Deportivo Maipú vs San Martín Tucumán: match statistics
Deportivo Maipú vs San Martín Tucumán: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Deportivo Maipú played San Martín Tucumán in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match was played on 17 July 2026. Venue: Estadio Omar Higinio Sperdutti. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Deportivo Maipú: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. San Martín Tucumán: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Deportivo Maipú scores 1.35 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. San Martín Tucumán scores 0.95 and concedes 0.75. League average: 1.90 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Deportivo Maipú 50%, San Martín Tucumán 30%. Over 2.5: Deportivo Maipú 50%, San Martín Tucumán 15%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 31%.
xG, shots and style
Deportivo Maipú has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.28. Deportivo Maipú: 11.6 shots per match, San Martín Tucumán: 10.1.
Match halves
Deportivo Maipú: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.65. San Martín Tucumán: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.40.
Goals by minute
Deportivo Maipú: 31-45+ (7 goals). San Martín Tucumán: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.90 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 31%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Deportivo Maipú has a clear advantage in home metrics: at home they score on average 1.2 goals and concede 0.7 per match, with home xG of 1.64 versus San Martín’s 1.2 xG on the road. The hosts generate significantly more chances — on average 14.2 shots and 4.5 on target per home match versus 9.1 shots and 3.3 on target away for the visitors, with similar finishing efficiency around 8%. Statistically Maipú wins 60% of home fixtures and has a +5 goal difference at home, while San Martín has a 30% win rate away and a -3 goal difference. Both teams scored 5 goals and conceded 3 in their last 5 matches, but in those 5 Maipú collected 7 points (1.4 per match) versus the visitors’ 8 points (1.6 per match), indicating a slight form edge for the away side. Considering the higher xG (1.64 vs 1.2), greater shot volume and lower average goals conceded at home (0.7 vs 1.0), I predict a home win; probabilities estimated at ~60% for Maipú, 22% for a draw and 18% for San Martín.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Deportivo Maipú averages 1.2 goals scored and concedes 0.5 per match, while San Martín Tucumán has only 0.7 scored and 1.0 conceded, giving the home side a defensive advantage of around 0.5 goals. xG shows a similar picture: hosts have xG 1.37 versus 1.20 for the visitors, and xG against is 0.75 (Deportivo) versus 1.20 (San Martín) — hosts allow 0.45 xG less. Deportivo’s season clean sheet rate is 60% versus San Martín’s 30%, and the season BTTS rate is only 30% for both teams, with BTTS in the last 5 matches at just 20% for each side. Deportivo averages 11.1 shots with 11% conversion vs 9.1 shots and 8% conversion for the visitors, suggesting control and greater efficiency from the hosts rather than an open goal exchange. Given the 60% clean sheets, low season 30% BTTS and only 20% in the last 5, I assess the chance of BTTS at about 25% versus 75% for No Goal and recommend a 'No' bet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project a total around 2.23 goals: Deportivo Maipú ~1.28 (average xG_for 1.37 and opponent xG_against 1.20 → (1.37+1.20)/2≈1.29) versus San Martín Tucumán ~0.95 (average xG_for 1.20 and opponent xG_against 0.75 → ≈0.98, adjusted to 0.95). In the last 5 matches both teams scored 5 goals (1.0 per match) and conceded 3 (0.6 per match), indicating a low-scoring recent form. Season stats reinforce the defensive nature of this fixture: San Martín has 0% of matches Over 2.5, Deportivo 30%, both teams to score in only 30% of matches, and the hosts have 60% clean sheets. A Poisson model with λ=2.23 would theoretically yield ~38% chance for Over 2.5, but given seasonal tendencies (San Martín 0% Over2.5, Deportivo 30% and last 5 matches Over2.5 at 20%) I adjust the forecast to Over 2.5 ≈28% vs Under 2.5 ≈72% and recommend backing Under on the 2.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The home side performs better this season: on average 1.2 goals scored and only 0.5 conceded, while San Martín average 0.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. The difference in chance quality is visible in xG: 1.37 xG for Maipú versus 1.20 for the visitors, and xG against the hosts is only 0.75 compared to 1.20 for San Martín. At half-time we most often see a draw — the hosts were level at the break in 60% of matches and average 0.7 goals by half-time vs 0.4 for the visitors, indicating a strong likelihood of a draw after 45 minutes. In the second half Maipú have the edge: they score an average of 0.5 goals after the break and have a higher points-per-game average 1.7 versus 1.2, so I expect a turnaround in favor of the home side after half-time. For these reasons the most reliable signal is X/1 (draw at Half-Time, home win Full-Time), with the highest probability estimated at 35%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Deportivo Maipú | San Martín Tucumán | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
San Martín Tucumán is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Deportivo Maipú · 1.6 pts / match - San Martín Tucumán
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Deportivo Maipú is 42% better for: goals scored per match.
1.35 goals / match - Deportivo Maipú · 0.95 goals / match - San Martín Tucumán
San Martín Tucumán is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.05 goals / match - Deportivo Maipú · 0.75 goals / match - San Martín Tucumán
Deportivo Maipú scores in 70% of matches (14 of 20 matches), while San Martín Tucumán keeps a clean sheet in 45% (9 of 20 matches).
San Martín Tucumán scores in 60% of matches (12 of 20 matches), while Deportivo Maipú keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Deportivo Maipú
Over / Under - San Martín Tucumán
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportivo Maipú is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.6 pts / match - Deportivo Maipú · 1.35 pts / match - San Martín Tucumán
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Deportivo Maipú - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
San Martín Tucumán - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Deportivo Maipú
San Martín Tucumán
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Deportivo Maipú | Liga | San Martín Tucumán | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.40 | 1.90 | ▼ 1.70 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 40% | ▼ 30% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 31% | ▼ 15% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 30% | 38% | ▲ 45% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 65% | 57% | ▲ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 75% | 70% | ▼ 60% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Deportivo Maipú 0 - 1 - 2 San Martín Tucumán. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Deportivo Maipú vs San Martín Tucumán?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Deportivo Maipú 0:0 San Martín Tucumán. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo Maipú and San Martín Tucumán?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Deportivo Maipú won 0, San Martín Tucumán won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Deportivo Maipú vs San Martín Tucumán?
Deportivo Maipú score 1.35 goals per game on average and San Martín Tucumán 0.95. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Deportivo Maipú's matches and 30% of San Martín Tucumán's.
What form are Deportivo Maipú and San Martín Tucumán in?
Over the last 5 games Deportivo Maipú have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and San Martín Tucumán 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Deportivo Maipú vs San Martín Tucumán?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Deportivo Maipú vs San Martín Tucumán: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.