Deportivo Maipú vs Colegiales: match statistics
Deportivo Maipú vs Colegiales: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Deportivo Maipú played Colegiales in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match was played on 12 April 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Deportivo Maipú: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Colegiales: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Deportivo Maipú scores 1.00 and concedes 1.71 goals per match. Colegiales scores 0.57 and concedes 1.14. League average: 1.86 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Deportivo Maipú 71%, Colegiales 29%. Over 2.5: Deportivo Maipú 71%, Colegiales 29%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 30%.
xG, shots and style
Deportivo Maipú has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.15. Deportivo Maipú: 12.9 shots per match, Colegiales: 10.0.
Match halves
Deportivo Maipú: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.43. Colegiales: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Deportivo Maipú: 31-45+ (3 goals). Colegiales: 31-45+ (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.86 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 30%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Deportivo Maipú holds a clear advantage in chance creation – home xG of 1.74 versus 1.16 xG for Colegiales on the road, and Maipú averages 16 shots with 3.33 on target per home match compared to 7.75 shots and 2.5 on target for away Colegiales. Additionally, the hosts dominate possession (58% vs 47%) and concede 1.00 goal per home game on average, whereas Colegiales concede 2.00 goals away and carry a negative goal differential of -6 with 100% of away matches lost. Despite that, Maipú shows issues in finishing and form: they score only 0.67 goals per home match, fail to score in 67% of home games and have averaged 0.2 pts in the last 5 (dllll), while Colegiales have 0.8 pts in their last five (llldw) and score less (0.5 goals away). Conversion rate is 4 for Maipú versus 6 for Colegiales, meaning the visitors are slightly more efficient from fewer opportunities, but the overall superiority in quality and volume of chances (xG 1.74 vs 1.16, 16 vs 7.75 shots) and stronger home defensive record favor a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Deportivo Maipú has a seasonal BTTS rate of 0% and a clean sheet percentage of 100%, while Colegiales has a seasonal BTTS of 50% and a clean sheet percentage of 0%. In the last 5 matches the home side shows BTTS at 60% and the away side 20%, indicating short-term variability, but season-long data strongly disfavors BTTS. xG is 1.13 for the home team vs 1.16 for the visitors, and xG against is 0.99 for the home side vs 1.30 for the visitors, suggesting a weaker defense for Colegiales but not necessarily better finishing. The home team attempts significantly more shots (13.0 vs 7.75) with a similar number of shots on target (2.67 vs 2.5), yet both teams have low conversion rates (5% vs 6%) and low season average goals (0.67 vs 0.5), limiting scoring. Considering the home side’s 100% season clean sheet rate, the league BTTS level at 38% and overall low finishing, the stronger signal is No Goal/clean sheet expected — I propose 72% for 'no' and 28% for 'BTTS - Yes'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
xG analysis yields expected goals of 1.22 for Deportivo Maipú (xG_for_home 1.13 vs xG_against_away 1.30) and 1.08 for Colegiales (xG_for_away 1.16 vs xG_against_home 0.99), totaling 2.30. A Poisson model with lambda 2.30 estimates ~67% probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), 40% for at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) and 20% for at least 4 goals (Over 3.5). Additionally, the home side averages 13.0 shots and 2.67 on target, while the visitors average 7.75 shots and 2.5 on target, but conversion rates are low (5% and 6%), which may suppress goal totals. Despite divergent seasonal indicators (seasonOver15_home 0% vs seasonOver15_away 100%), the combined xG and recent form signal is stronger (home team has 60% Over 2.5 in last 5), therefore I recommend taking Over on the 1.5 line as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The home team have not conceded at home (0.0 goals conceded on average, 100% of matches without conceding) and are most often level at half-time (draw in 100% of matches and 0.0 goals scored on average by half-time), which strongly indicates a scenario of parity after 45 minutes. Colegiales have a poor away record: 0% wins, 100% losses, conceding 2.0 goals per match on average, and are behind at the break in 75% of games, so they are unlikely to hold a lead. Despite similar xG (1.13 for the hosts versus 1.16 for the visitors), the hosts take more shots (13.0 vs 7.75) and average 2.33 points per home match compared to 0.0 for the away side, suggesting greater offensive pressure after the break. Second-half data confirm this: the hosts score an average of 0.67 goals after the interval and in 67% of their matches at least one goal is scored post-break, so the most likely outcome is 0-0 at half-time followed by a home win by full-time (X/1). Therefore I consider X/1 the best pick and estimate its probability at about 55%, with 20% for a full-time draw (X/X) and only 5% for an away win after a half-time draw (X/2), the remainder allocated to rare scenarios where a team leads before the break.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Deportivo Maipú | Colegiales | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 23% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.22 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Colegiales is 300% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Deportivo Maipú · 0.8 pts / match - Colegiales
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportivo Maipú is 75% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Deportivo Maipú · 0.57 goals / match - Colegiales
Colegiales is 50% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.71 goals / match - Deportivo Maipú · 1.14 goals / match - Colegiales
Deportivo Maipú scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Colegiales keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).
Colegiales scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while Deportivo Maipú keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Deportivo Maipú
Over / Under - Colegiales
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportivo Maipú is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.14 pts / match - Deportivo Maipú · 0.86 pts / match - Colegiales
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Deportivo Maipú - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Colegiales - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (1 goal). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Deportivo Maipú
Colegiales
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Deportivo Maipú | Liga | Colegiales | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.71 | 1.86 | ▼ 1.71 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 71% | 38% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 30% | • 29% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 39% | ▲ 43% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 62% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 86% | 71% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Deportivo Maipú 1 - 0 - 1 Colegiales. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Deportivo Maipú vs Colegiales?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Deportivo Maipú 3:1 Colegiales. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo Maipú and Colegiales?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Deportivo Maipú won 1, Colegiales won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Deportivo Maipú vs Colegiales?
Deportivo Maipú score 1.00 goals per game on average and Colegiales 0.57. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.86 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Deportivo Maipú's matches and 29% of Colegiales's.
What form are Deportivo Maipú and Colegiales in?
Over the last 5 games Deportivo Maipú have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Colegiales 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Deportivo Maipú vs Colegiales?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.