Deportivo Pasto vs Independiente Medellín: match statistics
Deportivo Pasto shows better form in their last five matches with a record of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring as many as 9 goals while conceding 5. Independiente Medellín displays poorer form in the same period with only 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, scoring just 4 goals and conceding 5. The hosts have a points advantage in recent matches (1.4 PPG vs 1.0 PPG), which indicates their superior effectiveness. Deportivo Pasto's form (dlwlw) ends with two victories, while Medellín (dlwdl) recently lost. Considering the home advantage and the hosts' superior offense, Deportivo Pasto has a higher chance of securing a victory, although the balanced defensive record of both teams means a draw also remains a plausible scenario.
Deportivo Pasto vs Independiente Medellín: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Deportivo Pasto play Independiente Medellín in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 18 January 2026 at 20:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Deportivo Pasto: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Independiente Medellín: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Deportivo Pasto scores 1.38 and concedes 1.33 goals per match. Independiente Medellín scores 1.37 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Deportivo Pasto 52%, Independiente Medellín 68%. Over 2.5: Deportivo Pasto 52%, Independiente Medellín 58%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Independiente Medellín has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.30. Deportivo Pasto: 12.0 shots per match, Independiente Medellín: 14.6.
Match halves
Deportivo Pasto: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.76. Independiente Medellín: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.89.
Goals by minute
Deportivo Pasto: 76-90+ (11 goals). Independiente Medellín: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Deportivo Pasto shows better form in their last five matches with a record of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, scoring as many as 9 goals while conceding 5. Independiente Medellín displays poorer form in the same period with only 1 win, 2 draws, and 2 losses, scoring just 4 goals and conceding 5. The hosts have a points advantage in recent matches (1.4 PPG vs 1.0 PPG), which indicates their superior effectiveness. Deportivo Pasto's form (dlwlw) ends with two victories, while Medellín (dlwdl) recently lost. Considering the home advantage and the hosts' superior offense, Deportivo Pasto has a higher chance of securing a victory, although the balanced defensive record of both teams means a draw also remains a plausible scenario.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Deportivo Pasto | Independiente Medellín | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.36 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Independiente Medellín is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Deportivo Pasto · 1.8 pts / match - Independiente Medellín
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Independiente Medellín is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.33 goals / match - Deportivo Pasto · 1.26 goals / match - Independiente Medellín
Deportivo Pasto scores in 76% of matches (16 of 21 matches), while Independiente Medellín keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
Independiente Medellín scores in 89% of matches (17 of 19 matches), while Deportivo Pasto keeps a clean sheet in 33% (7 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Deportivo Pasto
Over / Under — Independiente Medellín
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Deportivo Pasto is 81% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.52 pts / match - Deportivo Pasto · 0.84 pts / match - Independiente Medellín
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Deportivo Pasto - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Independiente Medellín - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Deportivo Pasto
Independiente Medellín
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Deportivo Pasto | Liga | Independiente Medellín | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.71 | 2.53 | ▲ 2.63 |
| Both teams scored | • 52% | 53% | ▲ 68% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 52% | 48% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 27% | • 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 70% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 78% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Deportivo Pasto 0 - 0 - 2 Independiente Medellín. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Deportivo Pasto vs Independiente Medellín?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Deportivo Pasto 1:0 Independiente Medellín. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo Pasto and Independiente Medellín?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Deportivo Pasto won 0, Independiente Medellín won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Deportivo Pasto vs Independiente Medellín?
Deportivo Pasto score 1.38 goals per game on average and Independiente Medellín 1.37. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Deportivo Pasto's matches and 68% of Independiente Medellín's.
What form are Deportivo Pasto and Independiente Medellín in?
Over the last 5 games Deportivo Pasto have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Independiente Medellín 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Deportivo Pasto vs Independiente Medellín?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Deportivo Pasto vs Independiente Medellín: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.