet after half-time57%
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela
57%No goal after half-time62%
Deportivo MaipúAtlético Rafaela

Deportivo Maipú - second-half results

29% W38% R33% P
33
Half-time points
14
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.57
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Atlético Rafaela - second-half results

29% W38% R33% P
22
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
26
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.05
PPG before half-time
Lead holding236%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Deportivo Maipú - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.801.20
Goals scored / match0.60.4
Goals conceded / match0.00.4
Average goals in match0.60.8
1 goal40%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference+30
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Atlético Rafaela - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.40
Goals scored / match0.00.2
Goals conceded / match0.21.0
Average goals in match0.21.2
1 goal20%60%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal100%80%
Goal difference-1-4
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Deportivo Maipú
ScoredConceded
4
2
0-15
3
1
16-30
7
2
31-45
4
6
46-60
3
5
61-75
6
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Atlético Rafaela
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
2
1
16-30
1
4
31-45
5
2
46-60
3
3
61-75
2
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (5 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.93
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
39%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+107%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
38%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
14%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 7 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Deportivo Maipú

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.34
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.48
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
113%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
133%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.22
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 15% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Atlético Rafaela

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.24
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.44
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.68
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
95%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
75%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.89
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
13% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
13%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).

Teams vs league

Deportivo MaipúLigaAtlético Rafaela
Average goals in match 2.291.89 1.57
Both teams scored 48%39% 29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 48%30% 24%
Clean sheets 33%39% 52%
Goal before half-time 62%56% 48%
Goal after half-time 71%70% 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.89
Average goals per match
39%
Both teams scored
30%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
1.14
Home goals / match
0.75
Away goals / match
+52%
Home attack advantage
+34%
Home defence advantage
+24%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
56%
1 goal
21%
2 goals
5%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Deportivo Maipú 1 - 0 - 0 Atlético Rafaela. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Deportivo Maipú vs Atlético Rafaela?

The Prim B Nacional match finished Deportivo Maipú 2:1 Atlético Rafaela. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Deportivo Maipú vs Atlético Rafaela?

Deportivo Maipú score 1.29 goals per game on average and Atlético Rafaela 0.71. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Deportivo Maipú's matches and 29% of Atlético Rafaela's.

What form are Deportivo Maipú and Atlético Rafaela in?

Over the last 5 games Deportivo Maipú have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Atlético Rafaela 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Deportivo Maipú vs Atlético Rafaela?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.