Deportivo Pereira vs Atlético Nacional: match statistics
Deportivo Pereira vs Atlético Nacional: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Deportivo Pereira play Atlético Nacional in Categoria Primera A (Colombia). The match date is 25 April 2026 at 23:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Deportivo Pereira: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Atlético Nacional: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Deportivo Pereira scores 0.79 and concedes 1.68 goals per match. Atlético Nacional scores 1.96 and concedes 0.84. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Deportivo Pereira 42%, Atlético Nacional 40%. Over 2.5: Deportivo Pereira 42%, Atlético Nacional 64%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Atlético Nacional has higher xG: 1.75 vs 0.95. Deportivo Pereira: 9.2 shots per match, Atlético Nacional: 16.8.
Match halves
Deportivo Pereira: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.47. Atlético Nacional: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 1.36.
Goals by minute
Deportivo Pereira: 31-45+ (3 goals). Atlético Nacional: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Categoria Primera A: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Atlético Nacional is the favorite based on hard numbers: they have 4 wins and 1 draw in the last 5 matches (avg. 2.6 points per game), while Deportivo Pereira haven’t won any of their last 5 (0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses, avg. 0.2 points). Offensively the gap is clear — Pereira scored only 2 goals in the last 5, Nacional 9; season-to-date the hosts have 14 goals vs. the visitors’ 35, i.e. 1.00 vs 1.63 goals per game. Chance creation favors the visitors: average xG is 1.49 for Nacional and 1.19 for Pereira, and average shots on target are 5.38 vs 4.38 with conversion rates of 12% vs 9%. Defensively Pereira concedes 1.63 goals at home on average, while Nacional concedes 1.25 on the road, and the home goal difference is -5 vs the visitors’ +3, which additionally supports the away side. Considering form, higher xG and superior efficiency from the visitors (including 5.38 shots on target and 12% conversion), I tip Atlético Nacional to win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Deportivo Pereira | Atlético Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Atlético Nacional is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Deportivo Pereira · 2.4 pts / match - Atlético Nacional
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Atlético Nacional is 148% better for: goals scored per match.
0.79 goals / match - Deportivo Pereira · 1.96 goals / match - Atlético Nacional
Atlético Nacional is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.68 goals / match - Deportivo Pereira · 0.84 goals / match - Atlético Nacional
Deportivo Pereira scores in 47% of matches (9 of 19 matches), while Atlético Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 36% (9 of 25 matches).
Atlético Nacional scores in 72% of matches (18 of 25 matches), while Deportivo Pereira keeps a clean sheet in 16% (3 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Deportivo Pereira
Over / Under — Atlético Nacional
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Atlético Nacional is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - Deportivo Pereira · 1.36 pts / match - Atlético Nacional
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Deportivo Pereira - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 5%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Atlético Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 72%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +8 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Deportivo Pereira
Atlético Nacional
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Categoria Primera A).
Teams vs league
| Deportivo Pereira | Liga | Atlético Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.47 | 2.53 | ▲ 2.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 53% | ▼ 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 48% | ▲ 64% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 27% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 70% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 78% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Deportivo Pereira 1 - 0 - 1 Atlético Nacional. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Deportivo Pereira vs Atlético Nacional?
The Categoria Primera A match finished Deportivo Pereira 1:0 Atlético Nacional. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo Pereira and Atlético Nacional?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Deportivo Pereira won 1, Atlético Nacional won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Deportivo Pereira vs Atlético Nacional?
Deportivo Pereira score 0.79 goals per game on average and Atlético Nacional 1.96. The Categoria Primera A average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Deportivo Pereira's matches and 40% of Atlético Nacional's.
What form are Deportivo Pereira and Atlético Nacional in?
Over the last 5 games Deportivo Pereira have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Atlético Nacional 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Deportivo Pereira vs Atlético Nacional?
The statistical background for Deportivo Pereira vs Atlético Nacional — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.